Hermes vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 73-83

21-18 16-25 17-23 19-17

Position#9

Record5-11

FormLLLLL

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game81.4

Hermes

Kastela 🏆

Position#13

Record2-14

FormLWLLW

Points / game70.1

Allowed / game89.9

Premijer ligaRound 19

Other2017-18

Meetings · Hermes v Kastela

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kastela winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hermes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zadar

63-87

-24

H10/12

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

70-73

-3

A16/12

Premijer liga

Cedevita

68-73

-5

H24/12

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

#12

63-78

-15

A07/01

Croatian Cup

Zagreb

#12

95-87

A14/01

Premijer liga

Zabok

65-74

-9

H19/01

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

77-84

-7

H25/01

Premijer liga

Jazine

#11

72-81

-9

A04/02

Premijer liga

Split

85-94

-9

H15/02

Premijer liga

Cibona

83-109

109

-26

H07/03

Premijer liga

20-24

14-17

11-20

18-26

15-18

23-20

13-14

19-21

14-11

29-21

11-20

14-21

14-19

16-21

19-17

23-31

28-9

19-18

25-29

11-18

18-20

18-22

18-14

22-22

19-19

13-25

23-18

16-21

17-13

19-19

20-28

23-20

16-22

22-29

24-23

14-25

24-27

24-20

21-37

158.1Avg total

74.1Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	73.7	81.4	155.1	-7.7	31%
Season at home (8)	72.0	85.0	157.0	-13.0	12%
Season away (8)	75.4	77.8	153.1	-2.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.1	84.0	158.1	-9.9	10%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	88.4	164.8	-12.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	73.8	89.1	162.9	-15.3	5%
vs Similar (6)	82.7	74.7	157.3	+8.0	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	80.2	78.2	158.5	+2.0	75%

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kastela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

75-117

117

-42

A09/12

Premijer liga

Osijek

96-100

100

-4

H16/12

Premijer liga

Jazine

#11

70-91

-21

A23/12

Premijer liga

Zagreb

#15

74-78

-4

H07/01

Croatian Cup

Zadar

47-97

-50

H12/01

Premijer liga

Split

79-96

-17

A20/01

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

73-64

H27/01

Premijer liga

Cibona

49-109

109

-60

A25/02

Premijer liga

Cedevita

56-89

-33

H28/02

Premijer liga

Zagreb

#12

91-64

+27

H10/03

Premijer liga

19-29

9-25

23-33

24-30

24-22

20-26

22-26

30-26

14-28

16-26

16-19

24-18

23-15

17-16

14-26

20-21

16-23

14-22

7-27

10-25

19-28

17-27

24-24

19-17

23-10

16-20

16-28

18-6

8-26

14-17

14-34

13-32

10-16

15-11

16-29

15-33

29-15

23-14

21-16

18-19

161.5Avg total

71.0Scored

90.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	70.1	89.9	159.9	-19.8	12%
Season at home (8)	71.9	81.8	153.6	-9.9	25%
Season away (8)	68.2	98.0	166.2	-29.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	71.0	90.5	161.5	-19.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	84.4	154.0	-14.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	70.7	86.4	157.2	-15.7	16%
vs Similar (3)	82.3	85.3	167.7	-3.0	33%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HermesKastela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	21.4	38.9	-3.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	21.1	38.3	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.0	21.4	38.4	-4.4	26%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	18.8	23.8	42.5	-5.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	21.9	39.2	-4.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	24.6	40.6	-8.5	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.2	39.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.8	21.7	38.6	-4.9	24%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.0	25.0	45.0	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.1	23.1	42.2	-3.9	16%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	18.7	38.3	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.8	13.0	35.8	+9.8	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	20.1	37.6	-2.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	20.4	36.5	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.8	34.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zadar

34-41

-7

H10/12

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

38-38

A16/12

Premijer liga

Cedevita

43-32

+11

H24/12

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

#12

28-40

-12

A07/01

Croatian Cup

Zagreb

#12

51-40

+11

A14/01

Premijer liga

Zabok

29-38

-9

H19/01

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

41-41

H25/01

Premijer liga

Jazine

#11

33-34

-1

A04/02

Premijer liga

Split

39-42

-3

H15/02

Premijer liga

Cibona

38-52

-14

H07/03

Premijer liga

77.2Avg total

37.4Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	42.1	79.2	-5.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.1	42.8	78.9	-6.7	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.0	41.5	79.5	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	39.8	77.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	41.4	77.4	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	36.1	44.4	80.5	-8.3	16%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.5	38.8	77.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	41.5	36.8	78.2	+4.8	50%	-

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

28-54

-26

A09/12

Premijer liga

Osijek

44-48

-4

H16/12

Premijer liga

Jazine

#11

30-54

-24

A23/12

Premijer liga

Zagreb

#15

40-31

H07/01

Croatian Cup

Zadar

30-45

-15

H12/01

Premijer liga

Split

36-55

-19

A20/01

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

39-30

H27/01

Premijer liga

Cibona

22-43

-21

A25/02

Premijer liga

Cedevita

25-27

-2

H28/02

Premijer liga

Zagreb

#12

52-29

+23

H10/03

Premijer liga

76.2Avg total

34.6Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.4	42.1	77.5	-6.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.0	39.6	75.6	-3.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.8	44.9	79.7	-10.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	41.6	76.2	-7.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	36.8	71.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	34.4	41.6	76.0	-7.1	24%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.7	46.3	86.0	-6.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.4	39.5	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.7	40.2	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.4	22.2	40.5	-3.8	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.8	15.7	38.5	+7.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	22.2	40.5	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	21.7	40.0	-3.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	22.7	41.1	-4.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	26.2	43.5	-8.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	26.2	44.4	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	28%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	22.3	42.8	-1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.5	40.7	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	23.4	43.5	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	24.0	45.2	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.3	22.5	41.8	-3.2	42%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.5	22.8	43.2	-2.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.4	39.7	-3.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	23.5	40.3	-6.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.7	41.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-3.9	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	42.3	81.3	-3.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	41.3	81.7	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	43.2	80.9	-5.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	44.2	80.9	-7.5	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	47.0	87.4	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	37.7	44.7	82.4	-7.0	11%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.2	35.8	80.0	+8.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	38.8	41.5	80.2	-2.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	43.5	80.3	-6.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	41.2	79.2	-3.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.2	46.2	81.4	-11.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	48.9	85.3	-12.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	47.6	82.4	-12.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	36.1	44.2	80.2	-8.1	28%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.7	39.0	81.7	+3.7	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hermes wins

Kastela wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/17	Kastela v Hermes	73-79

Hermeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/18	H	Cibona	83-109
15/02/18	H	Split	85-94
04/02/18	A	Jazine	72-81
25/01/18	H	Skrljevo	77-84
19/01/18	H	Zabok	65-74
14/01/18	A	Zagreb	95-87
07/01/18	A	Skrljevo	63-78
24/12/17	H	Cedevita	68-73
16/12/17	A	Alkar	70-73
10/12/17	H	Zadar	63-87

Kastelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/18	H	Zagreb	91-64
28/02/18	H	Cedevita	56-89
25/02/18	A	Cibona	49-109
27/01/18	H	Alkar	73-64
20/01/18	A	Split	79-96
12/01/18	H	Zadar	47-97
07/01/18	H	Zagreb	74-78
23/12/17	A	Jazine	70-91
16/12/17	H	Osijek	96-100
09/12/17	A	Skrljevo	75-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes

Premijer liga 2017-18

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	31%
Home	LLLLL	12%
Away	WWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	31%	12%	50%
Points / game	73.7	72.0	75.4
Allowed / game	81.4	85.0	77.8
Point differential	-7.7	-13.0	-2.4
Avg total	155.1	157.0	153.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kastela

Premijer liga 2017-18

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	12%
Home	LLWLW	25%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	12%	25%	0%
Points / game	70.1	71.9	68.2
Allowed / game	89.9	81.8	98.0
Point differential	-19.8	-9.9	-29.8
Avg total	159.9	153.6	166.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cedevita	17	16	1	94%	89.4	68.1	+21.4
2	Zadar	17	16	1	94%	92.4	74.1	+18.3
3	Cibona	17	13	4	76%	90.9	73.8	+17.1
4	GKK Sibenik	17	12	5	71%	78.6	74.1	+4.5
5	Skrljevo	17	11	6	65%	83.8	80.4	+3.5
6	Split	16	10	6	62%	86.7	77.3	+9.4
7	Zabok	17	8	9	47%	78.2	77.2	+1.0
8	Osijek	17	6	11	35%	74.4	80.8	-6.4
9	Hermes	16	5	11	31%	73.7	81.4	-7.7
10	Alkar	17	5	12	29%	69.2	80.1	-10.9
11	Zagreb	17	3	14	18%	79.1	97.4	-18.3
12	Kastela	16	2	14	12%	70.1	89.9	-19.8
13	Jazine	17	2	15	12%	72.3	85.4	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hermes	21	16	17	19	73
Kastela	18	25	23	17	83

← all games of the day

Hermes vs Kastela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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