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Chemnitz vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-77
22-19 28-19 21-14 13-25
Position#12
Record5-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game84.8
GermanyBBLRound 10
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Chemnitz v Bayreuth
16 Dec 2022
CHE84
BAR77
09 Oct 2021
CHE72
BAR86
30 Jan 2021
CHE61
BAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 79
H29/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#4
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
no box
A05/11
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
106-94
106
94
+12
107avg 79
H18/11
BBL
Golden Eagle Ylli
#34
W
101-72
101
72
+29
no box
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#9
L
75-88
75
88
-13
69avg 79
H27/11
BBL
Galil Elyon
#24
W
111-79
111
79
+32
no box
H30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 79
H06/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
104-81
104
81
+23
105avg 79
A11/12
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
73-83
73
83
-10
no box
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
22-24
28-19
24-21
21-16
24-16
17-21
22-15
21-26
24-21
16-21
22-15
36-19
25-23
24-22
21-30
24-24
34-13
20-13
23-22
23-30
21-20
16-21
15-17
38-23
20-14
25-19
28-23
19-19
25-30
25-17
18-12
24-25
30-19
18-20
32-17
21-22
14-25
21-26
17-10
176.3Avg total
93.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.587.1177.6+3.462%
Season at home (5)89.487.0176.4+2.460%
Season away (3)92.387.3179.7+5.067%
Last 10 (10)93.882.5176.3+11.380%
Last 5 (5)90.081.8171.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.784.3163.0-5.733%
vs Similar (7)83.385.9169.1-2.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.877.6168.4+13.179%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
65avg 72
A05/10
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
79-95
79
95
-16
68avg 72
H08/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A15/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
99-77
99
77
+22
97avg 72
H23/10
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
68avg 72
A29/10
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 72
A06/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
76-77
76
77
-1
68avg 72
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
83-96
83
96
-13
68avg 72
A26/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
A04/12
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
82avg 72
A10/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
19-30
16-14
15-18
15-27
24-25
19-20
21-23
17-24
20-19
13-14
25-12
32-18
22-16
19-24
26-19
23-25
25-17
14-22
11-24
16-18
20-16
6-28
26-19
24-8
17-22
16-18
19-29
18-23
22-30
27-23
16-20
14-13
16-34
14-13
19-20
20-27
29-13
18-21
16-30
160.1Avg total
77.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.684.8164.3-5.222%
Season at home (4)84.282.8167.0+1.550%
Season away (5)75.886.4162.2-10.60%
Last 10 (10)77.183.0160.1-5.920%
Last 5 (5)74.685.0159.6-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.584.2161.7-6.716%
vs Similar (10)77.587.6165.1-10.120%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
ChemnitzBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H29/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A05/11
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H18/11
BBL
Golden Eagle Ylli
#34
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H27/11
BBL
Galil Elyon
#24
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H06/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A11/12
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
92.4Avg total
49.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.085.6+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.841.686.4+3.246%-
Last 30 away (17)44.540.585.1+4.059%-
Last 10 (10)49.043.492.4+5.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.045.492.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.242.779.8-5.533%-
vs Similar (7)44.745.390.0-0.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.039.087.0+9.071%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A05/10
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H08/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A15/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H23/10
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A29/10
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A26/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A04/12
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/12
BBL
83.4Avg total
41.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.083.4-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.141.782.8-0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)39.944.183.9-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.983.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.880.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.741.382.1-0.642%-
vs Similar (10)40.246.186.3-5.920%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.9
59.4%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.7
37.2%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.7
78.1%
75.8%15.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.5
49.5%
54.4%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.6
39.0%
35.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
75.8%15.0
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LWWWLWWWWW
Bayreuth
LLLLLLWWLL
#12
League position
#18
+7.6
Net rating
-9.7
116.8
Offensive rating
107.5
109.2
Defensive rating
117.1
57.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
22.6%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.2%
3-point %
39.0%
72.9%
Assist %
62.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 107.5Defence109.2 · 117.1Shooting57.7% · 53.7%3-point %37.2% · 39.0%Ball care18.5% · 22.6%Off. rebounds30.5% · 34.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chemnitz wins
3
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
13/04/22Bayreuth v Chemnitz69-83
09/10/21Chemnitz v Bayreuth72-86
21/03/21Bayreuth v Chemnitz85-72
30/01/21Chemnitz v Bayreuth61-83
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/22HCholet73-83
11/12/22AHamburg104-81
06/12/22HHeidelberg87-78
30/11/22HGalil Elyon111-79
27/11/22HBamberg75-88
23/11/22AGolden Eagle Ylli101-72
18/11/22HCrailsheim Merlins106-94
05/11/22AUlm99-93 OT
02/11/22ABamberg84-68
29/10/22HSyntainics MBC98-89
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22AAlba Berlin83-91
04/12/22ABayern63-80
26/11/22ASyntainics MBC83-96
19/11/22HBasketball Braunschweig76-77
06/11/22ABayern68-81
29/10/22AUlm73-88
23/10/22HCrailsheim Merlins99-77
15/10/22ASyntainics MBC75-69
08/10/22HHamburg79-95
05/10/22AOldenburg72-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game90.589.492.3
Allowed / game87.187.087.3
Point differential+3.4+2.4+5.0
Avg total177.6176.4179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%0%33%
Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game79.684.275.8
Allowed / game84.882.886.4
Point differential-5.2+1.5-10.6
Avg total164.3167.0162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn98189%89.074.1+14.9
2 Alba Berlin98189%91.382.1+9.2
3 Bayern108280%81.975.1+6.8
4 Ludwigsburg97278%91.685.0+6.6
5 Oldenburg107370%85.781.0+4.7
6 Chemnitz85362%90.587.1+3.4
7 Gottingen84450%85.087.8-2.8
8 Ulm94544%88.086.2+1.8
9 Wurzburg94544%86.387.7-1.3
10 Hamburg94544%83.386.4-3.1
11 Heidelberg94544%86.290.7-4.4
12 Rostock94544%89.994.4-4.6
13 Bamberg93633%84.185.3-1.2
14 Crailsheim Merlins93633%86.992.0-5.1
15 Syntainics MBC93633%88.494.0-5.6
16 Bayreuth92722%79.684.8-5.2
17 Basketball Braunschweig92722%77.685.2-7.7
18 Frankfurt91811%76.884.3-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2228211384
Bayreuth1919142577
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