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Bayern vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 83-73
23-16 26-18 14-21 20-18
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game74.7
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game90.6
GermanyBBLRound 8
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayern v Wurzburg
31 Jan 2027
BAY v WUR
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
BAY98
WUR79
27 Oct 2024
BAY70
WUR69
31 May 2024
BAY99
WUR75
29 May 2024
BAY91
WUR76
29 Oct 2023
BAY87
WUR64
27 Nov 2022
BAY83
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
no box
A22/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 73
A28/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
88-77
88
77
+11
88avg 73
H30/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
81-78
81
78
+3
69avg 73
H03/11
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
W
81-68
81
68
+13
75avg 73
H06/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
79-77
79
77
+2
65avg 73
A10/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
67avg 73
H17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
82-69
82
69
+13
80avg 73
A19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 73
A23/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
71avg 73
A25/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
24-7
13-24
19-13
17-28
26-16
14-21
15-13
33-22
16-18
18-11
21-26
18-18
20-21
24-22
19-17
18-16
16-20
28-6
19-26
26-15
19-24
23-19
11-19
11-27
23-13
20-27
17-15
20-17
27-9
15-21
20-22
25-15
17-18
11-20
22-21
14-17
19-17
17-19
29-27
155.0Avg total
78.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.974.7158.6+9.186%
Season at home (4)86.074.8160.8+11.2100%
Season away (3)81.074.7155.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)78.676.4155.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)77.276.4153.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.279.0153.2-4.822%
vs Similar (11)79.177.3156.4+1.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.172.4156.6+11.789%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
71-96
71
96
-25
58avg 74
H01/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
89-82
89
82
+7
73avg 74
A03/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
113-117 OT
113
117
-4
no box
H08/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H15/10
German Cup
Chemnitz
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
71avg 74
A22/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
78avg 74
H30/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
74-82
74
82
-8
71avg 74
A05/11
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 74
H19/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
19-27
18-21
18-22
12-17
27-21
25-17
25-27
19-26
25-30
23-9
21-23
17-25
27-18
17-20
26-28
19-15
27-26
15-22
25-18
13-22
23-18
24-22
26-27
15-22
27-22
20-20
12-18
23-27
29-17
17-24
28-19
178.5Avg total
87.9Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.090.6178.6-2.643%
Season at home (4)91.897.2189.0-5.525%
Season away (3)83.081.7164.7+1.367%
Last 10 (8)87.990.6178.5-2.838%
Last 5 (5)86.086.0172.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)71.096.0167.0-25.00%
vs Similar (6)90.889.7180.5+1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
BayernWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A22/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A28/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H30/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H03/11
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/11
Euroleague
76.5Avg total
40.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.577.7+2.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.139.878.9-0.727%-
Last 30 away (15)41.335.276.5+6.167%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.376.5+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.474.6+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.739.275.9-2.622%-
vs Similar (11)41.440.281.5+1.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.933.074.9+8.978%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H01/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A03/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H08/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H15/10
German Cup
Chemnitz
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H30/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A05/11
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H19/11
BBL
87.1Avg total
42.2Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)42.244.987.1-2.650%-
Last 30 at home (5)42.247.289.4-5.040%-
Last 30 away (3)42.341.083.3+1.367%-
Last 10 (8)42.244.987.1-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.486.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.053.088.0-18.00%-
vs Similar (6)43.243.887.0-0.750%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.7
47.6%
54.4%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.5
37.2%
35.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.515.0
81.1%
75.8%15.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.325.5
56.2%
54.4%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.85.3
33.7%
35.4%16.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.3
73.1%
75.8%16.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWLWWWWLL
Wurzburg
WLLWLLWL
#3
League position
#11
+3.0
Net rating
-2.8
111.7
Offensive rating
116.0
108.7
Defensive rating
118.8
51.4%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
37.2%
3-point %
33.7%
56.9%
Assist %
44.9%
60%
Form (last 10/8)
38%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 116.0Defence108.7 · 118.8Shooting51.4% · 54.8%3-point %37.2% · 33.7%Ball care17.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds32.2% · 33.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/8)60% · 38%
■ Bayern   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
0
Wurzburg wins
No previous meetings.
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22AMonaco79-80
23/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne75-74
19/11/22ASyntainics MBC82-69
17/11/22HOlympiacos71-82
10/11/22AAlba Berlin79-77
06/11/22HBayreuth81-68
03/11/22HAnadolu Efes81-78
30/10/22HCrailsheim Merlins88-77
28/10/22ACrvena zvezda72-78
22/10/22AHamburg78-81 OT
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HRostock97-87
05/11/22AGottingen74-82
30/10/22HLudwigsburg86-89
22/10/22AChemnitz86-81
15/10/22HOldenburg87-91
08/10/22HSyntainics MBC113-117 OT
03/10/22ABasketball Braunschweig89-82
01/10/22HBonn71-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game83.986.081.0
Allowed / game74.774.874.7
Point differential+9.1+11.2+6.3
Avg total158.6160.8155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game88.091.883.0
Allowed / game90.697.281.7
Point differential-2.6-5.5+1.3
Avg total178.6189.0164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin660100%90.278.3+11.8
2 Bonn76186%90.375.0+15.3
3 Bayern76186%83.974.7+9.1
4 Ludwigsburg86275%91.886.1+5.6
5 Oldenburg86275%85.179.9+5.2
6 Chemnitz53260%91.690.0+1.6
7 Rostock74357%90.794.3-3.6
8 Hamburg84450%83.684.2-0.6
9 Gottingen63350%84.786.2-1.5
10 Wurzburg73443%88.090.6-2.6
11 Crailsheim Merlins83538%87.892.1-4.4
12 Heidelberg62433%85.394.3-9.0
13 Ulm72529%86.387.7-1.4
14 Bamberg72529%82.785.0-2.3
15 Syntainics MBC72529%89.195.0-5.9
16 Basketball Braunschweig72529%75.682.4-6.9
17 Bayreuth82625%79.184.0-4.9
18 Frankfurt71614%76.782.0-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2326142083
Wurzburg1618211873
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