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HBA-Marsky Helsinki vs Karkkila Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 80-90
31-24 9-22 21-23 19-21
Position#4
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game62.0
vs
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game71.0
FinlandI Divisioona A· Mäkelänrinteen Uintikeskus
Other2026-27
Meetings · HBA-Marsky Helsinki v Karkkila
06 Nov 2026
HBA-80
KARK90
24 Oct 2025
HBA-70
KARK75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HBA-Marsky Helsinki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karkkila winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HBA-Marsky HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
Raiders Basket
#12
W
105-87
105
87
+18
110avg 74
A20/02
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
65-85
65
85
-20
56avg 74
H27/02
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
84-73
84
73
+11
76avg 74
A06/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
108-71
108
71
+37
104avg 74
H15/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
66-80
66
80
-14
57avg 74
A19/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
62avg 74
H22/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
59-83
59
83
-24
38avg 74
A26/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#8
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
A09/10
I Divisioona A
Kobrat
#3
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H16/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#7
W
83-53
83
53
+30
no box
A31/10
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
26-24
30-17
19-22
19-27
16-25
20-22
10-11
16-23
14-20
25-12
29-18
36-17
28-18
23-15
21-21
15-22
20-26
15-20
16-12
15-18
20-19
22-25
14-23
20-26
16-22
12-16
11-19
25-12
19-21
18-22
20-19
16-18
21-17
23-15
21-9
21-18
28-15
13-12
21-8
155.4Avg total
80.4Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.062.0144.0+20.0100%
Season at home (1)81.059.0140.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)82.563.5146.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.475.0155.4+5.460%
Last 5 (5)75.270.8146.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.986.5163.4-9.621%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.278.8157.0-0.550%
vs Weaker (12)86.071.2157.2+14.875%
This opponent (Karkkila) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarkkilaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarkkila
Date
Competition
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
90-83
90
83
+7
80avg 82
H27/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 82
A03/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
96-90
96
90
+6
93avg 82
H06/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
86-101
86
101
-15
78avg 82
A09/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
96-95
96
95
+1
87avg 82
H12/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
91-102
91
102
-11
76avg 82
A15/04
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
A08/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#11
W
95-52
95
52
+43
no box
H18/10
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
no box
A25/10
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H01/11
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
24-29
10-14
37-23
28-22
17-25
27-20
11-25
19-22
23-25
27-19
27-24
12-22
39-24
14-28
21-27
26-5
23-32
16-34
31-24
21-25
28-24
30-33
12-20
14-25
26-17
27-17
14-12
34-9
19-17
23-6
19-20
12-19
18-20
28-16
9-24
25-17
23-22
20-28
16-15
171.6Avg total
86.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.871.0152.8+10.875%
Season at home (2)89.567.0156.5+22.5100%
Season away (2)74.075.0149.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)86.984.7171.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)83.677.2160.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.384.7159.0-10.333%
vs Similar ◀ (6)89.395.8185.2-6.533%
vs Weaker (21)93.477.5170.9+16.090%
This opponent (HBA-Marsky Helsinki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
HBA-Marsky HelsinkiKarkkila
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HBA-Marsky HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raiders Basket
#12
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A20/02
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H27/02
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A06/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
64-35
64
35
+29
H15/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A19/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H22/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A26/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#8
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A09/10
I Divisioona A
Kobrat
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H16/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#7
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A31/10
I Divisioona A
83.3Avg total
42.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.581.4+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.436.477.9+5.071%-
Last 30 away (16)40.544.084.5-3.544%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.283.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.277.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.945.984.8-7.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.236.875.0+1.550%-
vs Weaker (12)44.235.379.6+8.983%-
This opponent (Karkkila) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarkkilaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A03/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H06/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A09/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H12/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A15/04
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A08/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#11
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H18/10
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A25/10
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H01/11
I Divisioona A
86.8Avg total
45.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.540.788.2+6.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.840.188.9+8.767%-
Last 30 away (15)46.341.387.5+5.053%-
Last 10 (10)45.041.886.8+3.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.083.0+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.339.378.7+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.847.794.5-0.833%-
vs Weaker (21)48.938.987.8+10.071%-
This opponent (HBA-Marsky Helsinki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
HBA-Marsky Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA-Marsky Helsinki: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.516.5
46.5%
51.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.2
34.1%
30.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.012.1
67.2%
67.8%12.1
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karkkilatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karkkila: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.6
55.5%
51.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.6
34.5%
30.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.613.8
67.0%
67.8%13.8
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
WWWLLLWWLW
Karkkila
WLWWLWLWLW
#4
League position
#2
-4.2
Net rating
+3.6
82.7
Offensive rating
96.6
86.9
Defensive rating
93.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
53.9%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
19.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.1%
3-point %
34.5%
61.7%
Assist %
45.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.7 · 96.6Defence86.9 · 93.0Shooting48.8% · 53.9%3-point %34.1% · 34.5%Ball care19.4% · 14.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ HBA-Marsky Helsinki   ■ Karkkila
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
HBA-Marsky Helsinki wins
2
Karkkila wins
DateGameScore
18/01/26Karkkila v HBA-Marsky Helsinki107-73
24/10/25HBA-Marsky Helsinki v Karkkila70-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ARaholan Pyrkiva83-53
16/10/26HKobrat81-59
09/10/26AToPo Helsinki82-74
26/03/26AACO Basket59-83
22/03/26HACO Basket71-85
19/03/26AACO Basket66-80
15/03/26HHelsingin NMKY108-71
06/03/26AHuima84-73
27/02/26HJyvaskyla65-85
20/02/26ARaiders Basket105-87
Karkkilalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HToPo Helsinki84-82
25/10/26AACO Basket67-79
18/10/26HPyrinto Akatemia95-52
08/10/26ALappeenranta81-71
15/04/26AKipina91-102
12/04/26HKipina96-95
09/04/26AKipina86-101
06/04/26HKipina96-90
03/04/26AKipina83-92
27/03/26HHelsingin NMKY90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

HBA-Marsky Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.081.082.5
Allowed / game62.059.063.5
Point differential+20.0+22.0+19.0
Avg total144.0140.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karkkila
I Divisioona A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.889.574.0
Allowed / game71.067.075.0
Point differential+10.8+22.5-1.0
Avg total152.8156.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket440100%84.564.2+20.2
2 HBA-Marsky Helsinki330100%82.062.0+20.0
3 Karkkila43175%81.871.0+10.8
4 Jyvaskyla53260%83.480.2+3.2
5 Kobrat42250%82.077.8+4.2
6 Lappeenranta42250%78.578.2+0.2
7 Pantterit42250%82.088.5-6.5
8 Raholan Pyrkiva42250%68.880.8-12.0
9 ToPo Helsinki41325%85.583.5+2.0
10 Huima41325%79.890.5-10.8
11 Pyrinto Akatemia51420%69.283.0-13.8
12 Helsingin NMKY3030%72.786.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
HBA-Marsky Helsinki319211980
Karkkila2422232190
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