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Mornar Bar vs Borac Mozzart Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 104-99
31-27 22-28 29-26 22-18
Position#14
Record6-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Position#13
Record5-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game88.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 21
Domestic2022
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Borac Mozzart
19 Oct 2024
MBA90
BOR98
30 Mar 2024
MBA80
BOR78
12 Mar 2023
MBA104
BOR99
09 Oct 2021
MBA85
BOR90
30 Jan 2021
MBA86
BOR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Borac Mozzart winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-100
79
100
-21
64avg 73
A27/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
L
102-113
102
113
-11
90avg 73
H03/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
77-97
77
97
-20
51avg 73
A15/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
68avg 73
H20/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
69avg 73
A29/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
74-94
74
94
-20
47avg 73
A05/02
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
93-84
93
84
+9
91avg 73
H10/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#6
W
103-98
103
98
+5
no box
H14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
no box
A15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Mega Basket
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
72avg 73
A06/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
21-19
24-30
17-23
24-18
29-33
25-25
24-37
16-23
18-30
15-25
28-19
26-15
16-21
22-20
19-25
26-28
15-13
21-30
12-21
21-29
16-20
21-19
16-26
27-26
19-20
22-22
25-16
25-29
20-20
19-25
39-24
25-17
20-27
17-29
18-27
24-20
15-21
17-19
22-29
179.1Avg total
84.3Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.791.4176.2-6.732%
Season at home (9)87.992.3180.2-4.444%
Season away (10)81.990.6172.5-8.720%
Last 10 (10)84.394.8179.1-10.530%
Last 5 (5)85.693.0178.6-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)84.394.9179.2-10.623%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.979.6160.6+1.356%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMozzart
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
57-86
57
86
-29
49avg 67
A25/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
79-108
79
108
-29
72avg 67
H30/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
66avg 67
H05/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
L
81-107
81
107
-26
68avg 67
A13/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
70-65
70
65
+5
63avg 67
H22/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 67
A27/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
83-84
83
84
-1
75avg 67
H07/02
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
84-114
84
114
-30
79avg 67
A12/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
A16/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#8
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 67
H06/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
24-22
8-20
12-21
16-27
21-28
26-24
16-29
23-23
19-15
17-20
15-18
23-31
11-24
23-25
24-27
18-12
19-12
17-19
16-22
16-26
14-25
24-12
21-22
27-21
16-17
15-23
25-23
21-30
18-18
27-34
18-32
19-17
12-18
17-29
16-25
24-25
27-21
16-18
25-26
166.3Avg total
75.9Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.888.8168.6-9.125%
Season at home (10)81.585.8167.3-4.340%
Season away (10)78.091.9169.9-13.910%
Last 10 (10)75.990.4166.3-14.520%
Last 5 (5)79.692.4172.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.294.4169.6-19.10%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.584.2167.7-0.747%
vs Weaker (6)84.877.2162.0+7.767%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -5.7-5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -5.7-5.7
Mornar BarBorac Mozzart
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H03/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A15/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H20/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A29/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A05/02
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Mega Basket
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A06/03
ABA League
87.7Avg total
42.0Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.744.986.5-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.944.687.5-1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)40.645.185.7-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.787.7-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.888.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.847.888.5-7.031%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.242.284.4-0.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A25/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H30/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H05/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H22/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A27/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H07/02
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A12/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A16/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H06/03
ABA League
81.6Avg total
38.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.283.4-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.982.8-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)39.544.584.0-5.120%-
Last 10 (10)38.143.581.6-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.682.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.446.884.1-9.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.744.786.4-2.927%-
vs Weaker (6)41.736.277.8+5.567%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.4
53.4%
55.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.9
30.3%
35.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.915.9
72.6%
75.8%15.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borac Mozzarttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Borac Mozzart: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.0
51.9%
55.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.3%
35.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.515.6
72.6%
75.8%15.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLWWLLWLLL
Borac Mozzart
WLLLLWLLLL
#14
League position
#13
-16.4
Net rating
-14.8
106.8
Offensive rating
103.0
123.2
Defensive rating
117.8
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.1%
61.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.3%
3-point %
33.3%
53.4%
Assist %
61.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 103.0Defence123.2 · 117.8Shooting49.8% · 51.1%3-point %30.3% · 33.3%Ball care15.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds31.7% · 25.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Borac Mozzart
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mornar Bar wins
3
Borac Mozzart wins
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/23AMega Basket78-89
15/02/23ABuducnost80-100
14/02/23HStudentski Centar103-98
10/02/23HMZT Skopje93-84
05/02/23AStudentski Centar74-94
29/01/23APartizan74-92
20/01/23HCibona83-81
15/01/23AZadar77-97
03/01/23HFMP Beograd102-113
27/12/22ACedevita Olimpija79-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/23HStudentski Centar92-90
16/02/23ACrvena zvezda64-89
12/02/23APartizan84-114
07/02/23HCibona83-84
27/01/23AZadar75-85
22/01/23HIgokea70-65
13/01/23AFMP Beograd81-107
05/01/23HCedevita Olimpija74-76
30/12/22HBuducnost79-108
25/12/22ACrvena zvezda57-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL32%
HomeWLLWW44%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%44%20%
Points / game84.787.981.9
Allowed / game91.492.390.6
Point differential-6.7-4.4-8.7
Avg total176.2180.2172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Borac Mozzart
ABA League 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW25%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%40%10%
Points / game79.881.578.0
Allowed / game88.885.891.9
Point differential-9.1-4.3-13.9
Avg total168.6167.3169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (8)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2018290%95.077.3+17.6
2 Crvena zvezda1917289%87.571.5+16.0
3 Buducnost2115671%87.077.8+9.1
4 Cedevita Olimpija2014670%86.379.6+6.8
5 FMP Beograd2112957%88.785.3+3.4
6 Zadar21101148%87.186.6+0.5
7 Mega Basket21101148%85.986.3-0.4
8 Studentski Centar2091145%85.790.3-4.7
9 Split2081240%81.286.1-5.0
10 Cibona2181338%79.690.0-10.4
11 Mornar Bar1961332%84.791.4-6.7
12 Igokea2061430%81.287.0-5.8
13 Borac Mozzart2051525%79.888.8-9.1
14 MZT Skopje2141719%79.990.4-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar31222922104
Borac Mozzart2728261899
← all games of the day
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