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Hermes vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-98
24-24 19-27 15-26 13-21
Position#8
Record7-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#6
Record9-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game74.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 17· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hermes v Kastela
23 Mar 2025
HERM71
KAST79
04 Feb 2024
HERM71
KAST98
16 Oct 2022
HERM60
KAST89
18 Apr 2022
HERM86
KAST69
19 Feb 2022
HERM88
KAST71
17 Mar 2018
HERM73
KAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
L
87-99
87
99
-12
89avg 89
A11/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
100-73
100
73
+27
104avg 89
H19/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
87avg 89
A25/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
93-79
93
79
+14
96avg 89
H03/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
82avg 89
A10/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
101-81
101
81
+20
101avg 89
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
87avg 89
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
106-84
106
84
+22
109avg 89
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
107-116 OT
107
116
-9
no box
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
82avg 89
H24/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-18
16-21
17-23
19-37
28-7
19-17
38-20
15-29
26-32
26-23
19-26
18-22
29-22
29-23
16-22
19-12
20-23
30-17
17-32
24-23
27-23
19-25
24-18
31-15
29-10
16-33
26-25
21-27
32-16
26-17
28-23
20-28
23-20
18-28
31-23
27-28
23-20
23-23
24-32
15-16
186.7Avg total
95.1Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)92.190.1182.2+2.147%
Season at home (9)97.388.8186.1+8.656%
Season away (6)84.392.0176.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)95.191.6186.7+3.540%
Last 5 (5)98.293.4191.6+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)89.896.5186.3-6.733%
vs Similar (10)94.989.9184.8+5.070%
vs Weaker (14)97.182.6179.7+14.464%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
88-86
88
86
+2
88avg 75
H18/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 75
A25/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 75
H02/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
44avg 75
A09/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
95-72
95
72
+23
91avg 75
H16/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 75
A23/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
71-66
71
66
+5
76avg 75
H13/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 75
H20/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
90avg 75
A24/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
60-65
60
65
-5
51avg 75
A28/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
25-19
11-16
30-24
22-19
13-25
21-19
11-26
24-16
13-21
13-14
18-13
10-18
22-25
16-16
11-14
25-15
24-16
26-20
20-21
28-19
21-21
16-20
22-21
19-15
18-21
11-15
23-15
18-23
15-16
25-23
18-18
27-4
27-22
22-15
16-23
16-16
14-15
16-22
14-12
150.3Avg total
76.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.974.7154.6+5.256%
Season at home (8)79.675.6155.2+4.062%
Season away (8)80.173.8153.9+6.450%
Last 10 (10)76.374.0150.3+2.360%
Last 5 (5)77.271.2148.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.274.6144.8-4.333%
vs Similar (9)79.077.2156.2+1.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.170.7152.8+11.492%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
HermesKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A11/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H19/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A25/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H03/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H24/01
Prva Liga
91.2Avg total
49.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.743.191.7+5.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.243.195.4+9.162%-
Last 30 away (14)44.643.087.6+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)49.441.891.2+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)47.243.090.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)44.247.892.0-3.717%-
vs Similar (10)46.744.090.7+2.770%-
vs Weaker (14)52.040.492.4+11.671%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H18/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A25/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H02/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A09/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H16/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A23/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
54-26
54
26
+28
A24/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A28/01
Prva Liga
77.6Avg total
40.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.875.6+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.536.174.7+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)38.937.576.5+1.427%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.377.6+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.475.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.138.271.3-5.111%-
vs Similar (9)39.836.376.1+3.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.236.278.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.9
57.1%
52.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.413.9
40.4%
32.9%41.7
🏀 Free throws17.613.4
76.1%
71.2%13.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.6
50.4%
52.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
32.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.311.5
80.4%
71.2%11.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
LLWLWLWLWL
Kastela
LWLWWWLWLW
#8
League position
#6
+6.2
Net rating
+2.3
115.8
Offensive rating
103.6
109.6
Defensive rating
101.3
58.9%
Effective FG%
49.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.9%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
40.4%
3-point %
32.4%
73.8%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 103.6Defence109.6 · 101.3Shooting58.9% · 49.7%3-point %40.4% · 32.4%Ball care17.1% · 17.9%Off. rebounds24.5% · 30.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Hermes   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Hermes wins
4
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Kastela v Hermes80-86
15/01/23Kastela v Hermes83-77
16/10/22Hermes v Kastela60-89
18/04/22Hermes v Kastela86-69
24/03/22Kastela v Hermes84-78
19/02/22Hermes v Kastela88-71
20/11/21Kastela v Hermes82-92
17/03/18Hermes v Kastela73-83
11/11/17Kastela v Hermes73-79
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HSamobor85-91
21/01/24HOsijek107-116 OT
13/01/24HCrikvenica106-84
21/12/23HJazine92-95
18/12/23HKK Zagreb101-81
10/12/23AMarsonia91-95
03/12/23HPodstrana93-79
25/11/23AKvarner89-103
19/11/23HOmis100-73
11/11/23AGorica87-99
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24AOsijek60-65
24/01/24ACrikvenica92-64
20/01/24HJazine76-80
13/01/24HKK Zagreb71-66
23/12/23AMarsonia87-81
16/12/23HPodstrana95-72
09/12/23AKvarner59-73
02/12/23HOmis68-64
25/11/23AGorica67-89
18/11/23HStoja88-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL47%
HomeWLWLL56%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %47%56%33%
Points / game92.197.384.3
Allowed / game90.188.892.0
Point differential+2.1+8.6-7.7
Avg total182.2186.1176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%11%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game79.979.680.1
Allowed / game74.775.673.8
Point differential+5.2+4.0+6.4
Avg total154.6155.2153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1716194%91.172.7+18.4
2 Osijek1716194%89.874.8+15.0
3 Gorica1712571%81.575.4+6.1
4 KK Zagreb1710759%81.073.2+7.8
5 Jazine1710759%88.686.3+2.4
6 Kastela169756%79.974.7+5.2
7 Samobor169756%82.382.6-0.3
8 Omis178947%77.580.6-3.1
9 Hermes157847%92.190.1+2.1
10 Marsonia1761135%79.685.7-6.1
11 Mladost1541127%77.784.5-6.8
12 Podstrana1741324%71.885.3-13.5
13 Crikvenica1731418%73.787.1-13.4
14 Stoja1721512%77.091.1-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes2419151371
Kastela2427262198
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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