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Hamburg vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-91
32-24 14-20 20-26 15-21
Position#15
Record6-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Rostock 🏆
Germany
Position#8
Record8-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game91.2
GermanyBBLRound 18
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Hamburg v Rostock
03 Oct 2026
HAM84
ROS91
22 Apr 2026
HAM91
ROS86
08 Mar 2025
HAM78
ROS77
10 Feb 2024
HAM105
ROS89
03 Feb 2023
HAM81
ROS91
12 Apr 2019
HAM84
ROS74
06 Apr 2019
HAM79
ROS64
14 Dec 2018
HAM83
ROS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
W
96-73
96
73
+23
91avg 78
H30/12
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
80avg 78
A04/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
65-80
65
80
-15
62avg 78
H07/01
BBL
Buducnost
#11
L
59-87
59
87
-28
45avg 78
H11/01
Eurocup
Gottingen
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
70avg 78
H15/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#3
L
74-98
74
98
-24
61avg 78
A18/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
83-92
83
92
-9
80avg 78
H21/01
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
100-64
100
64
+36
104avg 78
A25/01
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
L
93-97
93
97
-4
93avg 78
A29/01
BBL
Promitheas
#7
L
103-105
103
105
-2
109avg 78
H31/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-9
28-22
17-23
22-19
28-25
16-19
27-25
16-14
22-18
20-22
9-19
14-21
13-20
20-23
16-22
10-22
18-19
19-16
19-25
26-31
19-19
20-29
22-22
13-28
18-25
23-23
29-22
13-22
21-20
29-14
31-15
19-15
32-21
22-19
18-26
21-31
26-24
22-30
30-29
25-22
171.2Avg total
84.2Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.986.6170.5-2.635%
Season at home (9)82.987.7170.6-4.833%
Season away (8)85.185.4170.5-0.238%
Last 10 (10)84.287.0171.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)90.691.2181.8-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.887.8166.6-8.931%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.687.6174.2-1.031%
vs Weaker (3)89.077.3166.3+11.767%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#10
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 77
H27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A11/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 77
H18/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
103-91
103
91
+12
99avg 77
A23/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
83-101
83
101
-18
62avg 77
A26/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
54avg 77
H03/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-99
71
99
-28
66avg 77
A06/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
81-96
81
96
-15
69avg 77
H18/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 77
A20/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
79-77
79
77
+2
75avg 77
H28/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
23-23
23-20
20-28
29-31
19-30
21-16
21-22
20-19
20-23
19-18
23-16
25-15
23-22
29-30
26-24
25-25
17-17
23-29
18-30
15-31
15-22
15-18
20-7
15-22
18-32
22-26
16-19
20-26
22-24
22-22
17-24
21-13
18-23
25-23
28-24
19-23
19-14
21-24
20-16
172.1Avg total
83.0Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.291.2177.4-5.147%
Season at home (9)82.488.2170.7-5.844%
Season away (8)90.494.6185.0-4.250%
Last 10 (10)83.089.1172.1-6.140%
Last 5 (5)77.686.6164.2-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.293.5174.8-12.225%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.986.3173.2+0.567%
vs Weaker (7)89.682.6172.1+7.071%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
HamburgRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H30/12
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H07/01
BBL
Buducnost
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H11/01
Eurocup
Gottingen
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A18/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/01
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A25/01
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A29/01
BBL
Promitheas
#7
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H31/01
Eurocup
86.2Avg total
44.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.985.6-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.343.585.8-1.235%-
Last 30 away (13)43.242.285.4+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)44.541.786.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.444.891.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.545.284.7-5.823%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.642.286.8+2.454%-
vs Weaker (3)48.036.084.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A11/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H18/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H03/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A06/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H18/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/01
BBL
85.6Avg total
40.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.385.7-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.340.181.4+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)43.546.590.0-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.145.585.6-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.446.082.4-9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.551.492.9-9.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.141.483.5+0.747%-
vs Weaker (7)43.938.382.1+5.657%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.9
55.3%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.8
37.0%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.214.4
67.9%
75.8%14.4
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.0
50.3%
54.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.1
33.8%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.719.1
74.3%
75.8%19.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLWLLLLLWW
Rostock
WWLLLLWWLL
#15
League position
#8
-3.5
Net rating
-7.0
111.3
Offensive rating
104.4
114.8
Defensive rating
111.3
55.4%
Effective FG%
50.5%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
19.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.41
37.0%
3-point %
33.8%
67.7%
Assist %
60.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 104.4Defence114.8 · 111.3Shooting55.4% · 50.5%3-point %37.0% · 33.8%Ball care19.4% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.8% · 27.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Hamburg   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Hamburg wins
2
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
18/12/22Rostock v Hamburg82-76
15/04/19Rostock v Hamburg85-91
12/04/19Hamburg v Rostock84-74
09/04/19Rostock v Hamburg94-79
06/04/19Hamburg v Rostock79-64
03/02/19Rostock v Hamburg68-74
14/12/18Hamburg v Rostock83-69
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/23HPromitheas103-105
29/01/23AFrankfurt93-97
25/01/23ASlask Wroclaw100-64
21/01/23HBasketball Braunschweig83-92
18/01/23ATurk Telekom74-98
15/01/23HGottingen82-91
11/01/23HBuducnost59-87
07/01/23HUlm65-80
04/01/23AHeidelberg87-83
30/12/22HWurzburg96-73
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23HSyntainics MBC79-77
20/01/23ABayreuth92-83
18/01/23HChemnitz81-96
06/01/23ABonn71-99
03/01/23HBayern65-78
26/12/22AFrankfurt83-101
23/12/22ACrailsheim Merlins103-91
18/12/22HHamburg82-76
11/12/22AOldenburg90-99
27/11/22HHeidelberg84-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%33%38%
Points / game83.982.985.1
Allowed / game86.687.785.4
Point differential-2.6-4.8-0.2
Avg total170.5170.6170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%22%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW47%
HomeLWLLW44%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game86.282.490.4
Allowed / game91.288.294.6
Point differential-5.1-5.8-4.2
Avg total177.4170.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1615194%91.179.0+12.1
2 Bonn1715288%91.075.5+15.5
3 Bayern1713476%83.977.3+6.6
4 Oldenburg1711665%85.582.4+3.1
5 Gottingen1610662%86.585.3+1.2
6 Chemnitz159660%87.183.5+3.7
7 Ludwigsburg169756%86.984.2+2.7
8 Ulm178947%88.787.7+1.0
9 Wurzburg178947%84.585.8-1.2
10 Rostock178947%86.291.2-5.1
11 Crailsheim Merlins1771041%88.791.8-3.1
12 Heidelberg1771041%87.591.2-3.6
13 Bamberg1871139%85.286.4-1.3
14 Hamburg1761135%83.986.6-2.6
15 Syntainics MBC1761135%82.689.2-6.5
16 Basketball Braunschweig1851328%79.084.6-5.6
17 Frankfurt1851328%79.486.1-6.7
18 Bayreuth1731418%81.589.4-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg3214201581
Rostock2420262191
← all games of the day
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