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Texas State vs Southern Utah Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 78-65
34-26 44-39
Position#236
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game63.6
vs
Position#93
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game98.2
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Texas State v Southern Utah
22 Nov 2023
TEXA67
SOUT74
25 Nov 2022
TEXA78
SOUT65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Utah winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#311
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H19/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A24/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#12
L
63-67 OT
63
67
-4
A16/03
NIT
Washington State
#193
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A12/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A18/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-26
0-0
37-24
0-0
25-25
0-0
30-27
0-0
29-25
0-0
37-36
0-0
25-31
0-0
47-48
0-0
28-32
0-0
29-25
0-0
31-38
0-0
30-45
0-0
43-21
0-0
28-32
0-0
35-26
0-0
35-40
0-0
27-31
0-0
29-30
0-0
25-22
0-0
34-33
126.8Avg total
64.1Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)63.463.6127.0-0.260%
Season at home (1)71.053.0124.0+18.0100%
Season away (4)61.566.2127.8-4.850%
Last 10 (10)64.162.7126.8+1.460%
Last 5 (5)63.463.6127.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar (7)64.667.1131.7-2.671%
vs Weaker (20)72.459.9132.2+12.680%
This opponent (Southern Utah) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern UtahUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#153
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H25/02
NCAA
Montana State
#32
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A02/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A04/03
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A06/03
NCAA
Portland State
#232
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H11/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A08/11
NCAA
La Verne
#668
W
117-55
117
55
+62
H11/11
NCAA
Saint Katherine
#533
W
91-48
91
48
+43
H13/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#478
W
126-67
126
67
+59
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-44
54-30
20-31
33-38
46-35
33-36
32-33
48-37
20-35
45-42
33-39
48-50
54-29
63-26
52-23
39-25
68-33
58-34
39-41
37-41
155.2Avg total
85.0Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)98.268.2166.4+30.060%
Season at home (3)111.356.7168.0+54.7100%
Season away (2)78.585.5164.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)85.070.2155.2+14.860%
Last 5 (5)98.268.2166.4+30.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)73.176.8149.8-3.742%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.868.4153.1+16.482%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +9.9+9.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +9.9+9.9
Texas StateSouthern Utah
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#311
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H19/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#12
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A16/03
NIT
Washington State
#193
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A18/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A22/11
NCAA
57.6Avg total
29.9Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.229.362.5+3.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.127.164.2+9.967%-
Last 30 away (15)29.331.560.8-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)29.927.757.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)32.227.659.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar (7)30.629.359.9+1.343%-
vs Weaker (20)34.528.863.2+5.760%-
This opponent (Southern Utah) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern UtahLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#153
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H25/02
NCAA
Montana State
#32
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A02/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A04/03
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Portland State
#232
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H11/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/11
NCAA
La Verne
#668
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Saint Katherine
#533
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H13/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#478
W
68-33
68
33
+35
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A19/11
NCAA
73.5Avg total
39.2Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.270.2+3.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.133.472.5+5.847%-
Last 30 away (13)34.332.967.2+1.446%-
Last 10 (10)39.234.373.5+4.940%-
Last 5 (5)49.233.082.2+16.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)31.836.768.4-4.917%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.830.970.7+8.865%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas State wins
0
Southern Utah wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/22ACalifornia59-55
18/11/22AUTSA Roadrunners56-61
12/11/22ARhode Island70-66
11/11/22HMid-America Christian71-53
08/11/22AWashington State61-83
16/03/22ANorth Texas63-67 OT
05/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-79
26/02/22ATroy66-61
24/02/22ASouth Alabama55-52
19/02/22HUALR68-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22AKansas76-82
15/11/22HBethesda126-67
13/11/22HSaint Katherine91-48
11/11/22HLa Verne117-55
08/11/22ANew Mexico81-89
11/03/22HPortland State65-77
06/03/22AWeber State80-70
04/03/22AIdaho State79-71
02/03/22AMontana State53-69
25/02/22HMontana82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game63.471.061.5
Allowed / game63.653.066.2
Point differential-0.2+18.0-4.8
Avg total127.0124.0127.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Utah
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game98.2111.378.5
Allowed / game68.256.785.5
Point differential+30.0+54.7-7.0
Avg total166.4168.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss660100%74.055.7+18.3
2 Louisiana Lafayette550100%86.470.6+15.8
3 Troy76186%86.062.3+23.7
4 James Madison65183%97.560.2+37.3
5 Marshall54180%87.270.8+16.4
6 Appalachian State75271%80.669.4+11.1
7 Georgia State64267%68.364.0+4.3
8 Texas State53260%63.463.6-0.2
9 Coastal Carolina42250%84.064.5+19.5
10 Arkansas State63350%68.263.3+4.8
11 Old Dominion63350%71.568.7+2.8
12 Georgia Southern63350%63.565.8-2.3
13 South Alabama52340%72.867.0+5.8
14 Louisiana Monroe62433%74.073.2+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah53260%98.268.2+30.0
2 Tarleton53260%75.463.4+12.0
3 Utah Valley State63350%73.067.5+5.5
4 California Baptist63350%63.361.2+2.2
5 UT Arlington73443%67.964.7+3.1
6 Abilene Christian62433%70.068.2+1.8
7 Utah Tech62433%69.577.8-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State344478
Southern Utah263965
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