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HBA W vs BC Nokia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 79-74
20-20 25-22 17-16 17-16
Position#9
Record8-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game67.2
HBA W 🏆
Finland
vs
BC Nokia W
Finland
Position#1
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game60.7
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Mäkelänrinteen Uintikeskus (Helsinki)
Women2023-24
Meetings · HBA W v BC Nokia W
04 Feb 2024
HBA 79
BC N74
11 Dec 2022
HBA 79
BC N53
07 Nov 2021
HBA 60
BC N81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HBA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Nokia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HBA WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
54-69
54
69
-15
35avg 59
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
W
78-73
78
73
+5
67avg 59
H17/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
58-56
58
56
+2
55avg 59
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
69-58
69
58
+11
63avg 59
H01/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
58-74
58
74
-16
39avg 59
A08/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
no box
H15/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
62-81
62
81
-19
44avg 59
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
62avg 59
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 59
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
96-54
96
54
+42
94avg 59
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
12-21
5-24
17-12
23-17
13-27
19-14
23-15
13-18
10-15
22-11
13-12
16-12
17-13
14-18
22-15
22-20
13-21
5-17
18-16
22-18
22-13
13-22
16-20
13-14
13-19
17-29
19-19
12-24
22-17
28-20
15-20
18-29
22-23
21-8
27-14
22-13
24-12
29-5
21-24
141.2Avg total
71.7Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.767.2136.9+2.553%
Season at home (8)74.662.8137.4+11.975%
Season away (7)64.172.3136.4-8.129%
Last 10 (10)71.769.5141.2+2.260%
Last 5 (5)80.073.0153.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)65.970.1136.0-4.245%
vs Similar (9)69.164.3133.4+4.867%
vs Weaker (10)68.460.2128.6+8.260%
This opponent (BC Nokia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Nokia WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
LePy W
#11
L
65-66
65
66
-1
58avg 66
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
73-60
73
60
+13
67avg 66
H19/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
W
78-70
78
70
+8
62avg 66
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
W
64-47
64
47
+17
58avg 66
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
53-39
53
39
+14
38avg 66
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
84-52
84
52
+32
80avg 66
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
87-65
87
65
+22
76avg 66
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
75-67
75
67
+8
67avg 66
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
87-66
87
66
+21
86avg 66
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
76-55
76
55
+21
64avg 66
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
19-26
15-11
11-10
17-12
14-22
18-13
24-13
17-22
18-16
19-11
24-21
11-16
8-13
20-6
25-12
22-11
4-9
12-8
15-11
22-18
25-17
21-7
16-10
20-16
27-17
18-18
22-14
28-14
8-21
22-21
17-11
22-17
21-11
24-13
20-25
25-12
19-13
17-7
15-23
132.9Avg total
74.2Scored
58.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.960.7136.5+15.293%
Season at home (8)75.260.1135.4+15.1100%
Season away (7)76.661.3137.9+15.386%
Last 10 (10)74.258.7132.9+15.590%
Last 5 (5)81.861.0142.8+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)61.482.0143.4-20.611%
vs Similar (4)76.582.0158.5-5.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)76.060.5136.5+15.594%
This opponent (HBA W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
HBA WBC Nokia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HBA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H17/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H01/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A08/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H15/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
70.7Avg total
34.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.667.5+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.131.967.0+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)32.735.468.1-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)34.935.870.7-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.474.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.036.068.0-4.036%-
vs Similar (9)36.934.671.4+2.344%-
vs Weaker (10)33.330.263.5+3.150%-
This opponent (BC Nokia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Nokia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LePy W
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
68.9Avg total
36.7Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.236.571.7-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.334.070.3+2.350%-
Last 30 away (14)33.939.373.2-5.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.268.9+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.431.274.6+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.943.374.2-12.411%-
vs Similar (4)32.545.077.5-12.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.130.868.9+7.371%-
This opponent (HBA W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
HBA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA W: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.518.0
40.4%
40.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.0
26.8%
24.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.09.4
62.7%
63.2%9.4
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Nokia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia W: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.918.6
42.4%
40.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.38.8
27.2%
24.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.29.6
52.7%
63.2%9.6
They take 76.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
HBA W
WWLLWLWWWL
BC Nokia W
WWWWWWWWWL
#9
League position
#1
+1.9
Net rating
+18.3
86.5
Offensive rating
88.6
84.6
Defensive rating
70.3
40.4%
Effective FG%
41.7%
40.6%
Opp. effective FG%
36.3%
22.5%
Turnover %
26.4%
38.6%
Off. rebound %
45.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.24
26.8%
3-point %
27.2%
64.6%
Assist %
69.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence86.5 · 88.6Defence84.6 · 70.3Shooting40.4% · 41.7%3-point %26.8% · 27.2%Ball care22.5% · 26.4%Off. rebounds38.6% · 45.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ HBA W   ■ BC Nokia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
HBA W wins
2
BC Nokia W wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23BC Nokia W v HBA W83-70
11/12/22HBA W v BC Nokia W79-53
31/03/22BC Nokia W v HBA W48-68
07/11/21HBA W v BC Nokia W60-81
HBA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HKorihait W96-54
21/01/24ATurun NMKY W88-74
12/01/24HPuhuttaret W77-81
07/01/24AHyPo W62-81
15/12/23HTapiolan Honka II W77-75 OT
08/12/23ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W58-74
01/12/23HEspoo Team II W69-58
26/11/23APantterit W58-56
17/11/23HLePy W78-73
12/11/23ALappeenranta W54-69
BC Nokia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HTapiolan Honka II W76-55
21/01/24ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W87-66
14/01/24HEspoo Team II W75-67
07/01/24APantterit W87-65
17/12/23HKorihait W84-52
10/12/23ATurun NMKY W53-39
03/12/23HPuhuttaret W64-47
26/11/23AHyPo W78-70
19/11/23HLahti Basketball W73-60
12/11/23ALePy W65-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

HBA W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%75%29%
Points / game69.774.664.1
Allowed / game67.262.872.3
Point differential+2.5+11.9-8.1
Avg total136.9137.4136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
BC Nokia W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game75.975.276.6
Allowed / game60.760.161.3
Point differential+15.2+15.1+15.3
Avg total136.5135.4137.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%75%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W1514193%75.960.7+15.2
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W1612475%70.763.6+7.1
3 Lappeenranta W1611569%59.954.9+5.1
4 Lahti Basketball W1610662%66.759.6+7.1
5 Turun NMKY W159660%60.962.5-1.6
6 Pyrinto II W169756%66.562.3+4.2
7 HBA W158753%69.767.2+2.5
8 HyPo W157847%62.762.4+0.3
9 Tapiolan Honka II W167944%69.066.4+2.6
10 Espoo Team II W167944%66.468.6-2.2
11 Jyvaskyla BA W167944%63.266.0-2.8
12 LePy W167944%59.464.9-5.6
13 Puhuttaret W146843%66.967.5-0.6
14 Korihait W1551033%64.771.1-6.4
15 Pantterit W1541127%62.169.2-7.1
16 Kataja W161156%49.967.5-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
HBA W2025171779
BC Nokia W2022161674
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