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Wurzburg vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-79
21-19 24-22 14-20 17-18
Position#11
Record8-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#2
Record13-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game79.4
GermanyBBLRound 16
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Wurzburg v Alba Berlin
18 Jan 2027
WUR v ABE
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
WUR96
ABE92
23 Apr 2025
WUR70
ABE69
28 Jan 2024
WUR76
ABE75
23 Jan 2023
WUR76
ABE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
L
74-82
74
82
-8
71avg 74
A05/11
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 74
H19/11
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 74
A27/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 74
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
79-77
79
77
+2
67avg 74
A17/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
73-96
73
96
-23
67avg 74
A30/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 74
H04/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-83
99
83
+16
95avg 74
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-84
91
84
+7
78avg 74
A14/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
27-22
20-20
12-18
23-27
29-17
17-24
28-19
16-23
18-26
21-14
18-20
24-11
24-23
18-17
22-21
20-26
27-14
15-20
17-17
14-13
30-18
14-24
29-23
9-29
22-28
23-17
19-22
19-17
24-23
19-24
11-15
24-31
26-22
24-16
25-14
29-13
20-23
19-23
23-25
165.5Avg total
83.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.385.7171.0-0.553%
Season at home (7)87.988.3176.1-0.443%
Season away (8)83.083.5166.5-0.562%
Last 10 (10)83.482.1165.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)84.684.0168.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)78.585.0163.5-6.550%
vs Similar (10)86.686.3172.9+0.350%
vs Weaker (1)99.083.0182.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
56avg 83
H22/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
86-60
86
60
+26
92avg 83
H27/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 83
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
106avg 83
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
85-84
85
84
+1
88avg 83
H05/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
75avg 83
A08/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-63
83
63
+20
77avg 83
H10/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 83
H12/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
80avg 83
H15/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
74-87
74
87
-13
66avg 83
A19/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
26-21
16-21
7-22
16-15
21-14
26-20
23-11
15-27
32-22
26-16
18-14
28-17
18-19
27-24
26-14
27-20
27-28
23-19
8-17
23-27
21-17
20-17
16-18
20-12
25-21
15-18
23-12
12-25
23-21
24-20
18-18
20-23
28-21
14-19
19-13
10-25
18-13
22-25
24-24
159.5Avg total
82.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.379.4170.6+11.993%
Season at home (7)87.976.0163.9+11.9100%
Season away (7)94.782.7177.4+12.086%
Last 10 (10)82.676.9159.5+5.770%
Last 5 (5)79.077.8156.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.186.5164.6-8.518%
vs Similar (9)82.179.2161.3+2.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.678.8174.4+16.890%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
WurzburgAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A05/11
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H19/11
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A27/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A17/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A30/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H04/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/01
BBL
86.8Avg total
44.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)42.843.786.4-0.956%-
Last 30 at home (8)43.242.685.9+0.662%-
Last 30 away (8)42.244.887.0-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)44.042.886.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.486.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.244.585.8-3.250%-
vs Similar (10)42.542.585.0+0.060%-
vs Weaker (1)50.053.0103.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H27/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H05/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A08/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H10/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H15/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A19/01
Euroleague
83.8Avg total
43.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.984.1+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.240.983.1+1.373%-
Last 30 away (15)42.242.985.1-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.783.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.081.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.845.586.3-4.636%-
vs Similar (9)41.140.381.4+0.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.739.484.1+5.380%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.4
54.8%
54.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.77.1
36.0%
35.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
75.8%14.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.319.0
58.8%
54.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.1
33.7%
35.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.613.9
79.0%
75.8%13.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WWLLWWWLWL
Alba Berlin
LWLWWWWWWL
#11
League position
#2
+1.4
Net rating
+9.3
112.4
Offensive rating
113.5
111.1
Defensive rating
104.2
54.6%
Effective FG%
54.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
18.1%
Turnover %
19.7%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.0%
3-point %
33.7%
51.8%
Assist %
70.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 113.5Defence111.1 · 104.2Shooting54.6% · 54.8%3-point %36.0% · 33.7%Ball care18.1% · 19.7%Off. rebounds32.5% · 35.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wurzburg wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
No previous meetings.
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AUlm91-84
08/01/23ABayreuth99-83
04/01/23HBamberg73-79
30/12/22AHamburg73-96
26/12/22HCrailsheim Merlins87-78
17/12/22AOldenburg79-77
09/12/22HFrankfurt88-72
27/11/22ABayern73-83
19/11/22HRostock97-87
05/11/22AGottingen74-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-87
15/01/23HBonn81-76
12/01/23HReal Madrid77-84
10/01/23HOlimpia Milano83-63
08/01/23ABayern80-79
05/01/23HBaskonia85-84
03/01/23HFrankfurt99-74
30/12/22ALyon-Villeurbanne91-79
27/12/22HSyntainics MBC86-60
22/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeLWWWL43%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%43%62%
Points / game85.387.983.0
Allowed / game85.788.383.5
Point differential-0.5-0.4-0.5
Avg total171.0176.1166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game91.387.994.7
Allowed / game79.476.082.7
Point differential+11.9+11.9+12.0
Avg total170.6163.9177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1413193%91.379.4+11.9
2 Bonn1614288%90.875.8+15.1
3 Bayern1612475%82.677.5+5.1
4 Gottingen1510567%87.384.0+3.3
5 Chemnitz149564%88.383.9+4.4
6 Oldenburg1610662%86.183.1+3.0
7 Ludwigsburg159660%88.084.9+3.1
8 Wurzburg158753%85.385.7-0.5
9 Ulm167944%87.687.8-0.2
10 Crailsheim Merlins167944%89.491.2-1.8
11 Rostock167944%86.692.1-5.5
12 Bamberg1771041%85.185.2-0.2
13 Hamburg1661038%83.485.9-2.6
14 Syntainics MBC1661038%83.089.8-6.8
15 Heidelberg1551033%86.792.4-5.7
16 Frankfurt1641225%78.185.1-7.0
17 Basketball Braunschweig1741324%79.185.4-6.4
18 Bayreuth1631319%82.189.1-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2124141776
Alba Berlin1922201879
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