PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Harvard hosts Boston College on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Harvard the clear favourite, assigning it a 90% chance to win largely because the Crimson have a 2-1 record and average 68.7 points while allowing 55.3, whereas Boston College is undefeated 3-0, scoring 76.3 and conceding 53.0. Harvard's single home game is a 1-0 win, 73.0 points for, 45.0 against, and their last five games show three wins and two losses, including a 73-45 victory at home over MIT on 2 November; Boston College's last five contain four wins and one loss, all at home, with a 82-54 win over Md.-East. Shore on 10 November. In their two previous meetings Boston College has won both, most recently 73-60 on 26 November 2025. Pythia projects a 75-61 score, 136.3 total points, and a 90% probability that Harvard covers the spread, with a 2% chance of overtime. Harvard's 75 points would exceed Boston College's 61, and the game's final figure is Boston College's 73-60 win in the last encounter.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 65.8 | 62.8 | 128.5 | +3.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 73.0 | 45.0 | 118.0 | +28.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 63.3 | 68.7 | 132.0 | -5.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 67.1 | 63.4 | 130.5 | +3.7 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 64.6 | 62.6 | 127.2 | +2.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 64.5 | 77.8 | 142.2 | -13.2 | 25% |
| vs Similar (14) | 69.3 | 65.8 | 135.1 | +3.5 | 57% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 70.6 | 65.9 | 136.5 | +4.7 | 60% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 76.3 | 53.0 | 129.3 | +23.3 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 76.3 | 53.0 | 129.3 | +23.3 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 70.8 | 70.3 | 141.1 | +0.5 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.8 | 60.0 | 133.8 | +13.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 65.4 | 74.1 | 139.5 | -8.6 | 17% |
| vs Similar (9) | 69.2 | 66.3 | 135.6 | +2.9 | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 76.3 | 53.0 | 129.3 | +23.3 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.9 | 30.6 | 62.5 | +1.3 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (11) | 34.5 | 30.1 | 64.5 | +4.4 | 73% | - |
| Last 30 away (19) | 30.5 | 30.9 | 61.4 | -0.4 | 58% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.1 | 28.2 | 58.3 | +1.9 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.4 | 28.2 | 58.6 | +2.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 32.2 | 34.2 | 66.5 | -2.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 31.6 | 29.4 | 61.0 | +2.3 | 71% | - |
| vs Weaker (10) | 31.2 | 32.8 | 64.0 | -1.6 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.2 | 32.5 | 63.7 | -1.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (21) | 31.8 | 32.0 | 63.9 | -0.2 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 away (9) | 29.8 | 33.7 | 63.4 | -3.9 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.9 | 33.1 | 65.0 | -1.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.4 | 30.2 | 64.6 | +4.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 30.3 | 34.8 | 65.2 | -4.5 | 22% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 30.2 | 29.6 | 59.8 | +0.7 | 56% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 39.3 | 27.7 | 67.0 | +11.7 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26/11/25 | Boston College v Harvard | 73-60 |
| 18/11/23 | Boston College v Harvard | 73-64 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | George Washington | 57-85 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Northeastern | 70-74 OT |
| 08/11/26 | A | Chicago Maroons | 63-47 |
| 03/11/26 | H | MIT | 73-45 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Penn | 60-62 OT |
| 07/03/26 | H | Columbia | 81-71 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Penn | 61-64 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Princeton | 58-56 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Cornell | 73-54 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Yale | 75-76 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Md.-East. Shore | 82-54 |
| 06/11/26 | H | UMass | 71-55 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Wagner | 76-50 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Notre Dame | 77-69 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Virginia Tech | 63-72 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Miami (FL) | 54-76 |
| 25/02/26 | H | Wake Forest | 68-67 |
| 21/02/26 | A | SMU Mustangs | 70-94 |
| 17/02/26 | A | Florida State | 72-80 |
| 14/02/26 | H | California | 75-86 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLL | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | WLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 65.8 | 73.0 | 63.3 |
| Allowed / game | 62.8 | 45.0 | 68.7 |
| Point differential | +3.0 | +28.0 | -5.3 |
| Avg total | 128.5 | 118.0 | 132.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 25% | 0% | 33% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 3 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 76.3 | 76.3 | - |
| Allowed / game | 53.0 | 53.0 | - |
| Point differential | +23.3 | +23.3 | - |
| Avg total | 129.3 | 129.3 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Columbia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 85.8 | 64.0 | +21.8 |
| 2 |  Dartmouth | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 83.0 | 66.5 | +16.5 |
| 3 |  Princeton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 68.8 | 61.2 | +7.5 |
| 4 | Harvard | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 65.8 | 62.8 | +3.0 |
| 5 |  Cornell | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 78.2 | 75.8 | +2.5 |
| 6 |  Penn | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.7 | 86.0 | -11.3 |
| 7 |  Brown | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 67.0 | 68.0 | -1.0 |
| 8 |  Yale | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 70.2 | 80.8 | -10.5 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Louisville | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 95.5 | 63.5 | +32.0 |
| 2 |  SMU Mustangs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 92.0 | 67.5 | +24.5 |
| 3 | Boston College | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 76.3 | 53.0 | +23.3 |
| 4 |  Notre Dame | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 87.5 | 64.2 | +23.2 |
| 5 |  Virginia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 91.8 | 69.6 | +22.2 |
| 6 |  Virginia Tech | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 89.8 | 67.8 | +22.0 |
| 7 |  NC State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 83.8 | 62.2 | +21.5 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 83.2 | 64.5 | +18.8 |
| 9 |  Georgia Tech | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 69.7 | +15.3 |
| 10 |  Duke | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 90.0 | 57.0 | +33.0 |
| 11 |  Miami (FL) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 83.2 | 59.2 | +24.0 |
| 12 |  North Carolina | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 83.8 | 70.8 | +13.0 |
| 13 |  California | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.5 | 75.2 | +12.2 |
| 14 |  Stanford | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 78.5 | 69.2 | +9.2 |
| 15 |  Clemson | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.2 | 76.8 | +7.5 |
| 16 |  Syracuse | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.3 | 63.3 | +22.0 |
| 17 |  Wake Forest | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 72.0 | 66.7 | +5.3 |
| 18 |  Florida State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.0 | 80.2 | -1.2 |
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