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Hermes vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 May 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 121-78
37-25 29-13 25-19 30-21
Position#6
Record16-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game86.9
Hermes 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#9
Record13-18
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game87.9
CroatiaPrva Liga
Other2022-23
Meetings · Hermes v Stoja
05 Nov 2023
HERM85
STOJ93
14 May 2023
HERM121
STOJ78
19 Feb 2023
HERM79
STOJ82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A11/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H19/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
104-96
104
96
+8
A25/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
128-92
128
92
+36
H02/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
H12/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
97-105 OT
97
105
-8
A16/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
A20/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H26/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-49
95
49
+46
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A11/05
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
21-18
29-29
24-24
27-15
24-11
20-24
24-26
27-24
26-25
24-24
27-23
33-31
43-22
26-23
26-16
23-32
28-25
28-15
17-24
18-26
15-23
23-25
34-16
24-21
17-25
29-14
22-29
19-22
26-25
32-23
21-21
29-15
20-14
28-13
18-7
29-20
15-19
23-22
25-13
188.0Avg total
100.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.886.9173.8-0.152%
Season at home (15)89.788.5178.2+1.153%
Season away (16)84.285.4169.6-1.250%
Last 10 (10)100.587.5188.0+13.080%
Last 5 (5)94.881.6176.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.988.7157.6-19.90%
vs Similar (12)92.290.9183.1+1.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)95.179.9175.0+15.273%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H11/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A18/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
92-80
92
80
+12
A25/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H01/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
A07/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
105-97 OT
105
97
+8
H16/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H22/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H26/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A29/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
105-98
105
98
+7
H11/05
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
25-18
25-15
18-23
22-22
9-20
15-21
24-21
26-19
23-22
18-24
25-15
27-22
17-24
18-16
17-14
26-22
34-38
15-12
19-22
26-18
23-15
25-23
16-34
29-18
25-19
26-15
18-20
27-14
28-29
19-15
21-17
22-23
18-25
23-21
16-22
27-26
26-22
22-29
30-21
178.9Avg total
92.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.887.9172.7-3.042%
Season at home (16)87.386.8174.1+0.656%
Season away (15)82.289.1171.3-6.927%
Last 10 (10)92.086.9178.9+5.170%
Last 5 (5)96.486.6183.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)84.495.4179.8-10.921%
vs Similar (8)84.283.6167.9+0.650%
vs Weaker (8)85.980.9166.8+5.062%
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
HermesStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H19/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A25/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H02/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H12/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A16/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A20/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/05
Prva Liga
91.9Avg total
48.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.785.1-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.043.386.3-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.184.0-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)48.643.391.9+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.084.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.944.977.7-12.00%-
vs Similar (12)44.044.288.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.839.786.5+7.164%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H11/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A18/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A25/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H01/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A07/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H16/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H22/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H26/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A29/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H11/05
Prva Liga
92.6Avg total
48.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.344.788.0-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.843.287.0+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)42.946.289.1-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)48.144.592.6+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.241.892.0+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)43.448.291.6-4.829%-
vs Similar (8)42.240.983.1+1.438%-
vs Weaker (8)44.242.486.6+1.938%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hermes wins
2
Stoja wins
DateGameScore
16/04/23Stoja v Hermes105-97 OT
19/02/23Hermes v Stoja79-82
19/11/22Stoja v Hermes79-89
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/23AMladost92-74
28/04/23ASonik Puntamika95-49
26/04/23HJazine98-91
20/04/23ASamobor92-89
16/04/23AStoja97-105 OT
12/04/23HMladost108-112 OT
02/04/23HSonik Puntamika128-92
25/03/23AJazine104-96
19/03/23HSamobor95-76
11/03/23AOmis96-91
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/23HJazine105-98
29/04/23ASamobor79-91
26/04/23HSonik Puntamika95-75
22/04/23HMladost98-72
16/04/23HHermes105-97 OT
07/04/23AJazine108-111 OT
01/04/23HSamobor79-76
25/03/23ASonik Puntamika92-80
18/03/23AMladost70-84
11/03/23HMladost89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeWWWLW53%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%53%50%
Points / game86.889.784.2
Allowed / game86.988.585.4
Point differential-0.1+1.1-1.2
Avg total173.8178.2169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %10%13%6%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW42%
HomeWWWWW56%
AwayWLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %42%56%27%
Points / game84.887.382.2
Allowed / game87.986.889.1
Point differential-3.0+0.6-6.9
Avg total172.7174.1171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%19%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubrovnik3329488%82.768.5+14.2
2 Osijek3224875%83.871.7+12.2
3 Kastela3324973%79.372.6+6.7
4 Kvarner32191359%77.471.5+5.9
5 Jazine32181456%84.784.1+0.6
6 Hermes31161552%86.886.9-0.1
7 KK Zagreb32151747%74.876.8-2.0
8 Mladost32141844%85.586.1-0.6
9 Stoja31131842%84.887.9-3.0
10 Omis32122038%74.277.0-2.7
11 Samobor3272522%75.585.3-9.8
12 Sonik Puntamika321313%72.794.8-22.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes37292530121
Stoja2513192178
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