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Bayern vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 85-78
25-24 15-19 18-21 27-14
Position#14
Record7-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game84.6
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#7
Record13-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2025
Meetings · Bayern v Panathinaikos
18 Dec 2026
BAY v PAO
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
BAY85
PAO78
27 Dec 2024
BAY69
PAO80
05 Apr 2024
BAY75
PAO82
05 Jan 2023
BAY84
PAO68
18 Nov 2021
BAY81
PAO78
04 Mar 2021
BAY76
PAO71
16 Oct 2018
BAY80
PAO79
23 Oct 2014
BAY81
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
W
83-55
83
55
+28
84avg 78
A21/12
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
62avg 78
H23/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#15
W
97-69
97
69
+28
49avg 78
A26/12
BBL
Trier
#12
W
94-83
94
83
+11
89avg 78
H28/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
79avg 78
A31/12
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
95-71
95
71
+24
97avg 78
H02/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
91-62
91
62
+29
94avg 78
A04/01
BBL
Baskonia
#18
W
96-89
96
89
+7
98avg 78
H07/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
76avg 78
A09/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
64avg 78
H11/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-9
17-18
19-16
24-12
14-21
18-23
14-20
26-18
22-19
26-12
18-19
31-19
25-21
31-21
20-25
18-16
18-14
22-17
16-24
29-12
31-23
19-18
26-13
19-17
18-21
31-16
22-16
20-9
24-19
14-27
22-23
36-20
23-21
24-28
14-24
19-22
15-12
18-12
13-15
20-24
159.5Avg total
85.9Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.384.6164.0-5.333%
Season at home (10)81.580.6162.1+0.960%
Season away (11)77.488.3165.6-10.99%
Last 10 (10)85.973.6159.5+12.380%
Last 5 (5)85.676.0161.6+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.791.7167.3-16.017%
vs Similar (9)83.981.9165.8+2.044%
vs Weaker (14)83.471.1154.5+12.486%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 85
A16/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
82avg 85
H18/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 85
H20/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 85
A23/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#12
W
99-89
99
89
+10
100avg 85
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
72avg 85
H02/01
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
92-85
92
85
+7
95avg 85
H04/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
74-87
74
87
-13
70avg 85
H06/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 85
H08/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
88avg 85
H11/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
24-21
9-20
31-20
22-17
23-29
20-16
28-20
27-26
24-26
24-15
22-15
19-28
21-22
23-14
29-21
33-22
22-23
28-23
16-21
13-28
30-15
18-18
21-26
22-21
32-28
26-21
12-15
20-15
23-23
15-23
16-26
23-15
16-18
17-15
28-23
22-23
24-27
28-17
20-19
171.9Avg total
88.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.585.0172.4+2.562%
Season at home (11)89.083.5172.5+5.564%
Season away (10)85.886.5172.3-0.760%
Last 10 (10)88.883.1171.9+5.780%
Last 5 (5)85.283.2168.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.088.5172.5-4.50%
vs Similar (11)86.586.2172.6+0.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.676.8168.4+14.994%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +7.3+7.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +7.3+7.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
BayernPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A21/12
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H23/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#15
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A26/12
BBL
Trier
#12
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H28/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A31/12
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H02/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A04/01
BBL
Baskonia
#18
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A09/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#4
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H11/01
BBL
80.5Avg total
43.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.080.7+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.939.580.4+1.450%-
Last 30 away (18)42.338.680.9+3.761%-
Last 10 (10)43.337.280.5+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.482.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.047.585.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (9)42.041.383.3+0.756%-
vs Weaker (14)42.934.677.5+8.279%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A16/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H18/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H20/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#12
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/01
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H04/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/01
Basket League
90.0Avg total
45.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.143.289.3+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.643.590.1+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)45.642.888.4+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)45.744.390.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.687.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.543.088.5+2.550%-
vs Similar (11)43.544.487.9-0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.842.490.2+5.465%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.320.2
60.7%
60.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.8
38.7%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.715.5
78.7%
78.2%15.5
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.4
55.1%
60.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.2
36.4%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.417.0
83.3%
78.2%17.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWWWWWWLW
Panathinaikos
WWLWLWWWWW
#14
League position
#7
+16.8
Net rating
+7.6
116.4
Offensive rating
114.2
99.6
Defensive rating
106.6
59.6%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
19.7%
Turnover %
14.5%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.7%
3-point %
36.4%
60.7%
Assist %
65.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 114.2Defence99.6 · 106.6Shooting59.6% · 54.9%3-point %38.7% · 36.4%Ball care19.7% · 14.5%Off. rebounds36.1% · 27.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
7
Panathinaikos wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HBonn66-63
09/01/26AOlympiacos80-95
07/01/26HBaskonia96-89
04/01/26ABasketball Braunschweig91-62
02/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv95-71
31/12/25ARostock85-67
28/12/25HTrier94-83
26/12/25AFrankfurt97-69
23/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv72-82
21/12/25ABonn83-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HPeristeri94-86
08/01/26HVirtus Bologna84-71
06/01/26HOlimpia Milano74-87
04/01/26HAS Karditsas92-85
02/01/26HOlympiacos82-87
30/12/25AMaroussi99-89
23/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas92-85
20/12/25HIraklis97-82
18/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
16/12/25AFenerbahce81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%60%9%
Points / game79.381.577.4
Allowed / game84.680.688.3
Point differential-5.3+0.9-10.9
Avg total164.0162.1165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeLWLLW64%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%64%60%
Points / game87.589.085.8
Allowed / game85.083.586.5
Point differential+2.5+5.5-0.7
Avg total172.4172.5172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2014670%87.982.2+5.8
2 Monaco2114767%91.784.0+7.7
3 Valencia2114767%90.385.6+4.7
4 Barcelona2114767%87.784.3+3.3
5 Fenerbahce2013765%82.079.8+2.2
6 Olympiacos2113862%89.083.5+5.5
7 Real Madrid2113862%87.184.2+2.9
8 Panathinaikos2113862%87.585.0+2.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas2112957%87.381.3+6.0
10 Crvena zvezda21111052%85.184.3+0.8
11 Olimpia Milano21111052%85.084.5+0.5
12 Virtus Bologna22111150%82.482.5-0.1
13 Dubai22101245%85.487.7-2.3
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv2181338%88.992.0-3.1
15 Baskonia2281436%87.590.5-3.0
16 Paris2071335%90.292.2-1.9
17 Bayern2171433%79.384.6-5.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne2161529%78.586.7-8.2
19 Anadolu Efes2261627%79.985.8-5.9
20 Partizan2261627%79.590.1-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2515182785
Panathinaikos2419211478
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