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Hamburg vs Trier Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 09 May 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
6.3/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game86.0
GermanyBBLRound 34· Inselpark Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Hamburg v Trier
09 May 2027
HAM v TRI
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
HAM90
TRI72
21 Nov 2018
HAM108
TRI62
17 Dec 2017
HAM70
TRI72
17 Feb 2017
HAM82
TRI85
19 Dec 2015
HAM70
TRI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trier win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 64
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 64
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 64
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 64
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 64
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 64
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
60avg 64
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 64
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
24-25
25-29
14-27
26-28
32-18
21-28
22-22
16-19
24-17
33-23
24-16
10-28
174.1Avg total
82.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.390.8174.1-7.433%
Season at home (4)89.593.5183.0-4.050%
Season away (5)78.488.6167.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)82.192.0174.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)85.293.0178.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.792.0174.7-9.328%
vs Similar (8)88.182.4170.5+5.850%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrierGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrier
Date
Competition
Batumi
#50
W
92-59
92
59
+33
90avg 84
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
98avg 84
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#14
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 84
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#20
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 84
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#14
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 84
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#44
W
103-80
103
80
+23
99avg 84
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#29
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
H07/11
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
122-57
122
57
+65
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#6
W
99-85
99
85
+14
no box
A15/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
31-14
28-13
15-16
31-24
19-23
26-15
19-13
25-19
24-22
24-29
14-13
22-32
31-10
26-16
21-22
22-23
21-12
22-27
32-26
26-17
22-15
28-20
27-28
23-11
27-14
21-15
25-19
26-18
21-17
16-18
29-26
31-15
30-14
33-11
28-17
18-26
28-18
28-20
25-21
172.8Avg total
98.3Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)98.586.0184.5+12.588%
Season at home (4)97.879.8177.5+18.0100%
Season away (4)99.292.2191.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)98.374.5172.8+23.8100%
Last 5 (5)102.472.0174.4+30.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.598.8180.3-17.418%
vs Similar (5)88.887.6176.4+1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)99.179.0178.1+20.193%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +9.5+9.5Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +9.5+9.5Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
HamburgTrier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H14/11
BBL
86.6Avg total
43.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.488.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.846.590.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.686.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.893.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.645.686.1-5.028%-
vs Similar (8)46.043.189.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker (4)47.249.096.2-1.850%-
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Batumi
#50
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#20
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#44
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#29
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H07/11
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
61-29
61
29
+32
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A15/11
BBL
85.6Avg total
49.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.743.590.2+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.588.4+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)46.545.591.9+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)49.636.085.6+13.6100%-
Last 5 (5)50.433.083.4+17.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.649.791.4-8.127%-
vs Similar (5)46.443.690.0+2.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)50.738.689.3+12.193%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.1
50.3%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.8
28.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.4%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trier: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.424.1
61.2%
55.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.6
37.4%
33.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
73.4%14.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WWLLLLLWLL
Trier
WWWWWWWWWW
#15
League position
#2
-16.1
Net rating
+17.6
86.6
Offensive rating
106.0
102.7
Defensive rating
88.4
46.5%
Effective FG%
58.9%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.2%
3-point %
37.4%
55.6%
Assist %
66.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 106.0Defence102.7 · 88.4Shooting46.5% · 58.9%3-point %28.2% · 37.4%Ball care14.6% · 15.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 100%
■ Hamburg   ■ Trier
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hamburg wins
7
Trier wins
DateGameScore
22/03/26Hamburg v Trier90-72
18/03/26Trier v Hamburg101-92
05/01/19Trier v Hamburg78-63
21/11/18Hamburg v Trier108-62
17/02/18Trier v Hamburg84-83
17/12/17Hamburg v Trier70-72
17/02/17Hamburg v Trier82-85
10/12/16Trier v Hamburg66-55
19/03/16Trier v Hamburg91-72
19/12/15Hamburg v Trier70-63
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWurzburg91-84
09/11/26AJena91-87
01/11/26HSyntainics MBC89-109
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103
Trierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AFrankfurt99-85
11/11/26ABatumi122-57
07/11/26HBamberg92-79
04/11/26HTrepca96-59
28/10/26AOpava103-80
24/10/26AVechta97-88
21/10/26HSplit100-80
14/10/26APromitheas87-83
10/10/26HAlba Berlin95-75
07/10/26HBatumi92-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game83.389.578.4
Allowed / game90.893.588.6
Point differential-7.4-4.0-10.2
Avg total174.1183.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Trier
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game98.597.899.2
Allowed / game86.079.892.2
Point differential+12.5+18.0+7.0
Avg total184.5177.5191.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
5 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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