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Hermes vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 79-82
23-21 19-23 18-18 19-20
Position#6
Record6-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Stoja 🏆
Croatia
Position#9
Record4-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game89.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 19
Other2022-23
Meetings · Hermes v Stoja
05 Nov 2023
HERM85
STOJ93
14 May 2023
HERM121
STOJ78
19 Feb 2023
HERM79
STOJ82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H27/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A03/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
H10/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
77-101
77
101
-24
H18/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
56-80
56
80
-24
H07/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A15/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
102-87
102
87
+15
H21/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
75-107
75
107
-32
A27/01
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H04/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A11/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
26-18
22-24
17-32
16-20
17-17
14-32
18-15
32-15
11-31
13-17
27-20
27-33
16-14
19-24
15-30
7-23
11-19
23-18
15-20
21-26
17-24
16-20
23-13
28-28
20-15
26-19
28-25
18-34
24-22
21-26
12-25
10-21
16-21
34-17
16-27
25-26
13-17
20-21
12-11
165.5Avg total
77.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.886.9165.7-8.133%
Season at home (9)82.387.1169.4-4.844%
Season away (9)75.286.7161.9-11.422%
Last 10 (10)77.188.4165.5-11.320%
Last 5 (5)80.087.6167.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.089.8157.8-21.80%
vs Similar (9)86.391.7178.0-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.578.5170.9+14.082%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
77-92
77
92
-15
A26/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
94-92
94
92
+2
H03/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A11/12
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A18/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H07/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
74-105
74
105
-31
A14/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A21/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H29/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
H12/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
16-24
13-23
20-21
16-20
24-20
29-18
25-34
29-17
21-21
24-28
21-16
16-26
14-21
12-21
17-13
15-19
19-15
26-25
19-21
17-30
19-26
11-28
27-21
22-30
26-24
21-24
23-15
15-15
23-26
23-23
18-13
17-23
17-18
16-23
19-20
22-23
19-22
21-22
14-27
167.4Avg total
79.4Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.989.2170.2-8.322%
Season at home (9)83.688.2171.8-4.733%
Season away (9)78.390.2168.6-11.911%
Last 10 (10)79.488.0167.4-8.630%
Last 5 (5)78.090.6168.6-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.593.2172.7-13.710%
vs Similar (5)83.485.6169.0-2.240%
vs Weaker (3)81.782.0163.7-0.333%
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
HermesStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A03/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H18/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
18-42
18
42
-24
H07/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A15/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H21/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/01
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H04/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A11/02
Prva Liga
80.8Avg total
36.8Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.082.1-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.041.682.6-0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)37.044.681.6-7.614%-
Last 10 (10)36.844.080.8-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.446.885.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.747.579.2-15.80%-
vs Similar (9)40.943.384.2-2.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.538.683.1+5.864%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A26/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H03/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A11/12
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A18/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A14/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A21/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H29/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/02
Prva Liga
83.9Avg total
39.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)40.044.384.3-4.321%-
Last 30 at home (10)39.742.782.4-3.030%-
Last 30 away (9)40.346.186.4-5.811%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.483.9-4.910%-
Last 5 (5)39.447.486.8-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.347.688.9-6.320%-
vs Similar (5)41.440.281.6+1.240%-
vs Weaker (3)36.738.775.3-2.00%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hermes wins
0
Stoja wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22Stoja v Hermes79-89
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23ASamobor70-75
04/02/23HDubrovnik76-86
27/01/23AMladost75-107
21/01/23HSonik Puntamika102-87
15/01/23AKastela77-83
07/01/23HKvarner56-80
18/12/22HOsijek77-101
10/12/22HOmis95-91 OT
03/12/22AKK Zagreb65-84
27/11/22HJazine78-90
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23HOsijek76-94
04/02/23AOmis69-84
29/01/23HKK Zagreb79-77
21/01/23AJazine92-93
14/01/23AKvarner74-105
07/01/23HSamobor79-80
18/12/22ADubrovnik59-81
11/12/22AMladost95-82
03/12/22HSonik Puntamika94-92
26/11/22AKastela77-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%44%22%
Points / game78.882.375.2
Allowed / game86.987.186.7
Point differential-8.1-4.8-11.4
Avg total165.7169.4161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayWLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%33%11%
Points / game80.983.678.3
Allowed / game89.288.290.2
Point differential-8.3-4.7-11.9
Avg total170.2171.8168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubrovnik1817194%86.268.1+18.1
2 Osijek1814478%86.471.5+14.9
3 Kvarner1812667%77.668.9+8.7
4 KK Zagreb1812667%79.173.9+5.2
5 Kastela1812667%80.575.4+5.1
6 Omis1810856%79.175.3+3.8
7 Jazine1810856%80.281.1-0.9
8 Mladost1871139%82.184.9-2.8
9 Hermes1861233%78.886.9-8.1
10 Stoja1841422%80.989.2-8.3
11 Samobor1841422%69.781.3-11.7
12 Sonik Puntamika180180%70.394.2-23.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes2319181979
Stoja2123182082
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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