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Hermes vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 107-87
36-25 30-20 16-21 25-21
Position#8
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game87.5
Hermes 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#11
Record1-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game85.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 3· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hermes v Mladost
06 Apr 2025
HERM64
MLAD90
21 Oct 2023
HERM107
MLAD87
12 Apr 2023
HERM108
MLAD112
29 Oct 2022
HERM105
MLAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
128-92
128
92
+36
no box
H02/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
no box
H12/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
97-105 OT
97
105
-8
no box
A16/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A20/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-49
95
49
+46
no box
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
121-78
121
78
+43
no box
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 67
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
75avg 67
A12/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-31
43-22
26-23
26-16
23-32
28-25
28-15
17-24
18-26
15-23
23-25
34-16
24-21
17-25
29-14
22-29
19-22
26-25
32-23
21-21
29-15
20-14
28-13
18-7
29-20
15-19
23-22
25-13
37-25
29-13
25-19
30-21
20-23
15-24
12-32
22-21
25-19
23-18
22-20
14-18
184.9Avg total
98.4Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.587.5164.0-11.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)76.587.5164.0-11.050%
Last 10 (10)98.486.5184.9+11.970%
Last 5 (5)92.275.2167.4+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.091.7163.7-19.70%
vs Similar (13)91.589.7181.2+1.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)96.481.0177.4+15.473%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
100-107
100
107
-7
no box
H01/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
112-108 OT
112
108
+4
no box
A12/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
H15/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
72-98
72
98
-26
no box
A22/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
111-99
111
99
+12
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
74-92
74
92
-18
no box
H11/05
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
77avg 70
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
63avg 70
H14/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
27-37
25-22
29-24
32-23
25-28
15-28
24-17
29-7
18-25
17-23
19-25
18-29
19-25
15-26
20-18
31-26
29-20
25-30
26-23
25-14
17-26
16-20
16-24
20-29
19-15
22-23
13-25
35-25
19-16
20-15
30-18
18-21
25-15
21-21
26-17
23-30
14-23
21-26
14-18
180.5Avg total
89.2Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.085.5166.5-4.550%
Season at home (1)72.097.0169.0-25.00%
Season away (1)90.074.0164.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.291.3180.5-2.150%
Last 5 (5)82.884.2167.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.987.1160.0-14.20%
vs Similar (13)84.290.8174.9-6.623%
vs Weaker (9)95.978.3174.2+17.6100%
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
HermesMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H02/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H12/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A16/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A20/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/10
Prva Liga
93.0Avg total
48.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.186.8+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.342.888.1+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)42.043.485.4-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)48.844.293.0+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)48.438.086.4+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.346.780.0-13.30%-
vs Similar (13)44.343.687.9+0.754%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)48.540.589.1+8.064%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H01/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A12/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H15/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A22/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H26/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H11/05
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A13/05
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H14/10
Prva Liga
92.0Avg total
46.2Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.986.4+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.144.188.1+0.043%-
Last 30 away (16)43.141.884.9+1.262%-
Last 10 (10)46.245.892.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.885.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.144.681.8-7.512%-
vs Similar (13)43.545.088.5-1.546%-
vs Weaker (9)49.338.287.6+11.1100%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.0 pts a game · 6% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.0
49.3%
52.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.012.0
33.3%
32.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws6.55.0
76.9%
71.2%5.0
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.0
51.5%
52.9%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.55.5
25.6%
32.9%16.5
🏀 Free throws16.013.5
84.4%
71.2%13.5
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
WLWWWWWLLW
Mladost
LWWLLWLWWL
#8
League position
#11
-15.4
Net rating
-6.3
95.0
Offensive rating
100.4
110.4
Defensive rating
106.6
49.7%
Effective FG%
47.5%
62.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
20.8%
Turnover %
23.7%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
39.5%
0.09
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.3%
3-point %
25.6%
63.3%
Assist %
42.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 100.4Defence110.4 · 106.6Shooting49.7% · 47.5%3-point %33.3% · 25.6%Ball care20.8% · 23.7%Off. rebounds25.6% · 39.5%Free throws0.09 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Hermes   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hermes wins
2
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
11/05/23Mladost v Hermes74-92
12/04/23Hermes v Mladost108-112 OT
27/01/23Mladost v Hermes107-75
29/10/22Hermes v Mladost105-81
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/23ASamobor84-75
10/10/23AOsijek69-100
14/05/23HStoja121-78
11/05/23AMladost92-74
28/04/23ASonik Puntamika95-49
26/04/23HJazine98-91
20/04/23ASamobor92-89
16/04/23AStoja97-105 OT
12/04/23HMladost108-112 OT
02/04/23HSonik Puntamika128-92
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HOsijek72-97
07/10/23ACrikvenica90-74
13/05/23ASonik Puntamika104-74
11/05/23HHermes74-92
29/04/23AJazine74-84
26/04/23HSamobor111-99
22/04/23AStoja72-98
15/04/23HSonik Puntamika83-80
12/04/23AHermes112-108 OT
01/04/23HJazine100-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game76.5-76.5
Allowed / game87.5-87.5
Point differential-11.0--11.0
Avg total164.0-164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game81.072.090.0
Allowed / game85.597.074.0
Point differential-4.5-25.0+16.0
Avg total166.5169.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner220100%95.063.5+31.5
2 KK Zagreb220100%87.565.5+22.0
3 Osijek330100%92.071.7+20.3
4 Jazine220100%106.0103.0+3.0
5 Omis21150%84.571.0+13.5
6 Gorica21150%70.569.0+1.5
7 Mladost21150%81.085.5-4.5
8 Marsonia21150%68.577.5-9.0
9 Hermes21150%76.587.5-11.0
10 Kastela31233%82.780.3+2.3
11 Crikvenica31233%73.781.3-7.7
12 Stoja3030%85.398.0-12.7
13 Samobor2020%72.587.5-15.0
14 Podstrana2020%61.096.5-35.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes36301625107
Mladost2520212187
← all games of the day
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