PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Helios Domzale vs Borac Mozzart Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 107-101
19-23 29-28 28-23 31-27
Position#12
Record0-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#13
Record8-19
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game89.4
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Final
Domestic2022
Meetings · Helios Domzale v Borac Mozzart
28 Apr 2023
HDO107
BOR101
03 Jan 2019
HDO76
BOR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Borac Mozzart winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
H18/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
H25/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A04/04
Liga Nova KBM
Pelister
#8
W
101-47
101
47
+54
no box
H12/04
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H14/04
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
no box
H16/04
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H19/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
A22/04
Liga Nova KBM
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
78-96
78
96
-18
77avg 77
A25/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
24-19
20-22
20-16
25-17
22-9
22-20
16-22
17-15
21-17
16-23
19-20
28-20
20-20
17-18
29-15
24-12
32-12
28-17
17-6
19-20
32-14
28-21
12-24
17-14
18-24
14-15
29-25
19-13
21-22
18-19
28-27
22-26
22-10
19-22
19-11
19-28
23-29
24-19
12-20
161.1Avg total
85.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.096.0174.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.096.0174.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)85.875.3161.1+10.570%
Last 5 (5)83.881.6165.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.386.3164.7-8.033%
vs Similar (2)76.578.0154.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (25)85.170.6155.8+14.580%
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMozzart
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
84-114
84
114
-30
79avg 72
A12/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
A16/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#8
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 72
H06/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
L
99-104
99
104
-5
96avg 72
A12/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
L
80-86
80
86
-6
65avg 72
H19/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
105-84
105
84
+21
108avg 72
H25/03
ABA League
Split
#10
L
99-113
99
113
-14
no box
A31/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 72
H09/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
87-85
87
85
+2
no box
A15/04
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#12
W
96-78
96
78
+18
86avg 72
H25/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
18-18
27-34
18-32
19-17
12-18
17-29
16-25
24-25
27-21
16-18
25-26
27-31
28-22
26-29
18-22
28-17
16-18
16-31
20-20
29-19
28-16
30-30
18-19
20-36
28-26
23-35
28-16
17-19
17-23
16-22
32-23
21-22
21-20
28-24
17-19
28-19
29-23
19-24
20-12
181.8Avg total
88.8Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.189.4172.5-6.330%
Season at home (14)84.185.2169.4-1.143%
Season away (13)81.993.9175.8-12.015%
Last 10 (10)88.893.0181.8-4.240%
Last 5 (5)93.889.4183.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.192.7169.8-15.610%
vs Similar (16)84.687.8172.4-3.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)88.083.0171.0+5.033%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
Helios DomzaleBorac Mozzart
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H18/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H25/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A04/04
Liga Nova KBM
Pelister
#8
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H12/04
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/04
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/04
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H19/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A22/04
Liga Nova KBM
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A25/04
ABA League
81.3Avg total
44.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.478.4+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.634.276.8+8.381%-
Last 30 away (14)41.438.980.3+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)44.736.681.3+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.082.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.344.083.3-4.733%-
vs Similar (2)40.538.579.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker (25)42.435.477.8+7.176%-
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A12/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A16/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H06/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A12/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H19/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H25/03
ABA League
Split
#10
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A31/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A15/04
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#12
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H25/04
ABA League
89.8Avg total
45.8Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.244.485.6-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.584.4+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.547.386.9-7.813%-
Last 10 (10)45.844.089.8+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.644.692.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.545.883.3-8.310%-
vs Similar (16)43.645.288.9-1.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.038.782.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.015.0
51.7%
55.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.011.0
47.8%
35.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.013.0
68.4%
75.8%13.0
They take 52.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borac Mozzarttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Borac Mozzart: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.7
55.3%
55.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.6
35.4%
35.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws24.619.9
80.9%
75.8%19.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
LWWLWWWLWW
Borac Mozzart
WWLLWLLWLL
#12
League position
#13
-26.4
Net rating
-1.6
100.2
Offensive rating
117.0
126.5
Defensive rating
118.6
60.6%
Effective FG%
54.4%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.4%
27.9%
Turnover %
14.4%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
47.8%
3-point %
35.4%
61.5%
Assist %
54.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 117.0Defence126.5 · 118.6Shooting60.6% · 54.4%3-point %47.8% · 35.4%Ball care27.9% · 14.4%Off. rebounds21.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ Borac Mozzart
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Helios Domzale wins
3
Borac Mozzart wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/23ABorac Mozzart78-96
22/04/23ATajfun Sentjur82-69
19/04/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek86-81
16/04/23HKK Krka Novo mesto82-83 OT
14/04/23HSiroki Brijeg91-79
12/04/23HPelister101-47
04/04/23ARogaska94-73
25/03/23HSencur73-75
18/03/23HZlatorog Lasko85-68
15/03/23AKK Krka Novo mesto86-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/23HHelios Domzale96-78
15/04/23ABuducnost87-85
09/04/23HCrvena zvezda82-87
31/03/23ASplit99-113
25/03/23HMZT Skopje105-84
19/03/23HMega Basket80-86
12/03/23AMornar Bar99-104
06/03/23HStudentski Centar92-90
16/02/23ACrvena zvezda64-89
12/02/23APartizan84-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
ABA League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game96.0-96.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total174.0-174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Borac Mozzart
ABA League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW30%
HomeWLWLW43%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %30%43%15%
Points / game83.184.181.9
Allowed / game89.485.293.9
Point differential-6.3-1.1-12.0
Avg total172.5169.4175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)44% (9)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2624292%93.277.9+15.3
2 Crvena zvezda2623388%87.072.7+14.3
3 Buducnost2719870%87.377.9+9.4
4 Cedevita Olimpija2617965%84.879.5+5.3
5 FMP Beograd26141254%90.086.3+3.6
6 Mega Basket27121544%84.486.2-1.8
7 Zadar26111542%85.885.9-0.2
8 Igokea26111542%80.584.2-3.7
9 Studentski Centar26111542%84.288.5-4.3
10 Split26101638%82.586.4-4.0
11 Cibona2691735%79.789.9-10.2
12 Mornar Bar2681831%83.391.3-8.1
13 Borac Mozzart2781930%83.189.4-6.3
14 MZT Skopje2671927%80.389.1-8.8
15 Helios Domzale1010%78.096.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale19292831107
Borac Mozzart23282327101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.