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Heidelberg vs Crailsheim Merlins Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 80-77
Projected total 157.0
Scheduled
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game71.3
Vs
63%
37%
■ HEI 63%■ CME 37%
Pythia win probability
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game68.1
GermanyPro ARound 10· SNP Dome
Other2026-27
Meetings · Heidelberg v Crailsheim Merlins
15 Nov 2026
HEI v CME
upcoming
30 Mar 2024
HEI90
CME86
26 Mar 2023
HEI93
CME82
07 Jan 2022
HEI100
CME91
04 Feb 2018
HEI95
CME99
26 Feb 2017
HEI62
CME101
01 Dec 2013
HEI100
CME87
07 Oct 2012
HEI100
CME85
11 Dec 2011
HEI75
CME62
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Heidelberg hosts Crailsheim Merlins on 15 November 2026 in the Pro A, with the model favouring Heidelberg at 63% to 37% for Crailsheim; the projected score is 80-77 and the total 157.0 points. Heidelberg has gone 7-2 this season, averaging 82.2 points and allowing 71.3, and sits fourth in the league, while their home record is 3-1 with 87.0 points scored and 75.0 allowed; their last five games included wins over Bayreuth, Giessen and a loss to Kirchheim. Crailsheim is 8-1 overall, 82.4 points per game and 68.1 allowed, leading the league, and their road record is 3-1 with 83.2 points scored and 69.5 allowed; their recent five games feature victories over Koln, Bochum and Paderborn. The teams are even in head-to-head history, 5-5, with Heidelberg's last win 90-86 on 30 March 2024. The spread is -2.5 in favour of Heidelberg with a 56% chance of covering, the over line is 152.0 with a 61% probability of exceeding it, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. The next game will decide whether Heidelberg can extend its winning run or if Crailsheim will close the gap in the standings.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heidelberg win
63.2%fair 1.58
Best odds1.67
Implied57.6%
Edge+5.6pp
Crailsheim Merlins win
36.8%fair 2.71
Best odds2.22
Implied42.4%
Edge-5.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
L
89-103
89
103
-14
93avg 69
H10/05
BBL
Tubingen
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
A26/09
Pro A
ETB Miners
#17
W
118-74
118
74
+44
no box
H02/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
A04/10
Pro A
Wolmirstedt
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
no box
H10/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
74-51
74
51
+23
no box
A17/10
Pro A
Gottingen
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H24/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#2
L
64-72
64
72
-8
no box
A31/10
Pro A
Giessen
#5
W
76-65
76
65
+11
no box
H07/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A13/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
14-23
25-27
22-26
17-23
15-27
26-10
25-15
32-23
34-11
28-13
24-27
27-16
22-18
19-16
16-18
20-32
23-18
21-19
10-16
19-15
26-4
16-14
13-18
19-14
23-26
21-14
17-22
22-9
18-29
15-20
9-14
21-11
18-17
19-23
18-14
24-15
26-27
19-12
18-22
157.4Avg total
82.9Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.271.3153.6+10.978%
Season at home (4)87.075.0162.0+12.075%
Season away (5)78.468.4146.8+10.080%
Last 10 (10)82.974.5157.4+8.470%
Last 5 (5)76.268.0144.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.189.3165.4-13.225%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.778.9157.6-0.143%
vs Weaker (7)86.069.3155.3+16.7100%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Giessen
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
no box
A15/05
Pro A
ETB Miners
#17
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
A26/09
Pro A
Tubingen
#6
W
85-64
85
64
+21
no box
H02/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
91-47
91
47
+44
no box
A04/10
Pro A
Giessen
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
H09/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#15
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A18/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#7
W
80-68
80
68
+12
no box
H24/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#10
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
H31/10
Pro A
Bochum
#16
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
A07/11
Pro A
Koln
#8
W
96-69
96
69
+27
no box
H13/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
20-22
20-31
15-21
14-20
21-24
22-10
24-13
22-17
26-16
16-15
21-16
14-12
26-10
20-13
31-12
16-19
23-23
26-16
18-18
18-18
30-21
15-28
15-17
16-18
17-18
27-16
20-16
15-17
13-15
9-15
28-11
21-20
18-19
19-23
25-18
20-17
24-18
27-18
25-16
151.2Avg total
81.2Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.468.1150.6+14.389%
Season at home (5)81.867.0148.8+14.8100%
Season away (4)83.269.5152.8+13.875%
Last 10 (10)81.270.0151.2+11.280%
Last 5 (5)80.471.8152.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)94.588.5183.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker (28)86.375.7162.0+10.682%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
74.7%
Under 146
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151 · main line
Over 151
63.8%
@ 1.87+13.8pp
Under 151
36.2%
@ 1.87-13.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathon Be
1.82
Over/Under 156
Over 156
51.7%
Under 156
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Heidelberg total 73.5
Over 73.5
74.9%
@ 1.50+13.8pp
Under 73.5
25.1%
@ 2.37-13.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.43
Under
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.24
Heidelberg total 77.5 · main line
Over 77.5
61.1%
@ 1.98+13.2pp
Under 77.5
38.9%
@ 1.85-13.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.76
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.64
Heidelberg total 81.5
Over 81.5
45.6%
@ 2.52+9.2pp
Under 81.5
54.4%
@ 1.44-9.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Under
Betano
1.44
Crailsheim Merlins total 69.5
Over 69.5
75.2%
@ 1.40+9.7pp
Under 69.5
24.8%
@ 2.65-9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.65
Crailsheim Merlins total 73.5 · main line
Over 73.5
61.4%
@ 1.85+9.7pp
Under 73.5
38.6%
@ 1.91-9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Be
1.76
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.66
Under
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Crailsheim Merlins total 77.5
Over 77.5
46.1%
@ 2.42+7.9pp
Under 77.5
53.9%
@ 1.47-7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.26
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Heidelberg -5.5
HEI -5.5
44.9%
@ 2.33+5.1pp
CME +5.5
55.1%
@ 1.59-5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
HEI
Pinnacle
2.33
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.15
CME
Marathon Be
1.59
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.54
1xBet
1.50
Spread Heidelberg -2.5 · main line
HEI -2.5
56.0%
@ 1.83+4.9pp
CME +2.5
44.0%
@ 1.91-4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
HEI
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
SBO
1.80
CME
Pinnacle
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
SBO
1.88
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.87
Spread Heidelberg +0.5
HEI +0.5
63.2%
CME -0.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
HEI
No market prices yet.
CME
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +6.4+6.4
HeidelbergCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H10/05
BBL
Tubingen
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A26/09
Pro A
ETB Miners
#17
W
66-34
66
34
+32
H02/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#15
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A04/10
Pro A
Wolmirstedt
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H10/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
45-19
45
19
+26
A17/10
Pro A
Gottingen
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/10
Pro A
Giessen
#5
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H07/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/11
Pro A
83.3Avg total
44.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 76.5
Last 30 (30)40.340.981.3-0.647%67%
Last 30 at home (13)42.043.885.8-1.846%77%
Last 30 away (17)39.138.777.8+0.447%59%
Last 10 (10)44.838.583.3+6.370%80%
Last 5 (5)43.233.476.6+9.8100%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.244.480.7-8.219%62%
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.938.682.4+5.371%71%
vs Weaker (7)46.135.381.4+10.986%71%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/05
Pro A
ETB Miners
#17
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A26/09
Pro A
Tubingen
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H02/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A04/10
Pro A
Giessen
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#15
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A18/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H24/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#10
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H31/10
Pro A
Bochum
#16
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A07/11
Pro A
Koln
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H13/11
Pro A
74.6Avg total
38.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 76.5
Last 30 (30)43.737.881.4+5.960%70%
Last 30 at home (15)43.336.479.7+6.967%67%
Last 30 away (15)44.039.183.1+4.953%73%
Last 10 (10)38.935.774.6+3.240%60%
Last 5 (5)38.436.274.6+2.240%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)47.045.592.5+1.550%100%
vs Weaker (28)43.437.280.6+6.261%68%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
HEI win
no forecast
@ 1.68
CME win
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Spread Heidelberg -1 · main line
HEI -1
no forecast
@ 1.83
CME +1
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 76.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Heidelberg 1st half total 38.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 2.00
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Crailsheim Merlins 1st half total 37 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half: HEI + total 75.5
HEI & over
no forecast
@ 3.35
HEI & under
no forecast
@ 3.30
1st half: Draw + total 75.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: CME + total 75.5
CME & over
no forecast
@ 4.20
CME & under
no forecast
@ 4.10
1st half Over/Under 75.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Heidelberg -2
HEI -2
no forecast
@ 2.02
CME +2
no forecast
@ 1.74
1st half Spread Heidelberg 0
HEI 0
no forecast
@ 1.68
CME 0
no forecast
@ 2.01
1st half Over/Under 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.20
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Over/Under 74
Over
no forecast
@ 1.76
Under
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Spread Heidelberg +1
HEI +1
no forecast
@ 1.54
CME -1
no forecast
@ 2.33
1st half Over/Under 72.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.73
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
HEI
no forecast
@ 1.74
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
CME
no forecast
@ 2.18

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
HEI win + total 150.5
🔒 Pro
CME win + total 150.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: HEI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CME leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (HEI:CME): HEI wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Heidelberg over 7570.7%1.63
1xBet
1.63
----+17.7pp
Heidelberg over 71.580.7%1.38
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.36
---+15.3pp
Over 142.580.7%1.39
Betano
1.39
----+14.5pp
Crailsheim Merlins over 69.575.2%1.40
Betano
1.40
----+9.7pp
Heidelberg +5.578.3%1.28
Betano
1.28
----+6.5pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 16 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.3
55.6%
-42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.3
30.9%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
-14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.1
54.0%
-40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.2
30.8%
-27.6
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
-13.8
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Heidelberg
WWLWWLWWWL
Crailsheim Merlins
WWWWLWWWWL
#4
League position
#1
-8.6
Net rating
-6.4
94.0
Offensive rating
102.3
102.6
Defensive rating
108.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.9%
3-point %
30.8%
68.6%
Assist %
57.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Heidelberg   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Heidelberg wins
5
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABayreuth87-76
07/11/26HGiessen76-65
31/10/26AKirchheim64-72
24/10/26HGottingen80-76
17/10/26APS Karlsruhe74-51
10/10/26HWolmirstedt74-85
04/10/26AOrangeAcademy84-68
02/10/26HETB Miners118-74
26/09/26ATubingen83-75
10/05/26HVechta89-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HKoln96-69
07/11/26ABochum83-80
31/10/26HPaderborn65-58
24/10/26HBremerhaven80-68
18/10/26AOrangeAcademy78-84
09/10/26HGiessen83-76
04/10/26APS Karlsruhe91-47
02/10/26HTubingen85-64
26/09/26AETB Miners81-67
15/05/26AGiessen70-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Heidelberg
Pro A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game82.287.078.4
Allowed / game71.375.068.4
Point differential+10.9+12.0+10.0
Avg total153.6162.0146.8
Over 15167%75%60%
Win by 10+56%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
Pro A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game82.481.883.2
Allowed / game68.167.069.5
Point differential+14.3+14.8+13.8
Avg total150.6148.8152.8
Over 15144%40%50%
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crailsheim Merlins98189%82.468.1+14.3
2 Kirchheim98189%91.977.7+14.2
3 Wolmirstedt98189%78.771.4+7.2
4 Heidelberg97278%82.271.3+10.9
5 Giessen95456%80.275.8+4.4
6 Tubingen95456%81.080.0+1.0
7 Bremerhaven95456%80.783.3-2.7
8 Koln105550%82.990.0-7.1
9 Gottingen94544%83.680.7+2.9
10 Paderborn94544%82.180.9+1.2
11 Koblenz94544%83.885.9-2.1
12 PS Karlsruhe94544%78.384.1-5.8
13 Nurnberger104640%76.482.6-6.2
14 Artland93633%83.984.7-0.8
15 OrangeAcademy93633%80.986.0-5.1
16 Bochum92722%79.785.8-6.1
17 ETB Miners92722%83.793.1-9.4
18 Bayreuth91811%87.797.1-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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