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Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:05
Final 64-79
26-23 13-20 11-18 14-18
Position#6
Record16-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#14
Record9-15
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game83.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25· Pais Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Bayern
24 Sep 2026
HTA84
BAY86
29 Jan 2026
HTA64
BAY79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Tel-Aviv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTel-Aviv
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 83
H30/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
77-92
77
92
-15
50avg 83
H03/01
Super League
Dubai
#11
W
85-60
85
60
+25
79avg 83
H06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
64avg 83
A11/01
Super League
Galil Elyon
#12
W
98-66
98
66
+32
81avg 83
H13/01
Super League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A16/01
Euroleague
Elitzur Maccabi Netanya
#13
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
H18/01
Super League
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 83
H20/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
93avg 83
A23/01
Euroleague
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#10
W
112-108 OT
112
108
+4
82avg 83
H25/01
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
15-21
13-24
27-30
20-18
16-22
26-26
15-26
17-24
19-17
33-13
16-6
23-20
26-22
19-14
23-25
24-18
18-22
29-11
27-15
16-16
15-22
26-20
24-15
17-14
15-26
23-13
20-13
14-19
19-24
17-10
21-13
27-17
29-18
17-28
15-25
23-29
26-22
27-20
22-27
168.0Avg total
87.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.482.0169.4+5.470%
Season at home (11)88.281.1169.3+7.173%
Season away (12)86.882.8169.6+3.967%
Last 10 (10)87.180.9168.0+6.270%
Last 5 (5)88.083.4171.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.571.0142.5+0.550%
vs Similar (8)85.981.6167.5+4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.878.8169.7+12.085%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
95-71
95
71
+24
97avg 78
H02/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
91-62
91
62
+29
94avg 78
A04/01
BBL
Baskonia
#18
W
96-89
96
89
+7
98avg 78
H07/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
76avg 78
A09/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
64avg 78
H11/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
87-59
87
59
+28
no box
A18/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
63-67
63
67
-4
51avg 78
H20/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
93-89
93
89
+4
94avg 78
H22/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 78
H25/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
19-18
26-13
19-17
18-21
31-16
22-16
20-9
24-19
14-27
22-23
36-20
23-21
24-28
14-24
19-22
15-12
18-12
13-15
20-24
25-24
15-19
18-21
27-14
18-10
24-17
23-18
22-14
7-18
25-16
18-16
13-17
22-24
31-20
26-26
14-19
20-14
17-22
28-15
33-28
160.6Avg total
85.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.583.8163.2-4.338%
Season at home (13)81.280.0161.2+1.262%
Season away (11)77.488.3165.6-10.99%
Last 10 (10)85.475.2160.6+10.280%
Last 5 (5)85.274.4159.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.589.5168.0-11.033%
vs Similar (9)81.381.6162.9-0.233%
vs Weaker (15)86.171.1157.2+15.193%
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.9+3.9
Hapoel Tel-AvivBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H30/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/01
Super League
Dubai
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A11/01
Super League
Galil Elyon
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H13/01
Super League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A16/01
Euroleague
Elitzur Maccabi Netanya
#13
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H18/01
Super League
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H20/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A23/01
Euroleague
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#10
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H25/01
Super League
81.3Avg total
40.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.983.1+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.741.582.2-0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)45.438.583.9+6.975%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.981.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.481.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.041.081.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (8)40.240.180.4+0.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.839.784.5+5.065%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H02/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A04/01
BBL
Baskonia
#18
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A09/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#4
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H11/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A18/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H22/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/01
BBL
80.2Avg total
42.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.380.2+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.138.579.6+2.650%-
Last 30 away (18)42.538.280.7+4.361%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.180.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.877.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.344.786.0-3.317%-
vs Similar (9)41.040.981.9+0.144%-
vs Weaker (15)42.734.276.9+8.580%-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hapoel Tel-Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.8
56.4%
60.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
35.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.017.8
74.2%
78.2%17.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.620.0
59.5%
60.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.9
37.6%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.316.2
79.8%
78.2%16.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
WLWWWWWWLL
Bayern
WWLWWWLWWW
#6
League position
#14
+13.4
Net rating
+12.3
109.4
Offensive rating
107.9
96.0
Defensive rating
95.6
54.9%
Effective FG%
58.2%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.0%
3-point %
37.6%
54.7%
Assist %
68.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 107.9Defence96.0 · 95.6Shooting54.9% · 58.2%3-point %35.0% · 37.6%Ball care14.7% · 18.7%Off. rebounds32.9% · 32.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Hapoel Tel-Aviv   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins
0
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
23/12/25Bayern v Hapoel Tel-Aviv72-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HHapoel Beer Sheva112-108 OT
23/01/26APartizan101-104 OT
20/01/26HAnadolu Efes71-66
18/01/26HElitzur Maccabi Netanya75-66
16/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne81-73
13/01/26HGalil Elyon98-66
11/01/26AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan91-81
06/01/26HDubai85-60
03/01/26HHapoel Jerusalem77-92
30/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-93
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HWurzburg98-79
22/01/26HValencia93-89
20/01/26HPartizan63-67
18/01/26AChemnitz87-59
15/01/26HPanathinaikos85-78
11/01/26HBonn66-63
09/01/26AOlympiacos80-95
07/01/26HBaskonia96-89
04/01/26ABasketball Braunschweig91-62
02/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv95-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game87.488.286.8
Allowed / game82.081.182.8
Point differential+5.4+7.1+3.9
Avg total169.4169.3169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW38%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %38%62%9%
Points / game79.581.277.4
Allowed / game83.880.088.3
Point differential-4.3+1.2-10.9
Avg total163.2161.2165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2417771%82.178.7+3.4
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2316770%87.482.0+5.4
3 Barcelona2416867%87.184.6+2.5
4 Olympiacos2315865%88.983.3+5.6
5 Real Madrid2516964%87.983.3+4.6
6 Monaco2415962%91.485.0+6.4
7 Valencia2415962%90.185.7+4.4
8 Zalgiris Kaunas24141058%88.082.0+6.1
9 Panathinaikos24141058%86.684.1+2.5
10 Crvena zvezda24141058%87.285.7+1.5
11 Virtus Bologna24111346%82.883.4-0.7
12 Olimpia Milano24111346%85.086.3-1.3
13 Dubai24111346%86.187.5-1.4
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv24101442%88.991.6-2.7
15 Bayern2491538%79.583.8-4.3
16 Paris2481633%89.792.8-3.1
17 Baskonia2481633%86.390.4-4.1
18 Partizan2481633%80.089.5-9.5
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne2461825%78.787.3-8.6
20 Anadolu Efes2561924%78.284.5-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hapoel Tel-Aviv2613111464
Bayern2320181879
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