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Helios Domzale vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-77
30-26 22-16 15-18 16-17
Position#3
Record16-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#11
Record5-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game86.4
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 21· Sportna dvorana Domzale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Helios Domzale v Polzela
26 Sep 2026
HDO59
POLZ74
11 Apr 2026
HDO71
POLZ75
14 Nov 2025
HDO99
POLZ73
15 Mar 2024
HDO83
POLZ77
04 Dec 2023
HDO78
POLZ66
30 Sep 2022
HDO108
POLZ65
02 Oct 2021
HDO98
POLZ77
03 Oct 2020
HDO84
POLZ58
04 Apr 2020
HDO v POLZ
upcoming
02 Feb 2020
HDO53
POLZ72
04 May 2019
HDO80
POLZ78
30 Mar 2019
HDO84
POLZ75
05 Jan 2019
HDO76
POLZ77
04 Nov 2017
HDO79
POLZ75
05 Apr 2017
HDO59
POLZ72
10 Dec 2016
HDO84
POLZ66
27 Feb 2016
HDO79
POLZ75
08 Apr 2015
HDO90
POLZ82
13 Mar 2015
HDO96
POLZ79
19 Apr 2014
HDO94
POLZ47
07 Dec 2013
HDO73
POLZ75
02 Mar 2013
HDO74
POLZ81
09 Nov 2011
HDO95
POLZ63
26 Apr 2011
HDO90
POLZ74
18 Dec 2010
HDO93
POLZ79
09 Mar 2010
HDO72
POLZ67
07 Apr 2009
HDO80
POLZ75
21 Oct 2008
HDO100
POLZ71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Sencur
#10
L
68-75
68
75
-7
58avg 74
H16/01
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
W
76-50
76
50
+26
77avg 74
H19/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
85-75
85
75
+10
82avg 74
A26/01
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
88-68
88
68
+20
75avg 74
H30/01
ABA League 2
Pelister
#11
L
81-83
81
83
-2
81avg 74
A02/02
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
88-71
88
71
+17
81avg 74
A04/02
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
no box
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
74avg 74
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
104-89
104
89
+15
100avg 74
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 74
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
23-15
15-15
16-17
20-14
20-12
16-7
20-17
19-26
26-9
16-18
24-22
17-27
29-16
23-13
19-12
26-24
11-20
26-20
18-19
21-11
11-18
27-21
29-21
22-16
17-23
21-25
29-25
17-21
23-30
19-17
22-27
24-22
22-15
30-24
28-28
16-23
19-13
24-19
22-12
163.0Avg total
85.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.576.7162.2+8.880%
Season at home (10)85.072.1157.1+12.990%
Season away (10)86.081.3167.3+4.770%
Last 10 (10)85.777.3163.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)91.884.4176.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.289.3174.5-4.250%
vs Similar (6)74.775.3150.0-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.674.7158.3+8.878%
This opponent (Polzela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
92-111
92
111
-19
85avg 70
H10/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
84-102
84
102
-18
79avg 70
A16/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
58avg 70
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
81-103
81
103
-22
79avg 70
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 70
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
59-77
59
77
-18
45avg 70
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
69-77
69
77
-8
59avg 70
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
80-60
80
60
+20
86avg 70
H06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
65-85
65
85
-20
61avg 70
A01/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
no box
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-34
21-25
27-27
18-25
21-27
26-28
18-23
19-24
12-20
25-26
11-33
24-17
22-19
20-23
14-36
25-25
20-21
11-20
28-17
15-18
15-20
13-17
19-21
12-19
19-22
19-21
17-12
14-22
29-16
20-18
13-9
18-17
19-22
17-24
20-16
9-23
19-20
14-19
16-12
18-16
162.0Avg total
75.7Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.686.4164.0-8.825%
Season at home (10)77.283.7160.9-6.530%
Season away (10)78.089.1167.1-11.120%
Last 10 (10)75.786.3162.0-10.620%
Last 5 (5)70.875.0145.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.399.2180.5-17.98%
vs Similar (14)76.980.3157.2-3.436%
vs Weaker (2)90.593.5184.0-3.050%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
Helios DomzalePolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H16/01
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H19/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A26/01
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H30/01
ABA League 2
Pelister
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A02/02
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A04/02
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
78.0Avg total
39.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.876.7-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.378.9+0.240%-
Last 30 away (15)36.438.274.6-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.378.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.742.783.3-2.033%-
vs Similar (6)37.341.278.5-3.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.336.773.9+0.639%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H10/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A16/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
83.0Avg total
38.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.146.387.4-5.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.145.885.9-5.714%-
Last 30 away (16)42.046.888.8-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)38.844.283.0-5.410%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.876.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.249.592.7-6.415%-
vs Similar (14)38.642.781.3-4.121%-
vs Weaker (2)41.051.592.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.4
52.3%
52.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.8
35.3%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.916.2
77.5%
74.0%16.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.9
48.7%
52.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.8
31.9%
33.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.711.4
68.3%
74.0%11.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
WWLWWLWWWL
Polzela
WLWLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#11
+12.2
Net rating
-15.7
113.2
Offensive rating
95.4
101.0
Defensive rating
111.1
52.5%
Effective FG%
48.4%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.5%
Turnover %
21.5%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.3%
3-point %
31.9%
71.2%
Assist %
68.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 95.4Defence101.0 · 111.1Shooting52.5% · 48.4%3-point %35.3% · 31.9%Ball care15.5% · 21.5%Off. rebounds31.7% · 31.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Helios Domzale wins
1
Polzela wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AKK Triglav Kranj81-67
02/03/24HTajfun Sentjur104-89
15/02/24HCedevita Olimpija81-95
12/02/24AKK Krka Novo mesto105-100 OT
04/02/24AGKK Sibenka88-71
02/02/24APelister81-83
30/01/24HCedevita Junior88-68
26/01/24ATajfun Sentjur85-75
19/01/24HSencur76-50
16/01/24HSencur68-75
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HLTH Castings81-76 OT
01/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija65-85
06/02/24HSencur80-60
27/01/24ARogaska69-77
20/01/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek59-77
13/01/24ALTH Castings74-76
06/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija81-103
22/12/23AKK Triglav Kranj72-96
16/12/23ATajfun Sentjur84-102
10/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto92-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%90%70%
Points / game85.585.086.0
Allowed / game76.772.181.3
Point differential+8.8+12.9+4.7
Avg total162.2157.1167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW25%
HomeLLLWW30%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%30%20%
Points / game77.677.278.0
Allowed / game86.483.789.1
Point differential-8.8-6.5-11.1
Avg total164.0160.9167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2117481%92.577.0+15.6
2 Helios Domzale2016480%85.576.7+8.8
3 Perspektiva Ilirija2013765%81.077.3+3.7
4 LTH Castings20101050%83.084.8-1.9
5 Sencur21101148%76.278.1-2.0
6 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek2081240%82.185.1-3.0
7 Tajfun Sentjur2081240%79.685.2-5.7
8 KK Triglav Kranj2181338%74.376.5-2.2
9 Rogaska2171433%74.779.6-4.9
10 Polzela2051525%77.686.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale3022151683
Polzela2616181777
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