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Trento vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-76
19-18 17-24 21-18 26-16
Position#7
Record10-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game76.7
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record7-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game83.6
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Trento v Brescia
22 Mar 2026
TRE77
BRE85
27 Sep 2025
TRE75
BRE88
30 Mar 2025
TRE75
BRE78
20 Jan 2024
TRE69
BRE93
05 Mar 2023
TRE83
BRE76
16 Feb 2022
TRE73
BRE78
06 Nov 2021
TRE78
BRE72
20 Mar 2021
TRE91
BRE67
02 Feb 2020
TRE63
BRE56
10 Nov 2018
TRE76
BRE75
14 Oct 2017
TRE56
BRE66
23 Apr 2017
TRE99
BRE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
68-84
68
84
-16
52avg 61
H15/01
Lega A
London Lions
#14
L
70-84
70
84
-14
54avg 61
H18/01
Eurocup
Varese
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
81avg 61
H22/01
Lega A
Paris
#8
L
75-86
75
86
-11
69avg 61
A25/01
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
52avg 61
A29/01
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
L
60-78
60
78
-18
42avg 61
H01/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
67avg 61
H05/02
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 61
H07/02
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
W
79-74
79
74
+5
76avg 61
A12/02
Lega A
Tortona
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
20-24
16-17
19-20
24-20
18-20
14-22
14-22
28-16
23-25
23-19
16-20
16-23
20-17
15-24
24-22
15-28
22-15
17-13
11-22
20-20
20-17
11-21
9-20
15-27
19-31
29-17
14-20
20-17
20-26
14-16
18-21
19-19
13-14
23-23
24-18
16-22
20-16
12-21
22-15
153.9Avg total
72.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.676.7151.3-2.153%
Season at home (9)73.875.9149.7-2.156%
Season away (10)75.377.4152.7-2.150%
Last 10 (10)72.681.3153.9-8.720%
Last 5 (5)71.680.2151.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.581.3152.8-9.818%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.575.3147.8-2.860%
vs Weaker (2)80.080.0160.0+0.050%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
80-81
80
81
-1
76avg 76
H22/01
Lega A
Ulm
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
H25/01
Eurocup
Varese
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 76
A28/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
71avg 76
A31/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 76
A05/02
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
103-84
103
84
+19
101avg 76
H08/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
71avg 76
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
74-57
74
57
+17
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
16-18
23-24
18-21
18-15
21-21
16-22
17-27
16-15
22-29
17-27
17-9
20-20
20-19
18-14
16-13
17-20
23-19
22-23
16-22
22-19
20-19
22-22
39-24
17-25
19-21
22-20
22-27
20-19
25-10
11-26
19-17
14-16
22-6
15-14
23-21
17-16
23-14
21-21
23-25
157.0Avg total
79.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.283.6166.7-0.437%
Season at home (10)83.982.0165.9+1.950%
Season away (9)82.385.3167.7-3.022%
Last 10 (10)79.277.8157.0+1.450%
Last 5 (5)83.276.4159.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.092.2164.2-20.212%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.679.2158.8+0.446%
vs Weaker (8)86.179.5165.6+6.662%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
TrentoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H15/01
Lega A
London Lions
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H18/01
Eurocup
Varese
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H22/01
Lega A
Paris
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A25/01
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/01
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H01/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
34-58
34
58
-24
H05/02
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H07/02
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/02
Lega A
Tortona
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A16/02
Italian Cup
80.1Avg total
38.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.641.277.8-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.541.579.0-4.036%-
Last 30 away (16)35.841.076.8-5.212%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.080.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.878.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.542.779.2-6.224%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.337.974.2-1.630%-
vs Weaker (2)39.047.086.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/01
Lega A
Ulm
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/01
Eurocup
Varese
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A31/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/02
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/02
Italian Cup
75.4Avg total
39.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.579.4-1.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.239.078.2+0.269%-
Last 30 away (17)38.641.780.3-3.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.535.975.4+3.680%-
Last 5 (5)39.833.072.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.943.977.8-10.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.640.580.2-0.962%-
vs Weaker (8)41.938.680.5+3.275%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.421.5
47.4%
51.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.65.3
27.0%
36.4%15.9
🏀 Free throws18.213.1
72.0%
76.1%13.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.8
50.5%
51.3%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.1
35.8%
36.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.417.8
83.2%
76.1%17.8
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LWLLLLLWLL
Brescia
WWWLWLWLLL
#7
League position
#8
-12.4
Net rating
-11.0
95.1
Offensive rating
109.2
107.5
Defensive rating
120.2
45.3%
Effective FG%
51.9%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.0%
3-point %
35.8%
55.6%
Assist %
62.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 109.2Defence107.5 · 120.2Shooting45.3% · 51.9%3-point %27.0% · 35.8%Ball care17.1% · 16.4%Off. rebounds28.9% · 25.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Trento   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Trento wins
3
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Brescia v Trento73-78
03/04/22Brescia v Trento86-62
16/02/22Trento v Brescia73-78
06/11/21Trento v Brescia78-72
20/03/21Trento v Brescia91-67
15/11/20Brescia v Trento73-80
02/02/20Trento v Brescia63-56
13/10/19Brescia v Trento92-66
10/03/19Brescia v Trento79-84
10/11/18Trento v Brescia76-75
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23ATortona70-74
12/02/23AScafati79-74
07/02/23HTurk Telekom72-80
05/02/23HSassari77-95
01/02/23HHapoel Tel-Aviv60-78
29/01/23AOlimpia Milano65-78
25/01/23AParis75-86
22/01/23HVarese90-80
18/01/23HLondon Lions70-84
15/01/23HReggiana68-84
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23AVirtus Bologna84-76
18/02/23HPesaro74-57
15/02/23AOlimpia Milano75-72
12/02/23HSassari80-93
08/02/23HCluj-Napoca103-84
05/02/23AVirtus Bologna78-84
31/01/23AJL Bourg74-66
28/01/23AVarese72-80
25/01/23HUlm72-85
22/01/23HTreviso80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game74.673.875.3
Allowed / game76.775.977.4
Point differential-2.1-2.1-2.1
Avg total151.3149.7152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL37%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%50%22%
Points / game83.283.982.3
Allowed / game83.682.085.3
Point differential-0.4+1.9-3.0
Avg total166.7165.9167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %16%10%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2016480%82.372.5+9.8
2 Virtus Bologna1915479%83.976.9+7.1
3 Tortona1914574%82.376.6+5.7
4 Sassari2011955%85.781.0+4.7
5 Varese2011955%91.790.5+1.1
6 Brindisi2011955%82.081.8+0.1
7 Pesaro2011955%85.285.5-0.2
8 Trento1910953%74.676.7-2.1
9 Venezia2091145%82.580.0+2.5
10 Trieste1981142%78.181.7-3.7
11 Treviso1981142%79.684.5-4.9
12 Brescia1971237%83.283.6-0.4
13 Scafati2071335%76.878.2-1.4
14 Basket Napoli2071335%77.884.4-6.5
15 Verona2071335%78.286.5-8.3
16 Reggiana2051525%75.078.1-3.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento1917212683
Brescia1824181676
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