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South Alabama vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 52-55
25-25 27-30
Position#108
Record18-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game63.4
vs
Position#40
Record19-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game63.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · South Alabama v Texas State
19 Feb 2026
SOUT82
TEXA90
15 Feb 2025
SOUT70
TEXA65
15 Feb 2024
SOUT72
TEXA55
07 Jan 2023
SOUT58
TEXA64
23 Feb 2022
SOUT52
TEXA55
14 Mar 2020
SOUT v TEXA
upcoming
03 Mar 2020
SOUT58
TEXA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A21/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A22/01
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H28/01
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A05/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
77-46
77
46
+31
H11/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H13/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
20-26
57-44
33-35
35-21
39-33
43-30
22-31
46-46
23-38
34-20
24-42
38-27
42-25
35-21
45-25
25-26
31-28
40-40
19-30
32-39
131.0Avg total
68.3Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.463.4135.9+9.067%
Season at home (13)78.758.1136.8+20.692%
Season away (14)66.668.4135.1-1.843%
Last 10 (10)68.362.7131.0+5.660%
Last 5 (5)66.260.6126.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.082.0155.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)69.768.5138.2+1.267%
vs Weaker (22)73.164.0137.1+9.164%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#311
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A12/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-24
26-35
32-32
28-35
21-36
37-34
26-29
32-24
41-29
27-37
29-29
40-35
41-36
41-37
30-29
33-25
48-29
36-38
31-26
37-24
130.2Avg total
67.9Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.563.0134.5+8.576%
Season at home (13)74.557.2131.7+17.292%
Season away (12)68.269.2137.5-1.058%
Last 10 (10)67.962.3130.2+5.680%
Last 5 (5)73.261.6134.8+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)66.969.7136.6-2.957%
vs Weaker (22)72.759.5132.2+13.286%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +1.3+1.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +1.3+1.3
South AlabamaTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A21/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/01
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A05/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H11/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H13/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
19-30
19
30
-11
A19/02
NCAA
61.1Avg total
29.8Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.431.364.7+2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.329.968.2+8.360%-
Last 30 away (15)28.532.761.2-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)29.831.361.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.230.062.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.040.071.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)28.332.060.3-3.750%-
vs Weaker (22)34.731.266.0+3.541%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#311
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A11/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H19/02
NCAA
64.1Avg total
34.2Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.129.063.1+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.826.862.6+9.171%-
Last 30 away (13)31.931.963.8+0.046%-
Last 10 (10)34.229.964.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.829.865.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.428.359.7+3.157%-
vs Weaker (22)35.528.564.0+7.064%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
South Alabama wins
0
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
04/03/20South Alabama v Texas State58-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/22AAppalachian State51-69
18/02/22ACoastal Carolina71-68
13/02/22HArkansas State70-51
11/02/22HUALR77-46
05/02/22AGeorgia State62-69
04/02/22AGeorgia Southern57-58
30/01/22ATroy68-77
28/01/22HTroy82-63
22/01/22ALouisiana Monroe68-56
21/01/22ALouisiana Lafayette77-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/22HUALR68-50
18/02/22HArkansas State84-67
12/02/22ALouisiana Monroe63-54
11/02/22ALouisiana Lafayette82-73
05/02/22HCoastal Carolina69-64
03/02/22HAppalachian State68-66
29/01/22HUT Arlington58-53
28/01/22AUT Arlington58-70
22/01/22AArkansas State60-67
21/01/22AUALR69-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %67%92%43%
Points / game72.478.766.6
Allowed / game63.458.168.4
Point differential+9.0+20.6-1.8
Avg total135.9136.8135.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Texas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %76%92%58%
Points / game71.574.568.2
Allowed / game63.057.269.2
Point differential+8.5+17.2-1.0
Avg total134.5131.7137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State2519676%71.563.0+8.5
2 Troy2819968%69.965.1+4.8
3 South Alabama2718967%72.463.4+9.0
4 Arkansas State2516964%71.267.9+3.3
5 Georgia State2415962%71.164.4+6.7
6 Appalachian State30181260%66.962.4+4.5
7 James Madison27151256%76.172.0+4.1
8 Coastal Carolina26141254%73.365.3+7.9
9 Louisiana Lafayette26131350%71.669.7+1.9
10 Louisiana Monroe29131645%72.273.9-1.7
11 Georgia Southern26111542%66.065.0+1.0
12 Marshall28111739%74.876.6-1.8
13 Old Dominion27101737%66.267.6-1.4
14 Southern Miss2762122%64.174.4-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Alabama252752
Texas State253055
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