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Hawaii vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 04:59
Final 72-65
28-29 44-36
Position#80
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game57.0
Hawaii 🏆
USA
vs
Position#236
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game63.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hawaii winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HawaiiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#337
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H25/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#321
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#124
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A04/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A06/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H11/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A12/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H12/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
71-51
71
51
+20
H14/11
NCAA
Yale
#50
L
59-62 OT
59
62
-3
H15/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-27
35-27
28-30
34-20
28-25
32-42
38-33
46-29
30-31
38-36
21-28
25-30
30-28
42-26
33-23
38-28
16-17
35-34
44-30
30-31
124.5Avg total
65.9Scored
58.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.057.0126.0+12.075%
Season at home (4)69.057.0126.0+12.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.958.6124.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)64.457.2121.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.265.8129.0-2.525%
vs Similar (16)67.165.1132.2+2.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)70.159.8129.9+10.390%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#108
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A24/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#12
L
63-67 OT
63
67
-4
A16/03
NIT
Washington State
#193
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A12/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A18/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
25-25
0-0
30-27
0-0
29-25
0-0
37-36
0-0
25-31
0-0
47-48
0-0
28-32
0-0
29-25
0-0
31-38
0-0
30-45
0-0
43-21
0-0
28-32
0-0
35-26
0-0
35-40
0-0
27-31
0-0
29-30
0-0
25-22
0-0
34-33
0-0
34-26
0-0
44-39
129.3Avg total
65.1Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)65.863.8129.7+2.067%
Season at home (2)74.559.0133.5+15.5100%
Season away (4)61.566.2127.8-4.850%
Last 10 (10)65.164.2129.3+0.960%
Last 5 (5)66.860.0126.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)62.572.5135.0-10.050%
vs Similar (7)64.667.1131.7-2.671%
vs Weaker (19)71.959.1131.1+12.879%
This opponent (Hawaii) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -1.2-1.2
HawaiiTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HawaiiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#337
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H25/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#321
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#124
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A04/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A06/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H11/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H12/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H14/11
NCAA
Yale
#50
L
16-17
16
17
-1
H15/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H26/11
NCAA
56.8Avg total
29.6Scored
27.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.528.559.0+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)29.827.457.2+2.559%-
Last 30 away (13)31.529.961.4+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)29.627.256.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)28.825.254.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.526.250.8-1.850%-
vs Similar (16)31.028.459.4+2.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)32.229.561.7+2.770%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#108
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#12
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A16/03
NIT
Washington State
#193
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A18/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H26/11
NCAA
57.9Avg total
30.2Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.529.162.6+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.927.163.9+9.869%-
Last 30 away (14)29.631.461.0-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)30.227.757.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)32.825.258.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)28.035.563.5-7.550%-
vs Similar (7)30.629.359.9+1.343%-
vs Weaker (19)34.928.663.5+6.463%-
This opponent (Hawaii) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hawaii wins
0
Texas State wins
No previous meetings.
Hawaiilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22HSacramento State74-61
15/11/22HYale59-62 OT
14/11/22HEast. Washington71-51
12/11/22HMiss. Valley St.72-54
12/03/22ACS Fullerton46-58
11/03/22HUC Riverside68-67
06/03/22ACS Northridge84-62
04/03/22AUC Santa Barbara60-67
27/02/22HCSU Bakersfield62-50
25/02/22HCal Poly63-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22HSouthern Utah78-65
22/11/22ACalifornia59-55
18/11/22AUTSA Roadrunners56-61
12/11/22ARhode Island70-66
11/11/22HMid-America Christian71-53
08/11/22AWashington State61-83
16/03/22ANorth Texas63-67 OT
05/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-79
26/02/22ATroy66-61
24/02/22ASouth Alabama55-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hawaii
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game69.069.0-
Allowed / game57.057.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total126.0126.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game65.874.561.5
Allowed / game63.859.066.2
Point differential+2.0+15.5-4.8
Avg total129.7133.5127.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine76186%83.358.9+24.4
2 UC Santa Barbara54180%71.662.6+9.0
3 Hawaii43175%69.057.0+12.0
4 UC Riverside75271%74.666.6+8.0
5 UC Davis64267%80.372.5+7.8
6 CS Fullerton64267%76.275.0+1.2
7 CSU Bakersfield63350%59.757.2+2.5
8 Long Beach State63350%69.070.0-1.0
9 Cal Poly52340%67.068.6-1.6
10 UC San Diego62433%64.772.2-7.5
11 CS Northridge51420%69.468.4+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss660100%74.055.7+18.3
2 James Madison76186%94.960.1+34.7
3 Troy76186%86.062.3+23.7
4 Marshall65183%86.568.8+17.7
5 Louisiana Lafayette65183%82.771.5+11.2
6 Appalachian State75271%80.669.4+11.1
7 Georgia State64267%68.364.0+4.3
8 Texas State64267%65.863.8+2.0
9 Coastal Carolina53260%80.463.4+17.0
10 Old Dominion74357%71.466.0+5.4
11 Georgia Southern74357%68.966.9+2.0
12 Arkansas State63350%68.263.3+4.8
13 South Alabama62433%70.766.2+4.5
14 Louisiana Monroe72529%72.672.0+0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Hawaii284472
Texas State293665
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