PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hermes vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 85-93
30-28 23-22 15-20 17-23
Position#8
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game85.5
Hermes
Croatia
vs
Stoja 🏆
Croatia
Position#13
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game96.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 5· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hermes v Stoja
05 Nov 2023
HERM85
STOJ93
14 May 2023
HERM121
STOJ78
19 Feb 2023
HERM79
STOJ82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Stoja
#9
L
97-105 OT
97
105
-8
no box
A16/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A20/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-49
95
49
+46
no box
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
121-78
121
78
+43
no box
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 81
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
75avg 81
A12/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
107-87
107
87
+20
111avg 81
H21/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 81
A28/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
15-23
23-25
34-16
24-21
17-25
29-14
22-29
19-22
26-25
32-23
21-21
29-15
20-14
28-13
18-7
29-20
15-19
23-22
25-13
37-25
29-13
25-19
30-21
20-23
15-24
12-32
22-21
25-19
23-18
22-20
14-18
36-25
30-20
16-21
25-21
21-32
19-18
21-13
25-17
176.9Avg total
94.1Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.585.5172.0+1.075%
Season at home (1)107.087.0194.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)79.785.0164.7-5.367%
Last 10 (10)94.182.8176.9+11.380%
Last 5 (5)93.484.0177.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.588.3161.8-14.817%
vs Similar (12)90.490.4180.8+0.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)97.281.5178.8+15.875%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Hermes
#6
W
105-97 OT
105
97
+8
no box
H16/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
98-72
98
72
+26
no box
H22/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
105-98
105
98
+7
no box
H11/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
78-121
78
121
-43
no box
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 65
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
117-122 OT
117
122
-5
no box
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 65
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 65
H28/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
23-15
25-23
16-34
29-18
25-19
26-15
18-20
27-14
28-29
19-15
21-17
22-23
18-25
23-21
16-22
27-26
26-22
22-29
30-21
25-37
13-29
19-25
21-30
22-21
16-25
17-30
15-21
22-16
23-25
25-26
12-15
16-21
16-24
22-11
15-19
21-33
15-25
28-17
16-15
183.4Avg total
89.6Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.096.0180.0-12.00%
Season at home (2)98.5106.0204.5-7.50%
Season away (2)69.586.0155.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)89.693.8183.4-4.240%
Last 5 (5)82.8101.0183.8-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)84.998.1182.9-13.219%
vs Similar (7)81.379.9161.1+1.457%
vs Weaker (7)87.981.9169.7+6.071%
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
HermesStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#9
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A16/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A20/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
66-45
66
45
+21
H21/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A28/10
Prva Liga
89.4Avg total
46.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.287.6+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.943.190.0+3.747%-
Last 30 away (15)42.043.385.3-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)46.742.789.4+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)51.043.494.4+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.346.379.7-13.00%-
vs Similar (12)44.443.988.3+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.040.990.9+9.167%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hermes
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H16/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H22/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H26/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A29/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H11/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
38-66
38
66
-28
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H28/10
Prva Liga
90.5Avg total
44.0Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.046.189.0-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.743.787.4+0.036%-
Last 30 away (16)42.348.190.4-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.590.5-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.851.289.0-13.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)42.949.692.5-6.825%-
vs Similar (7)40.741.682.3-0.929%-
vs Weaker (7)45.442.487.9+3.043%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.0
53.7%
52.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.2
36.0%
32.9%33.8
🏀 Free throws10.58.5
81.0%
71.2%8.5
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.3 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.7
50.7%
52.9%45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.74.7
34.1%
32.9%14.0
🏀 Free throws18.013.7
75.9%
71.2%13.7
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
WWWLWWWWWL
Stoja
LLLLLWLWWW
#8
League position
#13
-0.9
Net rating
-19.8
105.3
Offensive rating
96.4
106.2
Defensive rating
116.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
20.9%
Turnover %
20.5%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.15
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.0%
3-point %
34.1%
66.2%
Assist %
54.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 96.4Defence106.2 · 116.2Shooting53.8% · 50.9%3-point %36.0% · 34.1%Ball care20.9% · 20.5%Off. rebounds30.1% · 21.1%Free throws0.15 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Hermes   ■ Stoja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hermes wins
2
Stoja wins
DateGameScore
14/05/23Hermes v Stoja121-78
16/04/23Stoja v Hermes105-97 OT
19/02/23Hermes v Stoja79-82
19/11/22Stoja v Hermes79-89
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23AKastela86-80
21/10/23HMladost107-87
12/10/23ASamobor84-75
10/10/23AOsijek69-100
14/05/23HStoja121-78
11/05/23AMladost92-74
28/04/23ASonik Puntamika95-49
26/04/23HJazine98-91
20/04/23ASamobor92-89
16/04/23AStoja97-105 OT
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HOsijek80-90
21/10/23ACrikvenica69-75
14/10/23HJazine117-122 OT
08/10/23AKK Zagreb70-97
14/05/23AHermes78-121
11/05/23HJazine105-98
29/04/23ASamobor79-91
26/04/23HSonik Puntamika95-75
22/04/23HMladost98-72
16/04/23HHermes105-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game86.5107.079.7
Allowed / game85.587.085.0
Point differential+1.0+20.0-5.3
Avg total172.0194.0164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game84.098.569.5
Allowed / game96.0106.086.0
Point differential-12.0-7.5-16.5
Avg total180.0204.5155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner550100%94.075.0+19.0
2 Osijek550100%90.074.4+15.6
3 KK Zagreb54180%83.065.8+17.2
4 Hermes43175%86.585.5+1.0
5 Gorica53260%76.871.0+5.8
6 Omis53260%78.874.0+4.8
7 Samobor53260%80.681.8-1.2
8 Kastela52340%85.280.6+4.6
9 Jazine52340%88.496.2-7.8
10 Marsonia51420%77.085.2-8.2
11 Mladost51420%81.493.0-11.6
12 Crikvenica51420%70.283.8-13.6
13 Podstrana51420%72.488.2-15.8
14 Stoja4040%84.096.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes3023151785
Stoja2822202393
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.