PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bayern vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-89
19-35 15-18 23-16 13-20
Position#3
Record14-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
Position#15
Record7-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game86.3
GermanyBBLRound 21
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayern v Hamburg
25 Oct 2026
BAY96
HAM77
05 Oct 2025
BAY96
HAM79
29 Sep 2024
BAY81
HAM80
08 Oct 2023
BAY90
HAM79
14 Feb 2023
BAY70
HAM89
02 Mar 2022
BAY86
HAM75
17 Jan 2021
BAY85
HAM71
30 Sep 2019
BAY111
HAM55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
68-96
68
96
-28
54avg 73
A15/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 73
A20/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
94-87
94
87
+7
84avg 73
A22/01
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
78avg 73
H27/01
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
105-74
105
74
+31
113avg 73
H29/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
73-82
73
82
-9
67avg 73
A31/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
70-72
70
72
-2
58avg 73
A02/02
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 73
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
58avg 73
H09/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
79-58
79
58
+21
74avg 73
A12/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
17-25
23-22
13-19
24-21
12-19
23-24
30-17
30-26
21-17
24-21
19-23
22-18
21-20
23-17
25-29
23-22
28-17
26-19
28-16
14-16
18-17
24-28
17-21
14-21
19-13
14-17
23-21
15-27
21-12
19-22
18-16
19-19
14-20
12-21
26-22
23-7
19-21
21-18
16-12
160.6Avg total
81.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.176.3159.4+6.874%
Season at home (10)86.275.8162.0+10.480%
Season away (9)79.776.8156.4+2.967%
Last 10 (10)81.379.3160.6+2.050%
Last 5 (5)73.274.2147.4-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.478.8154.2-3.425%
vs Similar (8)80.979.0159.9+1.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.374.6159.9+10.790%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
70avg 76
H15/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#3
L
74-98
74
98
-24
61avg 76
A18/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
83-92
83
92
-9
80avg 76
H21/01
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
100-64
100
64
+36
104avg 76
A25/01
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
L
93-97
93
97
-4
93avg 76
A29/01
BBL
Promitheas
#7
L
103-105
103
105
-2
109avg 76
H31/01
Eurocup
Rostock
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 76
H03/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
56-90
56
90
-34
53avg 76
A06/02
BBL
London Lions
#14
L
66-83
66
83
-17
50avg 76
A08/02
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
86-74
86
74
+12
80avg 76
H11/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
19-16
19-25
26-31
19-19
20-29
22-22
13-28
18-25
23-23
29-22
13-22
21-20
29-14
31-15
19-15
32-21
22-19
18-26
21-31
26-24
22-30
30-29
25-22
32-24
14-20
20-26
15-21
18-25
15-24
19-10
4-31
16-19
14-23
21-20
15-21
22-18
17-15
22-16
25-25
170.9Avg total
82.4Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.586.3168.8-3.835%
Season at home (11)83.086.7169.7-3.736%
Season away (9)81.985.9167.8-4.033%
Last 10 (10)82.488.5170.9-6.120%
Last 5 (5)78.488.6167.0-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.389.6168.9-10.225%
vs Similar (15)81.988.3170.2-6.320%
vs Weaker (3)89.077.3166.3+11.767%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -7.1-7.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -7.1-7.1
BayernHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A15/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A20/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A22/01
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/01
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H29/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A31/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/02
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H09/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A12/02
BBL
77.7Avg total
38.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.680.1+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.838.182.9+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)38.638.977.6-0.331%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.877.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.669.8+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.040.777.7-3.717%-
vs Similar (8)40.836.277.0+4.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)47.537.985.4+9.680%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A18/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/01
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A25/01
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A29/01
BBL
Promitheas
#7
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H31/01
Eurocup
Rostock
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H03/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A06/02
BBL
London Lions
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A08/02
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/02
BBL
84.4Avg total
41.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.584.6-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.643.685.3-2.035%-
Last 30 away (13)40.543.383.8-2.846%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.784.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.483.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.845.984.8-7.117%-
vs Similar (15)41.643.184.7-1.547%-
vs Weaker (3)48.036.084.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.7
51.7%
54.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.9
35.3%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.216.2
80.2%
75.8%16.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.3
52.5%
54.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
35.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.315.2
68.2%
75.8%15.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLLLWWWWL
Hamburg
WLLLLLWLLL
#3
League position
#15
+2.6
Net rating
-8.1
114.6
Offensive rating
108.1
112.0
Defensive rating
116.2
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.5%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
60.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.3%
3-point %
36.8%
51.8%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 108.1Defence112.0 · 116.2Shooting52.2% · 53.5%3-point %35.3% · 36.8%Ball care15.2% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.8% · 31.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Bayern   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
3
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
22/10/22Hamburg v Bayern81-78 OT
24/04/22Hamburg v Bayern87-83
02/03/22Bayern v Hamburg86-75
27/03/21Hamburg v Bayern91-86 OT
17/01/21Bayern v Hamburg85-71
30/09/19Bayern v Hamburg111-55
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23AChemnitz79-58
09/02/23HPartizan71-82
05/02/23HBonn73-77
02/02/23ABarcelona70-72
31/01/23AValencia73-82
29/01/23HGottingen105-74
27/01/23HVirtus Bologna91-84
22/01/23ABamberg94-87
20/01/23AAnadolu Efes89-81
15/01/23ALudwigsburg68-96
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HBayreuth86-74
08/02/23ALondon Lions66-83
06/02/23AWurzburg56-90
03/02/23HRostock81-91
31/01/23HPromitheas103-105
29/01/23AFrankfurt93-97
25/01/23ASlask Wroclaw100-64
21/01/23HBasketball Braunschweig83-92
18/01/23ATurk Telekom74-98
15/01/23HGottingen82-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW74%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%80%67%
Points / game83.186.279.7
Allowed / game76.375.876.8
Point differential+6.8+10.4+2.9
Avg total159.4162.0156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Hamburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %35%36%33%
Points / game82.583.081.9
Allowed / game86.386.785.9
Point differential-3.9-3.7-4.0
Avg total168.8169.7167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1817194%91.179.5+11.6
2 Bonn1917289%89.574.6+14.9
3 Bayern1914574%83.176.3+6.8
4 Oldenburg1912763%84.982.3+2.7
5 Gottingen1912763%87.185.3+1.8
6 Ludwigsburg1811761%87.884.5+3.3
7 Chemnitz1810856%84.582.6+1.9
8 Ulm1910953%88.486.3+2.2
9 Wurzburg20101050%84.384.3+0.1
10 Bamberg2091145%86.486.5-0.1
11 Rostock2091145%84.589.5-4.9
12 Syntainics MBC1981142%83.888.0-4.2
13 Crailsheim Merlins1971237%87.791.3-3.6
14 Hamburg2071335%82.586.3-3.9
15 Heidelberg2071335%87.091.2-4.2
16 Basketball Braunschweig2051525%79.385.2-5.9
17 Frankfurt2051525%79.787.2-7.6
18 Bayreuth1931616%80.288.7-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1915231370
Hamburg3518162089
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.