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Ulm vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-91
13-29 23-20 23-19 25-23
Position#4
Record6-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Position#11
Record7-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game85.9
GermanyBBLRound 15
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ulm v Wurzburg
27 Sep 2026
ULM67
WUR90
29 Dec 2025
ULM66
WUR61
12 Jun 2025
ULM91
WUR84
07 Jun 2025
ULM99
WUR86
01 Jun 2025
ULM91
WUR87
28 Sep 2024
ULM85
WUR76
20 May 2024
ULM100
WUR64
18 May 2024
ULM65
WUR78
23 Mar 2024
ULM87
WUR79
14 Jan 2023
ULM84
WUR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
78-108
78
108
-30
67avg 76
A06/12
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
91-80
91
80
+11
81avg 76
H10/12
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
W
110-98
110
98
+12
110avg 76
H14/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
83-110
83
110
-27
73avg 76
H18/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
76avg 76
A21/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
82avg 76
A27/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-87
95
87
+8
88avg 76
H30/12
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
85avg 76
H03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
80-65
80
65
+15
65avg 76
A07/01
BBL
Venezia
#10
L
69-89
69
89
-20
58avg 76
A11/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
18-20
18-30
21-30
19-19
25-20
16-24
31-17
31-26
32-21
23-30
24-21
16-32
20-30
24-29
23-19
12-24
22-20
21-21
29-16
25-22
17-21
21-20
21-24
22-27
24-14
20-17
29-29
18-25
25-27
25-30
24-19
18-22
22-20
19-9
21-14
17-23
15-28
18-20
19-18
177.2Avg total
86.6Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.687.6175.1+0.043%
Season at home (7)89.491.9181.3-2.443%
Season away (7)85.783.3169.0+2.443%
Last 10 (10)86.690.6177.2-4.050%
Last 5 (5)84.085.8169.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.092.2172.2-12.220%
vs Similar (12)84.089.0173.0-5.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.785.0173.7+3.767%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
78avg 74
H30/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
74-82
74
82
-8
71avg 74
A05/11
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 74
H19/11
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 74
A27/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 74
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
79-77
79
77
+2
67avg 74
A17/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
73-96
73
96
-23
67avg 74
A30/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 74
H04/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-83
99
83
+16
95avg 74
A08/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
23-18
24-22
26-27
15-22
27-22
20-20
12-18
23-27
29-17
17-24
28-19
16-23
18-26
21-14
18-20
24-11
24-23
18-17
22-21
20-26
27-14
15-20
17-17
14-13
30-18
14-24
29-23
9-29
22-28
23-17
19-22
19-17
24-23
19-24
11-15
24-31
26-22
24-16
25-14
165.5Avg total
82.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.985.9170.7-1.050%
Season at home (7)87.988.3176.1-0.443%
Season away (7)81.983.4165.3-1.657%
Last 10 (10)82.982.6165.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)82.282.6164.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.385.3159.7-11.033%
vs Similar (10)86.686.3172.9+0.350%
vs Weaker (1)99.083.0182.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
UlmWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/12
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H10/12
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H14/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-62
36
62
-26
H18/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A21/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A27/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H30/12
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/01
BBL
Venezia
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A11/01
Eurocup
88.8Avg total
41.9Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.485.3-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.645.488.9-1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)40.441.682.1-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)41.946.988.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.886.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.845.285.0-5.440%-
vs Similar (12)41.643.885.4-2.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.142.885.8+0.350%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H30/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A05/11
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H19/11
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A27/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A17/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A30/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H04/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A08/01
BBL
85.9Avg total
42.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)42.344.286.5-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (8)43.242.685.9+0.662%-
Last 30 away (7)41.346.087.3-4.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.285.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.287.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.747.386.0-8.733%-
vs Similar (10)42.542.585.0+0.060%-
vs Weaker (1)50.053.0103.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.519.1
58.8%
54.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.0
35.1%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.6
74.9%
75.8%14.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.023.2
55.2%
54.4%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.26.7
34.9%
35.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.915.6
71.2%
75.8%15.6
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWLWLWLWWL
Wurzburg
WLLWWWLWLL
#4
League position
#11
-4.9
Net rating
+0.5
111.6
Offensive rating
112.1
116.5
Defensive rating
111.6
55.8%
Effective FG%
54.3%
61.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.4%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.1%
3-point %
34.9%
57.1%
Assist %
52.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 112.1Defence116.5 · 111.6Shooting55.8% · 54.3%3-point %35.1% · 34.9%Ball care20.1% · 18.4%Off. rebounds31.1% · 32.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
0
Wurzburg wins
No previous meetings.
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23AVenezia69-89
07/01/23AHamburg80-65
03/01/23HBonn92-101
30/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig95-87
27/12/22ALudwigsburg84-87
21/12/22ACluj-Napoca84-81
18/12/22HAlba Berlin83-110
14/12/22HJL Bourg110-98
10/12/22HCrailsheim Merlins91-80
06/12/22ACedevita Olimpija78-108
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23ABayreuth99-83
04/01/23HBamberg73-79
30/12/22AHamburg73-96
26/12/22HCrailsheim Merlins87-78
17/12/22AOldenburg79-77
09/12/22HFrankfurt88-72
27/11/22ABayern73-83
19/11/22HRostock97-87
05/11/22AGottingen74-82
30/10/22HLudwigsburg86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game87.689.485.7
Allowed / game87.691.983.3
Point differential+0.0-2.4+2.4
Avg total175.1181.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %14%14%14%
Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWWWL43%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%43%57%
Points / game84.987.981.9
Allowed / game85.988.383.4
Point differential-1.0-0.4-1.6
Avg total170.7176.1165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn1413193%90.675.1+15.5
2 Alba Berlin1312192%92.179.6+12.5
3 Bayern1411379%82.975.5+7.4
4 Gottingen149564%87.184.1+2.9
5 Oldenburg149564%85.182.4+2.6
6 Ludwigsburg138562%87.584.5+2.9
7 Chemnitz127558%87.684.8+2.8
8 Wurzburg147750%84.985.9-1.0
9 Bamberg146843%85.184.3+0.8
10 Ulm146843%87.687.6+0.0
11 Hamburg146843%83.585.1-1.6
12 Syntainics MBC146843%83.888.4-4.6
13 Rostock146843%86.692.5-5.9
14 Crailsheim Merlins145936%88.492.9-4.6
15 Frankfurt1441029%78.784.6-5.9
16 Heidelberg1441029%85.391.8-6.5
17 Bayreuth1431121%80.787.6-6.9
18 Basketball Braunschweig1421214%76.985.8-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1323232584
Wurzburg2920192391
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