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Bayern vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-68
18-16 16-20 28-6 19-26
Position#3
Record4-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game77.2
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#18
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game83.6
GermanyBBLRound 6
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayern v Bayreuth
04 Dec 2022
BAY80
BAR63
06 Nov 2022
BAY81
BAR68
30 Jan 2022
BAY83
BAR60
06 Apr 2021
BAY83
BAR62
18 Oct 2020
BAY89
BAR95
17 Nov 2019
BAY91
BAR79
06 Jan 2019
BAY101
BAR95
03 Feb 2018
BAY96
BAR88
03 Dec 2016
BAY100
BAR86
25 Oct 2015
BAY94
BAR65
14 Dec 2014
BAY102
BAR75
13 Oct 2013
BAY103
BAR70
13 Jan 2013
BAY84
BAR72
29 Dec 2011
BAY73
BAR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
62-74
62
74
-12
58avg 73
H06/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
88-74
88
74
+14
87avg 73
H09/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
48avg 73
A13/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#16
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
A16/10
German Cup
Barcelona
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
57avg 73
H18/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 73
H20/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
no box
A22/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 73
A28/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
88-77
88
77
+11
88avg 73
H30/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
81-78
81
78
+3
69avg 73
H03/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
15-19
12-19
16-15
28-22
19-27
20-8
21-17
16-24
16-10
19-22
12-10
21-18
23-15
21-16
20-19
18-18
16-19
19-28
20-19
22-16
21-21
23-26
15-20
13-25
24-7
13-24
19-13
17-28
26-16
14-21
15-13
33-22
16-18
18-11
21-26
18-18
20-21
24-22
19-17
153.4Avg total
77.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.877.2162.0+7.680%
Season at home (3)87.777.0164.7+10.7100%
Season away (2)80.577.5158.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)77.176.3153.4+0.840%
Last 5 (5)80.079.4159.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.776.5149.2-3.830%
vs Similar (9)79.677.7157.2+1.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.070.1155.1+14.990%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 73
A16/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 73
H22/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
87-93
87
93
-6
90avg 73
H28/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
70-82
70
82
-12
68avg 73
A01/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
83-82 OT
83
82
+1
no box
H30/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
65avg 73
A05/10
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
79-95
79
95
-16
68avg 73
H08/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A15/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
99-77
99
77
+22
97avg 73
H23/10
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
68avg 73
A29/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
24-18
16-20
20-26
15-18
18-22
18-17
22-23
16-26
23-24
19-17
29-26
27-27
12-21
17-12
14-22
17-27
13-12
22-20
23-16
22-14
19-30
16-14
15-18
15-27
24-25
19-20
21-23
17-24
20-19
13-14
25-12
32-18
22-16
19-24
26-19
23-25
25-17
14-22
11-24
162.8Avg total
79.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.283.6164.8-2.440%
Season at home (3)87.084.7171.7+2.367%
Season away (2)72.582.0154.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)79.683.2162.8-3.630%
Last 5 (5)79.681.0160.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.985.1163.9-6.224%
vs Similar (12)79.789.1168.8-9.417%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
BayernBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H09/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A13/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/10
German Cup
Barcelona
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H18/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A22/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A28/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H30/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H03/11
Euroleague
78.6Avg total
40.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.977.1+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.838.177.9+1.741%-
Last 30 away (13)40.735.376.0+5.469%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.578.6+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.480.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.037.674.6-0.640%-
vs Similar (9)40.941.182.0-0.222%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.432.875.2+9.690%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H28/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A01/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H30/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A05/10
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H08/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A15/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H23/10
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A29/10
BBL
84.5Avg total
40.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.244.085.2-2.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.443.584.9-2.127%-
Last 30 away (15)41.044.585.5-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.684.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.086.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)41.942.484.2-0.535%-
vs Similar (12)40.646.487.0-5.817%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.214.3
45.8%
54.4%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.8
37.1%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.416.4
80.4%
75.8%16.4
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.7
51.0%
54.4%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.511.1
38.9%
35.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
75.8%12.7
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLLLLWLWL
Bayreuth
LWWLLWLLLL
#3
League position
#18
+2.6
Net rating
-8.3
111.5
Offensive rating
109.1
108.9
Defensive rating
117.4
50.6%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
22.1%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.1%
3-point %
38.9%
57.0%
Assist %
70.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 109.1Defence108.9 · 117.4Shooting50.6% · 54.6%3-point %37.1% · 38.9%Ball care16.1% · 22.1%Off. rebounds30.4% · 35.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Bayern   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bayern wins
1
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
30/01/22Bayern v Bayreuth83-60
31/10/21Bayreuth v Bayern78-87
06/04/21Bayern v Bayreuth83-62
23/01/21Bayreuth v Bayern78-98
18/10/20Bayern v Bayreuth89-95
08/03/20Bayreuth v Bayern75-91
17/11/19Bayern v Bayreuth91-79
27/01/19Bayreuth v Bayern90-93
06/01/19Bayern v Bayreuth101-95 OT
03/02/18Bayern v Bayreuth96-88
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/22HAnadolu Efes81-78
30/10/22HCrailsheim Merlins88-77
28/10/22ACrvena zvezda72-78
22/10/22AHamburg78-81 OT
20/10/22HOlimpia Milano81-83
18/10/22HBarcelona73-84
16/10/22ABamberg85-68
13/10/22AVirtus Bologna63-66
09/10/22HChemnitz88-74
06/10/22HFenerbahce62-74
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/22AUlm73-88
23/10/22HCrailsheim Merlins99-77
15/10/22ASyntainics MBC75-69
08/10/22HHamburg79-95
05/10/22AOldenburg72-76
30/09/22HFrankfurt83-82 OT
01/05/22AFrankfurt70-82
28/04/22HLudwigsburg87-93
22/04/22HUlm73-80
16/04/22ACrailsheim Merlins85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game84.887.780.5
Allowed / game77.277.077.5
Point differential+7.6+10.7+3.0
Avg total162.0164.7158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game81.287.072.5
Allowed / game83.684.782.0
Point differential-2.4+2.3-9.5
Avg total164.8171.7154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn550100%90.273.8+16.4
2 Alba Berlin550100%88.475.8+12.6
3 Ludwigsburg65183%93.285.0+8.2
4 Bayern54180%84.877.2+7.6
5 Hamburg64267%85.580.2+5.3
6 Oldenburg64267%84.081.3+2.7
7 Rostock64267%91.393.8-2.5
8 Gottingen53260%86.684.8+1.8
9 Chemnitz42250%88.089.0-1.0
10 Bayreuth52340%81.283.6-2.4
11 Heidelberg52340%83.292.0-8.8
12 Wurzburg62433%86.591.2-4.7
13 Crailsheim Merlins62433%86.091.2-5.2
14 Basketball Braunschweig51420%75.283.4-8.2
15 Syntainics MBC51420%91.8100.0-8.2
16 Frankfurt61517%75.779.0-3.3
17 Ulm61517%83.086.3-3.3
18 Bamberg61517%79.885.3-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1816281981
Bayreuth162062668
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