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Heroes de Falcon vs Llaneros Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 May 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 88-83
27-10 26-29 20-23 15-21
Position#10
Record12-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#14
Record9-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game84.7
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Fenelón Díaz (Punto Fijo)
Other2023
Meetings · Heroes de Falcon v Llaneros
21 May 2023
HERO88
LLAN83
02 Sep 2022
HERO86
LLAN89
08 May 2021
HERO64
LLAN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heroes de Falcon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Llaneros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Heroes de FalconVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFalcon
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
no box
A23/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
85-86
85
86
-1
74avg 73
A25/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
61-73
61
73
-12
43avg 73
A26/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
85-71
85
71
+14
85avg 73
H01/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 73
H02/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
78-67
78
67
+11
68avg 73
A04/05
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
65-62
65
62
+3
65avg 73
A10/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
71-81
71
81
-10
64avg 73
A11/05
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
64-53
64
53
+11
60avg 73
H15/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 73
H19/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
18-33
29-9
19-31
15-31
16-23
29-18
25-14
19-20
14-18
17-21
11-14
25-15
21-11
16-15
23-30
16-20
22-24
24-21
17-20
21-23
18-22
21-11
18-11
12-11
22-24
15-13
16-14
16-27
19-18
18-19
18-17
21-18
15-12
14-12
14-11
17-25
15-16
20-19
22-15
152.0Avg total
76.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.478.7159.1+1.748%
Season at home (12)80.877.6158.4+3.258%
Season away (13)80.079.8159.8+0.238%
Last 10 (10)76.375.7152.0+0.640%
Last 5 (5)70.467.6138.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.394.3178.7-10.00%
vs Similar (18)76.677.0153.6-0.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.482.4170.9+6.056%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
84avg 71
H25/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 71
H27/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 71
A01/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
87-96
87
96
-9
74avg 71
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
72-96
72
96
-24
64avg 71
H06/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-94
78
94
-16
68avg 71
A09/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
96-68
96
68
+28
105avg 71
A11/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
no box
H14/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
70-92
70
92
-22
48avg 71
A18/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 71
A19/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
23-16
18-29
14-25
23-14
21-23
15-19
19-26
22-22
20-17
16-16
27-25
17-27
20-29
27-21
23-19
13-18
17-21
24-36
18-21
20-27
23-13
10-28
25-26
27-17
21-18
26-22
22-11
16-15
16-23
25-22
21-18
18-22
22-27
17-29
13-14
22-13
17-22
16-16
15-26
167.2Avg total
81.4Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.284.7164.9-4.536%
Season at home (13)80.586.8167.4-6.323%
Season away (12)79.882.4162.2-2.650%
Last 10 (10)81.485.8167.2-4.440%
Last 5 (5)81.283.8165.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.588.7166.2-11.214%
vs Similar (8)79.280.6159.9-1.450%
vs Weaker (8)89.282.0171.2+7.275%
This opponent (Heroes de Falcon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
Heroes de FalconLlaneros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Heroes de FalconLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A23/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A25/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A26/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H01/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A04/05
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A10/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A11/05
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H15/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H19/05
Superliga
77.4Avg total
36.6Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.979.3-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.037.979.9+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)37.141.678.8-4.525%-
Last 10 (10)36.640.877.4-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.274.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.044.387.3-1.367%-
vs Similar (18)37.739.276.9-1.439%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.639.981.4+1.756%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H25/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H06/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A09/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A11/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H14/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A18/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A19/05
Superliga
80.8Avg total
40.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.982.4+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.840.881.6+0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)42.541.083.5+1.554%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.980.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.479.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.842.383.1-1.543%-
vs Similar (8)40.140.280.4-0.138%-
vs Weaker (8)44.239.083.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Heroes de Falcon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Heroes de Falcontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heroes de Falcon: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.421.6
46.6%
50.8%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.55.8
28.3%
31.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws19.412.7
65.5%
65.6%12.7
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.920.9
45.5%
50.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.1
34.5%
31.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.39.9
64.7%
65.6%9.9
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Heroes de Falcon
LWLWWLWLLL
Llaneros
LLWWLLLWLW
#10
League position
#14
+0.3
Net rating
-7.4
96.9
Offensive rating
98.5
96.6
Defensive rating
105.8
45.3%
Effective FG%
47.8%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
28.3%
3-point %
34.5%
66.1%
Assist %
62.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 98.5Defence96.6 · 105.8Shooting45.3% · 47.8%3-point %28.3% · 34.5%Ball care19.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds34.7% · 31.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Heroes de Falcon   ■ Llaneros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Heroes de Falcon wins
5
Llaneros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/23HGuaros de Lara74-75
15/05/23HCentauros64-53
11/05/23AGuaros de Lara71-81
10/05/23ACentauros65-62
04/05/23AGaiteros del Zulia78-67
02/05/23HToros de Aragua79-85
01/05/23HGaiteros del Zulia85-71
26/04/23ATrotamundos61-73
25/04/23ALlaneros85-86
23/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia101-104 OT
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/23AGaiteros del Zulia70-77
18/05/23ABrillantes70-92
14/05/23HToros de Aragua92-88 OT
11/05/23AFrontinos96-68
09/05/23ABroncos78-94
06/05/23HGuaros de Lara72-96
04/05/23HTrotamundos87-96
01/05/23AFrontinos85-80
27/04/23HBroncos78-82
25/04/23HHeroes de Falcon86-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Heroes de Falcon
Superliga 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeLWLWL58%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %48%58%38%
Points / game80.480.880.0
Allowed / game78.777.679.8
Point differential+1.7+3.2+0.2
Avg total159.1158.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Llaneros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL36%
HomeWLLLW23%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%23%50%
Points / game80.280.579.8
Allowed / game84.786.882.4
Point differential-4.5-6.3-2.6
Avg total164.9167.4162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)25% (8)100% (3)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2622485%83.073.6+9.3
2 Trotamundos2520580%84.877.2+7.5
3 Guaros de Lara2620677%83.977.3+6.5
4 Cocodrilos2619773%77.570.3+7.1
5 Broncos2518772%90.578.0+12.6
6 Brillantes2517868%83.876.3+7.4
7 Guaiqueries2617965%80.776.6+4.0
8 Piratas de La Guaira2617965%81.778.6+3.2
9 Spartans26151158%79.577.7+1.9
10 Panteras26131350%78.076.9+1.1
11 Heroes de Falcon25121348%80.478.7+1.7
12 Gaiteros del Zulia25111444%78.882.5-3.8
13 Centauros26111542%76.277.9-1.7
14 Llaneros2591636%80.284.7-4.5
15 Gigantes2681831%77.383.5-6.2
16 Marinos2671927%80.286.0-5.8
17 Diablos2671927%76.783.7-7.0
18 Cangrejeros2652119%76.784.2-7.5
19 Frontinos2652119%77.592.0-14.5
20 Toros de Aragua2642215%75.085.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Heroes de Falcon2726201588
Llaneros1029232183
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