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Hamburg vs Trier Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 09 May 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game87.3
GermanyBBLRound 34· Inselpark Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Hamburg v Trier
09 May 2027
HAM v TRI
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
HAM90
TRI72
21 Nov 2018
HAM108
TRI62
17 Dec 2017
HAM70
TRI72
17 Feb 2017
HAM82
TRI85
19 Dec 2015
HAM70
TRI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trier win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Hamburg
4.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.6
81.4▲ 2.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 91.4
88.2▼ 3.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
51%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.7
14.8▲ 0.1
🔥 Form · Trier
6.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 89.4
96.4▲ 7.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.0
81.2▼ 4.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
64%▲ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.1
22.0▲ 0.9
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A03/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H07/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#17
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A25/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
12-13
19-19
21-20
15-29
27-18
17-22
12-16
14-22
21-26
21-20
17-22
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
166.2Avg total
76.6Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.889.5169.3-9.717%
Season at home (2)89.090.5179.5-1.550%
Season away (4)75.289.0164.2-13.80%
Last 10 (10)76.689.6166.2-13.010%
Last 5 (5)81.488.2169.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)82.891.7174.5-8.929%
vs Similar (10)87.380.6167.9+6.760%
vs Weaker (3)87.791.0178.7-3.333%
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrierGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
L
107-116
107
116
-9
A19/09
BBL
Bonn
#9
W
106-80
106
80
+26
H25/09
BBL
Jena
#14
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H27/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#5
W
94-80
94
80
+14
A04/10
BBL
Batumi
#49
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#11
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#22
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#30
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#16
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#38
W
103-80
103
80
+23
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-38
27-28
26-32
20-18
26-17
26-21
26-19
28-23
31-25
23-24
15-24
29-12
29-13
18-14
23-33
24-20
18-16
31-14
28-13
15-16
31-24
19-23
26-15
19-13
25-19
24-22
24-29
14-13
22-32
31-10
26-16
21-22
22-23
21-12
22-27
32-26
26-17
22-15
28-20
27-28
180.5Avg total
97.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)99.587.3186.8+12.283%
Season at home (3)99.780.0179.7+19.7100%
Season away (3)99.394.7194.0+4.767%
Last 10 (10)97.982.6180.5+15.390%
Last 5 (5)96.481.2177.6+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.2100.4183.7-17.217%
vs Similar (8)89.988.9178.8+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)97.982.6180.5+15.390%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
HamburgTrier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A03/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H07/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
81.3Avg total
38.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.944.586.5-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.146.089.1-2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.843.183.9-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)38.043.381.3-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.280.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.945.685.6-5.729%-
vs Similar (10)44.341.085.3+3.360%-
vs Weaker (3)45.350.095.3-4.733%-
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A19/09
BBL
Bonn
#9
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H25/09
BBL
Jena
#14
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H27/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#5
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A04/10
BBL
Batumi
#49
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#11
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#22
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#30
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#38
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
91.3Avg total
50.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.145.790.8-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.643.989.5+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)44.747.592.2-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)50.640.791.3+9.990%-
Last 5 (5)48.639.488.0+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.850.792.4-8.925%-
vs Similar (8)43.444.587.9-1.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)50.640.791.3+9.990%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.9
48.4%
55.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.58.5
27.0%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
73.8%13.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trier: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.424.1
61.2%
55.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.6
37.4%
33.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
73.8%14.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLLLWLLLLL
Trier
WWWWWWWWWL
#18
League position
#2
-14.6
Net rating
+17.6
83.5
Offensive rating
106.0
98.1
Defensive rating
88.4
44.7%
Effective FG%
58.9%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.0%
3-point %
37.4%
56.7%
Assist %
66.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence83.5 · 106.0Defence98.1 · 88.4Shooting44.7% · 58.9%3-point %27.0% · 37.4%Ball care15.0% · 15.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Hamburg   ■ Trier
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hamburg wins
7
Trier wins
DateGameScore
22/03/26Hamburg v Trier90-72
18/03/26Trier v Hamburg101-92
05/01/19Trier v Hamburg78-63
21/11/18Hamburg v Trier108-62
17/02/18Trier v Hamburg84-83
17/12/17Hamburg v Trier70-72
17/02/17Hamburg v Trier82-85
10/12/16Trier v Hamburg66-55
19/03/16Trier v Hamburg91-72
19/12/15Hamburg v Trier70-63
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103
07/05/26HWurzburg73-90
03/05/26ABamberg71-85
25/04/26AUlm72-81
Trierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26AOpava103-80
24/10/26AVechta97-88
21/10/26HSplit100-80
14/10/26APromitheas87-83
10/10/26HAlba Berlin95-75
07/10/26HBatumi92-59
04/10/26ALudwigsburg94-80
27/09/26HJena98-85
25/09/26HBonn106-80
19/09/26ABasketball Braunschweig107-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game79.889.075.2
Allowed / game89.590.589.0
Point differential-9.7-1.5-13.8
Avg total169.3179.5164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%50%0%
Trier
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game99.599.799.3
Allowed / game87.380.094.7
Point differential+12.2+19.7+4.7
Avg total186.8179.7194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern550100%99.870.6+29.2
2 Trier65183%99.587.3+12.2
3 Frankfurt54180%90.284.6+5.6
4 Syntainics MBC64267%84.579.8+4.7
5 Ludwigsburg64267%88.786.7+2.0
6 Basketball Braunschweig53260%92.694.2-1.6
7 Wurzburg53260%80.281.8-1.6
8 Rostock63350%92.084.2+7.8
9 Bonn63350%85.380.8+4.5
10 Bamberg63350%88.086.0+2.0
11 Alba Berlin63350%83.389.2-5.8
12 Oldenburg63350%76.083.8-7.8
13 Ulm62433%82.088.2-6.2
14 Jena62433%76.388.3-12.0
15 Phoenix Hagen72529%85.790.4-4.7
16 Vechta72529%84.490.9-6.4
17 Chemnitz61517%85.590.5-5.0
18 Hamburg61517%79.889.5-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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