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Lappeenranta vs Karkkila Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 71-81
25-14 17-26 17-27 12-14
Position#6
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Lappeenranta
Finland
vs
Karkkila 🏆
Finland
Position#2
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FinlandI Divisioona A· Lappeenranta Sports Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lappeenranta v Karkkila
08 Oct 2026
LAPP71
KARK81
08 Jan 2026
LAPP63
KARK102
04 Feb 2009
LAPP69
KARK57
25 Oct 2008
LAPP79
KARK84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lappeenranta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karkkila winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LappeenrantaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLappeenranta
Date
Competition
Karkkila
#3
L
63-102
63
102
-39
56avg 63
H08/01
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
A17/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
75-114
75
114
-39
62avg 63
H22/01
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
54-65
54
65
-11
45avg 63
H29/01
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 63
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
73-65
73
65
+8
63avg 63
H12/02
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
61-80
61
80
-19
53avg 63
A20/02
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
L
69-78
69
78
-9
58avg 63
H27/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
76-101
76
101
-25
68avg 63
A08/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
51-83
51
83
-32
36avg 63
H15/03
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
22-22
13-30
12-22
23-24
19-19
10-17
25-20
8-35
26-30
17-19
24-30
17-20
19-18
12-9
6-18
17-22
21-21
18-14
22-13
15-20
18-15
16-17
24-13
15-26
20-10
9-19
17-25
16-17
15-14
13-20
25-27
18-22
12-34
22-17
24-28
9-21
19-23
15-20
8-19
151.5Avg total
67.7Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.783.8151.5-16.120%
Last 5 (5)66.081.4147.4-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)71.086.3157.3-15.29%
vs Similar (7)78.985.3164.1-6.443%
vs Weaker (1)82.068.0150.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarkkilaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarkkila
Date
Competition
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 82
H08/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
105-78
105
78
+27
102avg 82
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
81avg 82
H21/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
83-62
83
62
+21
70avg 82
A25/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
90-83
90
83
+7
80avg 82
H27/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 82
A03/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
96-90
96
90
+6
93avg 82
H06/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
86-101
86
101
-15
78avg 82
A09/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
96-95
96
95
+1
87avg 82
H12/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
91-102
91
102
-11
76avg 82
A15/04
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
26-20
14-15
23-15
31-15
29-17
25-21
20-25
18-24
27-21
28-24
22-24
18-24
29-13
18-13
18-12
19-17
24-29
10-14
37-23
28-22
17-25
27-20
11-25
19-22
23-25
27-19
27-24
12-22
39-24
14-28
21-27
26-5
23-32
16-34
31-24
21-25
28-24
30-33
12-20
178.4Avg total
90.8Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.887.6178.4+3.270%
Last 5 (5)90.496.0186.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.087.5165.5-9.550%
vs Similar (7)88.494.4182.9-6.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)94.377.2171.5+17.090%
This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
LappeenrantaKarkkila
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LappeenrantaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karkkila
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H08/01
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A17/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
34-65
34
65
-31
H22/01
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/01
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H12/02
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A20/02
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H27/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A08/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H15/03
I Divisioona A
78.6Avg total
34.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.643.780.3-7.017%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.143.178.2-7.97%-
Last 30 away (16)37.944.282.1-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)34.544.178.6-9.60%-
Last 5 (5)31.440.471.8-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)35.544.279.7-8.69%-
vs Similar (7)39.143.382.4-4.129%-
vs Weaker (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarkkilaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H08/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A25/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A03/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H06/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A09/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H12/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A15/04
I Divisioona A
91.3Avg total
47.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.640.387.9+7.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.339.587.8+8.767%-
Last 30 away (15)47.041.188.1+5.960%-
Last 10 (10)47.743.691.3+4.140%-
Last 5 (5)47.245.292.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.039.583.5+4.550%-
vs Similar (7)46.045.991.9+0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)48.538.587.0+10.071%-
This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lappeenrantatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lappeenranta: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.6
54.3%
51.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.67.3
22.4%
30.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.710.8
68.8%
67.8%10.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karkkilatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karkkila: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.6
55.5%
51.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.6
34.5%
30.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.613.8
67.0%
67.8%13.8
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lappeenranta
LLLLWWLLLL
Karkkila
LWLWLWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
-20.2
Net rating
+3.6
75.8
Offensive rating
96.6
96.0
Defensive rating
93.0
43.9%
Effective FG%
53.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
20.3%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
22.4%
3-point %
34.5%
66.7%
Assist %
45.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence75.8 · 96.6Defence96.0 · 93.0Shooting43.9% · 53.9%3-point %22.4% · 34.5%Ball care20.3% · 14.5%Off. rebounds31.7% · -Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Lappeenranta   ■ Karkkila
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lappeenranta wins
3
Karkkila wins
DateGameScore
08/01/26Lappeenranta v Karkkila63-102
19/10/25Karkkila v Lappeenranta107-66
28/03/09Karkkila v Lappeenranta74-100
04/02/09Lappeenranta v Karkkila69-57
28/12/08Karkkila v Lappeenranta68-77
25/10/08Lappeenranta v Karkkila79-84
Lappeenrantalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HACO Basket51-83
08/03/26AHelsingin NMKY76-101
27/02/26HHuima69-78
20/02/26AJyvaskyla61-80
12/02/26HRaiders Basket73-65
07/02/26AHBA-Marsky Helsinki78-70
29/01/26HToPo Helsinki54-65
22/01/26HKipina75-114
17/01/26ARaholan Pyrkiva77-80
08/01/26HKarkkila63-102
Karkkilalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/26AKipina91-102
12/04/26HKipina96-95
09/04/26AKipina86-101
06/04/26HKipina96-90
03/04/26AKipina83-92
27/03/26HHelsingin NMKY90-83
25/03/26AHelsingin NMKY83-62
21/03/26HHelsingin NMKY95-93
15/03/26ARaholan Pyrkiva105-78
08/03/26HToPo Helsinki83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lappeenranta
I Divisioona A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Karkkila
I Divisioona A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lappeenranta2517171271
Karkkila1426271481
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