PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rogaska vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-69
22-19 21-19 12-17 22-14
Position#8
Record5-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game79.2
Rogaska 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#11
Record3-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game89.4
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 17· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2023-24
Meetings · Rogaska v Polzela
12 Dec 2026
ROGA v POLZ
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
ROGA95
POLZ89
29 Apr 2024
ROGA84
POLZ68
27 Jan 2024
ROGA77
POLZ69
07 Jan 2023
ROGA89
POLZ67
23 Apr 2022
ROGA116
POLZ99
05 Nov 2021
ROGA87
POLZ90
11 May 2021
ROGA90
POLZ72
27 Jan 2021
ROGA101
POLZ71
21 Apr 2020
ROGA v POLZ
upcoming
12 Oct 2019
ROGA82
POLZ75
10 Apr 2019
ROGA69
POLZ85
15 Dec 2018
ROGA69
POLZ85
13 Jan 2018
ROGA71
POLZ68
22 Apr 2017
ROGA76
POLZ70
04 Feb 2017
ROGA79
POLZ84
08 Mar 2016
ROGA82
POLZ81
28 Feb 2015
ROGA93
POLZ97
25 Apr 2014
ROGA84
POLZ76
23 Nov 2013
ROGA85
POLZ67
10 Apr 2013
ROGA67
POLZ83
19 Jan 2013
ROGA65
POLZ70
28 Mar 2012
ROGA72
POLZ79
14 Jan 2012
ROGA90
POLZ78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
87avg 78
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 78
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
no box
A12/12
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
89-92
89
92
-3
87avg 78
H18/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
95-60
95
60
+35
no box
H20/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
89avg 78
A23/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
73-74
73
74
-1
74avg 78
A05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 78
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
87-99
87
99
-12
87avg 78
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 78
A16/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-17
25-22
19-20
12-14
24-29
22-23
26-27
30-21
29-21
27-21
13-24
23-25
29-27
22-18
15-22
18-22
26-17
26-6
25-15
16-23
28-17
31-26
18-29
17-18
20-20
18-15
18-21
27-22
15-19
23-23
34-30
25-17
22-21
33-22
7-39
22-19
12-24
20-16
22-23
173.5Avg total
87.9Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.179.2155.4-3.131%
Season at home (8)81.983.0164.9-1.150%
Season away (8)70.475.5145.9-5.112%
Last 10 (10)87.985.6173.5+2.340%
Last 5 (5)85.688.8174.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.287.6163.8-11.430%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.878.2155.1-1.446%
vs Weaker (6)88.876.0164.8+12.867%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
70avg 70
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
W
102-91
102
91
+11
no box
A21/11
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
no box
A27/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
58avg 70
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
92-111
92
111
-19
85avg 70
H10/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
84-102
84
102
-18
79avg 70
A16/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
58avg 70
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
81-103
81
103
-22
79avg 70
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 70
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
59-77
59
77
-18
45avg 70
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
10-20
24-20
21-15
25-27
22-27
31-14
24-23
19-25
23-15
20-29
26-19
15-15
25-18
10-27
16-18
26-34
21-25
27-27
18-25
21-27
26-28
18-23
19-24
12-20
25-26
11-33
24-17
22-19
20-23
14-36
25-25
20-21
11-20
28-17
15-18
15-20
13-17
19-21
12-19
170.1Avg total
80.0Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.689.4167.9-10.819%
Season at home (8)76.487.6164.0-11.212%
Season away (8)80.891.1171.9-10.425%
Last 10 (10)80.090.1170.1-10.130%
Last 5 (5)74.090.8164.8-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.196.1176.2-15.912%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.082.8159.8-5.827%
vs Weaker (2)90.593.5184.0-3.050%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
RogaskaPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A12/12
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H18/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H20/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A23/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/01
Liga Nova KBM
84.9Avg total
43.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.440.282.7+2.262%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.441.384.7+2.167%-
Last 30 away (14)41.439.180.6+2.357%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.484.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.080.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.443.083.4-2.650%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.140.782.8+1.450%-
vs Weaker (6)45.836.882.7+9.0100%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A21/11
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H10/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A16/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
83.6Avg total
39.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.646.386.9-5.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.346.485.7-7.17%-
Last 30 away (16)41.846.288.0-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)39.144.583.6-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.281.2-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.747.589.2-5.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.243.882.0-5.618%-
vs Weaker (2)41.051.592.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.4
55.1%
52.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.9
37.7%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.015.7
78.5%
74.0%15.7
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.5
50.5%
52.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.2
33.2%
33.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.712.4
70.1%
74.0%12.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
LLWLLWLWLW
Polzela
LLLLLLLWWW
#8
League position
#11
-6.8
Net rating
-13.8
110.1
Offensive rating
100.4
116.9
Defensive rating
114.2
55.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
22.4%
Turnover %
20.6%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.7%
3-point %
33.2%
59.0%
Assist %
64.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 100.4Defence116.9 · 114.2Shooting55.7% · 50.2%3-point %37.7% · 33.2%Ball care22.4% · 20.6%Off. rebounds32.9% · 29.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Rogaska   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rogaska wins
3
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Polzela v Rogaska75-73
11/03/23Polzela v Rogaska102-99 OT
07/01/23Rogaska v Polzela89-67
21/10/22Polzela v Rogaska83-87 OT
23/04/22Rogaska v Polzela116-99
16/03/22Polzela v Rogaska83-97
26/02/22Polzela v Rogaska74-81
05/11/21Rogaska v Polzela87-90 OT
11/05/21Rogaska v Polzela90-72
27/01/21Rogaska v Polzela101-71
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto76-82
12/01/24HHelios Domzale87-99
09/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija99-94
05/01/24ASencur73-74
23/12/23ATajfun Sentjur93-95
20/12/23HVojnik95-60
18/12/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek89-92
12/12/23AVojnik99-87
09/12/23ALTH Castings84-93
04/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto84-80
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek59-77
13/01/24ALTH Castings74-76
06/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija81-103
22/12/23AKK Triglav Kranj72-96
16/12/23ATajfun Sentjur84-102
10/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto92-111
04/12/23AHelios Domzale66-78
27/11/23ASencur95-94 OT
21/11/23ATajfun Sentjur102-91
18/11/23HRogaska75-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%50%12%
Points / game76.181.970.4
Allowed / game79.283.075.5
Point differential-3.1-1.1-5.1
Avg total155.4164.9145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%12%25%
Points / game78.676.480.8
Allowed / game89.487.691.1
Point differential-10.8-11.2-10.4
Avg total167.9164.0171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1715288%91.576.5+15.1
2 Helios Domzale1713476%83.575.2+8.4
3 Perspektiva Ilirija1711665%80.878.1+2.8
4 LTH Castings179853%83.885.5-1.7
5 Sencur178947%78.180.1-2.0
6 Tajfun Sentjur1771041%78.984.8-5.9
7 KK Triglav Kranj1661038%75.577.0-1.5
8 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1661038%83.785.8-2.1
9 Rogaska1651131%76.179.2-3.1
10 Polzela1631319%78.689.4-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska2221122277
Polzela1919171469
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.