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Heidelberg vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-82
17-24 26-19 21-22 29-17
Position#10
Record5-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game92.4
vs
Position#11
Record8-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game85.3
GermanyBBLRound 17
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Heidelberg v Wurzburg
25 Oct 2025
HEI85
WUR51
02 Nov 2024
HEI67
WUR72
11 Nov 2023
HEI54
WUR87
28 Jan 2023
HEI93
WUR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heidelberg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 71
A27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
A04/12
German Cup
Chemnitz
#12
L
78-87
78
87
-9
68avg 71
A06/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-79
95
79
+16
88avg 71
H10/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
85-92
85
92
-7
66avg 71
A17/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
72avg 71
H27/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
74-101
74
101
-27
59avg 71
A30/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 71
H04/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
93-102
93
102
-9
85avg 71
A07/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
no box
H15/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
23-23
20-23
28-20
23-21
29-18
14-22
17-24
19-19
30-25
17-25
12-18
20-24
21-21
22-14
32-20
19-29
21-18
26-23
19-22
25-23
26-27
18-17
14-20
22-31
23-28
17-25
12-17
25-28
19-16
25-27
14-16
21-23
23-33
23-31
26-15
20-11
28-25
19-20
16-27
177.7Avg total
87.2Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.792.4179.1-5.733%
Season at home (8)93.193.0186.1+0.150%
Season away (7)79.491.7171.1-12.314%
Last 10 (10)87.290.5177.7-3.330%
Last 5 (5)88.095.6183.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.592.5172.0-13.115%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.987.4171.3-3.636%
vs Weaker (2)100.095.5195.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 73
H19/11
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 73
A27/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 73
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
79-77
79
77
+2
67avg 73
A17/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
73-96
73
96
-23
67avg 73
A30/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 73
H04/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-83
99
83
+16
95avg 73
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-84
91
84
+7
78avg 73
A14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
63avg 73
H23/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
29-17
17-24
28-19
16-23
18-26
21-14
18-20
24-11
24-23
18-17
22-21
20-26
27-14
15-20
17-17
14-13
30-18
14-24
29-23
9-29
22-28
23-17
19-22
19-17
24-23
19-24
11-15
24-31
26-22
24-16
25-14
29-13
20-23
19-23
23-25
21-19
24-22
14-20
17-18
165.4Avg total
83.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.785.3170.0-0.650%
Season at home (8)86.487.1173.5-0.838%
Season away (8)83.083.5166.5-0.562%
Last 10 (10)83.681.8165.4+1.860%
Last 5 (5)82.484.2166.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.083.8161.8-5.840%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.686.3172.9+0.350%
vs Weaker (1)99.083.0182.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
HeidelbergWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A04/12
German Cup
Chemnitz
#12
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A06/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H10/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H27/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A30/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A07/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H15/01
BBL
91.8Avg total
45.7Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.285.0-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.344.685.9-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)40.343.884.1-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)45.746.191.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.449.095.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.743.882.5-5.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.045.087.0-3.043%-
vs Weaker (2)45.545.090.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H19/11
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A27/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A17/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A30/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H04/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/01
BBL
86.8Avg total
44.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)42.943.586.4-0.659%-
Last 30 at home (9)43.442.485.9+1.067%-
Last 30 away (8)42.244.887.0-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.586.8+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.645.489.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.043.885.8-1.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.542.585.0+0.060%-
vs Weaker (1)50.053.0103.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.3
54.6%
54.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.69.5
29.1%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.217.2
77.5%
75.8%17.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.223.1
53.5%
54.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.5
37.3%
35.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.113.9
72.8%
75.8%13.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Heidelberg
WLLLLLWLLW
Wurzburg
LWWLLWWWLW
#10
League position
#11
-11.3
Net rating
+2.2
105.9
Offensive rating
112.3
117.3
Defensive rating
110.1
49.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.1%
3-point %
37.3%
50.0%
Assist %
49.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 112.3Defence117.3 · 110.1Shooting49.1% · 54.3%3-point %29.1% · 37.3%Ball care18.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds31.7% · 31.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Heidelberg   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Heidelberg wins
0
Wurzburg wins
No previous meetings.
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23HBayreuth107-101 OT
07/01/23ACrailsheim Merlins93-102
04/01/23HHamburg83-87
30/12/22ABamberg74-101
27/12/22HBayern83-87
17/12/22ASyntainics MBC85-92
10/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig95-79
06/12/22AChemnitz78-87
04/12/22AOldenburg83-85
27/11/22ARostock91-84
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/23HAlba Berlin76-79
14/01/23AUlm91-84
08/01/23ABayreuth99-83
04/01/23HBamberg73-79
30/12/22AHamburg73-96
26/12/22HCrailsheim Merlins87-78
17/12/22AOldenburg79-77
09/12/22HFrankfurt88-72
27/11/22ABayern73-83
19/11/22HRostock97-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Heidelberg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%50%14%
Points / game86.793.179.4
Allowed / game92.493.091.7
Point differential-5.7+0.1-12.3
Avg total179.1186.1171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %20%38%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWWLL38%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%38%62%
Points / game84.786.483.0
Allowed / game85.387.183.5
Point differential-0.6-0.8-0.5
Avg total170.0173.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1514193%90.579.1+11.3
2 Bonn1614288%90.875.8+15.1
3 Bayern1612475%82.677.5+5.1
4 Gottingen1510567%87.384.0+3.3
5 Chemnitz149564%88.383.9+4.4
6 Oldenburg1610662%86.183.1+3.0
7 Ludwigsburg159660%88.084.9+3.1
8 Wurzburg168850%84.785.3-0.6
9 Ulm167944%87.687.8-0.2
10 Crailsheim Merlins167944%89.491.2-1.8
11 Rostock167944%86.692.1-5.5
12 Bamberg1771041%85.185.2-0.2
13 Hamburg1661038%83.485.9-2.6
14 Syntainics MBC1661038%83.089.8-6.8
15 Heidelberg1551033%86.792.4-5.7
16 Frankfurt1641225%78.185.1-7.0
17 Basketball Braunschweig1741324%79.185.4-6.4
18 Bayreuth1631319%82.189.1-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Heidelberg1726212993
Wurzburg2419221782
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