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Stoja vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 105-97 (OT)
26-18 23-15 25-23 16-34 15-7
Position#9
Record9-17
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game88.1
Stoja 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#6
Record12-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game88.0
CroatiaPrva Liga
Other2022-23
Meetings · Stoja v Hermes
10 Feb 2024
STOJ94
HERM87
16 Apr 2023
STOJ105
HERM97
19 Nov 2022
STOJ79
HERM89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
H12/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A19/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H25/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
97-79
97
79
+18
A05/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H11/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A18/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
92-80
92
80
+12
A25/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H01/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
A07/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
17-18
16-23
19-20
22-23
19-22
21-22
14-27
21-23
23-19
18-18
20-19
25-26
14-27
13-21
22-17
23-26
33-19
15-20
26-14
21-29
25-18
25-15
18-23
22-22
9-20
15-21
24-21
26-19
23-22
18-24
25-15
27-22
17-24
18-16
17-14
26-22
34-38
15-12
19-22
169.9Avg total
83.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.688.1170.7-5.535%
Season at home (12)82.887.2170.0-4.342%
Season away (14)82.488.9171.4-6.529%
Last 10 (10)83.686.3169.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)87.687.2174.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.593.3174.8-11.815%
vs Similar (7)82.385.3167.6-3.043%
vs Weaker (6)85.580.2165.7+5.367%
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H04/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A11/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H19/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A25/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H04/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A11/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H19/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
104-96
104
96
+8
A25/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
128-92
128
92
+36
H02/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
H12/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-21
16-21
34-17
16-27
25-26
13-17
20-21
12-11
23-21
19-23
18-18
19-20
30-16
17-25
24-22
23-20
21-24
24-22
22-23
29-22
22-20
21-18
29-29
24-24
27-15
24-11
20-24
24-26
27-24
26-25
24-24
27-23
33-31
43-22
26-23
26-16
23-32
28-25
28-15
17-24
183.0Avg total
94.6Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.388.0173.3-2.746%
Season at home (14)89.188.4177.4+0.750%
Season away (12)80.987.5168.4-6.642%
Last 10 (10)94.688.4183.0+6.260%
Last 5 (5)106.293.4199.6+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.090.9159.9-21.90%
vs Similar (11)91.593.5185.0-1.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)93.078.4171.4+14.680%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
StojaHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A19/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H25/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A05/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H11/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A18/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A25/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H01/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A07/04
Prva Liga
90.6Avg total
44.4Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)41.845.186.9-3.326%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.544.184.5-3.623%-
Last 30 away (14)43.146.189.1-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)44.446.290.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)46.047.293.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.848.591.3-5.823%-
vs Similar (7)40.641.482.0-0.929%-
vs Weaker (6)43.241.384.5+1.833%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H04/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A11/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H19/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A25/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H04/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H19/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A25/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H02/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H12/04
Prva Liga
91.1Avg total
47.2Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.085.6-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.142.985.1-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)40.945.386.1-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)47.243.991.1+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)54.844.699.4+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.647.880.3-15.20%-
vs Similar (11)44.345.689.9-1.445%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.638.985.5+7.760%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Stoja wins
1
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
19/02/23Hermes v Stoja79-82
19/11/22Stoja v Hermes79-89
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/23AJazine108-111 OT
01/04/23HSamobor79-76
25/03/23ASonik Puntamika92-80
18/03/23AMladost70-84
11/03/23HMladost89-85
05/03/23ASonik Puntamika97-79
25/02/23HKastela74-91
19/02/23AHermes82-79
12/02/23HOsijek76-94
04/02/23AOmis69-84
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/23HMladost108-112 OT
02/04/23HSonik Puntamika128-92
25/03/23AJazine104-96
19/03/23HSamobor95-76
11/03/23AOmis96-91
04/03/23HKK Zagreb96-91
25/02/23AJazine94-83
19/02/23HStoja79-82
11/02/23ASamobor70-75
04/02/23HDubrovnik76-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stoja
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL35%
HomeWLLWW42%
AwayWWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %35%42%29%
Points / game82.682.882.4
Allowed / game88.187.288.9
Point differential-5.5-4.3-6.5
Avg total170.7170.0171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%8%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL46%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLWWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game85.389.180.9
Allowed / game88.088.487.5
Point differential-2.7+0.7-6.6
Avg total173.3177.4168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubrovnik2725293%85.669.4+16.2
2 Kastela2721678%80.872.5+8.3
3 Osijek2720774%85.072.4+12.6
4 Kvarner27161159%78.371.7+6.5
5 Jazine27151256%83.283.7-0.5
6 KK Zagreb27131448%75.576.6-1.0
7 Hermes26121446%85.388.0-2.7
8 Mladost27121544%85.285.5-0.3
9 Omis27121544%75.376.5-1.3
10 Stoja2691735%82.688.1-5.5
11 Samobor2752219%72.984.8-11.9
12 Sonik Puntamika271264%73.194.0-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Stoja2623251615105
Hermes18152334797
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