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Heidelberg vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 107-101 (OT)
20-11 28-25 19-20 16-27 24-18
Position#10
Record4-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game91.8
Heidelberg 🏆
Germany
vs
Bayreuth
Germany
Position#18
Record3-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game87.6
GermanyBBLRound 15
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Heidelberg v Bayreuth
14 Feb 2027
HEI v BAR
upcoming
15 Jan 2023
HEI107
BAR101
06 Nov 2021
HEI87
BAR89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heidelberg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
no box
H20/11
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 70
A27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
A04/12
German Cup
Chemnitz
#12
L
78-87
78
87
-9
68avg 70
A06/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-79
95
79
+16
88avg 70
H10/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
85-92
85
92
-7
66avg 70
A17/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
72avg 70
H27/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
74-101
74
101
-27
59avg 70
A30/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 70
H04/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
93-102
93
102
-9
85avg 70
A07/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
14-25
29-12
24-27
20-18
23-23
20-23
28-20
23-21
29-18
14-22
17-24
19-19
30-25
17-25
12-18
20-24
21-21
22-14
32-20
19-29
21-18
26-23
19-22
25-23
26-27
18-17
14-20
22-31
23-28
17-25
12-17
25-28
19-16
25-27
14-16
21-23
23-33
23-31
26-15
177.1Avg total
86.1Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.391.8177.1-6.529%
Season at home (7)91.191.9183.0-0.743%
Season away (7)79.491.7171.1-12.314%
Last 10 (10)86.191.0177.1-4.920%
Last 5 (5)83.693.8177.4-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.592.5172.0-13.115%
vs Similar (15)84.586.3170.8-1.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)93.090.0183.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 73
A06/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
76-77
76
77
-1
68avg 73
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
83-96
83
96
-13
68avg 73
A26/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
A04/12
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
82avg 73
A10/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 73
A16/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
89-100
89
100
-11
75avg 73
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 73
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 73
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
83-99
83
99
-16
76avg 73
H08/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
20-16
6-28
26-19
24-8
17-22
16-18
19-29
18-23
22-30
27-23
16-20
14-13
16-34
14-13
19-20
20-27
29-13
18-21
16-30
19-22
19-28
14-21
25-13
14-18
21-26
20-33
34-23
24-30
19-19
25-15
24-22
17-31
16-22
13-22
27-20
31-24
22-26
16-24
14-25
167.6Avg total
78.7Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.787.6168.4-6.921%
Season at home (7)83.687.3170.9-3.743%
Season away (7)77.988.0165.9-10.10%
Last 10 (10)78.788.9167.6-10.210%
Last 5 (5)82.892.8175.6-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.986.8165.7-7.914%
vs Similar (7)78.689.4168.0-10.914%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
HeidelbergBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H20/11
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A04/12
German Cup
Chemnitz
#12
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A06/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H10/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H27/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A30/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A07/01
BBL
91.8Avg total
44.4Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.544.284.7-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.744.785.4-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)40.343.884.1-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)44.447.491.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.851.296.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.743.882.5-5.223%-
vs Similar (15)41.944.586.3-2.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)43.054.097.0-11.00%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A26/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A04/12
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H08/01
BBL
84.8Avg total
39.8Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.485.1-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.643.584.1-2.936%-
Last 30 away (16)40.945.186.0-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.845.084.8-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.449.289.6-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.743.584.2-2.936%-
vs Similar (7)41.447.188.6-5.729%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.3
54.6%
54.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.69.5
29.1%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.217.2
77.5%
75.8%17.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.315.7
48.6%
54.4%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.0
36.5%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.717.1
75.3%
75.8%17.1
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Heidelberg
LLLLLWLLWL
Bayreuth
LLWLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#18
-11.3
Net rating
-14.1
105.9
Offensive rating
106.6
117.3
Defensive rating
120.8
49.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
19.1%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.1%
3-point %
36.5%
50.0%
Assist %
63.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 106.6Defence117.3 · 120.8Shooting49.1% · 51.4%3-point %29.1% · 36.5%Ball care18.5% · 19.1%Off. rebounds31.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Heidelberg   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Heidelberg wins
2
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
12/02/22Bayreuth v Heidelberg85-79
06/11/21Heidelberg v Bayreuth87-89
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ACrailsheim Merlins93-102
04/01/23HHamburg83-87
30/12/22ABamberg74-101
27/12/22HBayern83-87
17/12/22ASyntainics MBC85-92
10/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig95-79
06/12/22AChemnitz78-87
04/12/22AOldenburg83-85
27/11/22ARostock91-84
20/11/22HUlm96-106 OT
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23HWurzburg83-99
29/12/22HGottingen73-95
26/12/22HBamberg92-86
22/12/22AGottingen89-100
16/12/22AChemnitz77-84
10/12/22AAlba Berlin83-91
04/12/22ABayern63-80
26/11/22ASyntainics MBC83-96
19/11/22HBasketball Braunschweig76-77
06/11/22ABayern68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Heidelberg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game85.391.179.4
Allowed / game91.891.991.7
Point differential-6.5-0.7-12.3
Avg total177.1183.0171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %14%29%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL21%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%43%0%
Points / game80.783.677.9
Allowed / game87.687.388.0
Point differential-6.9-3.7-10.1
Avg total168.4170.9165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn1413193%90.675.1+15.5
2 Alba Berlin1312192%92.179.6+12.5
3 Bayern1411379%82.975.5+7.4
4 Oldenburg1510567%86.681.5+5.1
5 Gottingen149564%87.184.1+2.9
6 Ludwigsburg138562%87.584.5+2.9
7 Chemnitz127558%87.684.8+2.8
8 Wurzburg158753%85.385.7-0.5
9 Bamberg157847%85.184.2+0.9
10 Hamburg146843%83.585.1-1.6
11 Rostock146843%86.692.5-5.9
12 Ulm156940%87.387.8-0.5
13 Syntainics MBC156940%82.789.7-7.0
14 Crailsheim Merlins145936%88.492.9-4.6
15 Frankfurt1441029%78.784.6-5.9
16 Heidelberg1441029%85.391.8-6.5
17 Bayreuth1431121%80.787.6-6.9
18 Basketball Braunschweig1521313%77.385.7-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Heidelberg2028191624107
Bayreuth1125202718101
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