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Llaneros vs Guaros de Lara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 72-96
13-18 17-21 24-36 18-21
Position#14
Record7-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#3
Record14-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game77.6
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Olímpico Hugo Chávez (San Juan de los Morros)
Other2023
Meetings · Llaneros v Guaros de Lara
28 May 2023
LLAN73
GUAR102
06 May 2023
LLAN72
GUAR96
25 Jul 2022
LLAN73
GUAR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llaneros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 71
A09/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
79-59
79
59
+20
79avg 71
H11/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
60avg 71
H15/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
69-101
69
101
-32
62avg 71
H16/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
A21/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 71
A23/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
84avg 71
H25/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 71
H27/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 71
A01/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
87-96
87
96
-9
74avg 71
H04/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
26-27
22-13
20-20
22-17
26-12
16-13
15-17
27-21
15-25
18-18
22-23
14-27
13-18
27-36
15-20
27-18
22-21
18-28
20-20
30-30
26-19
16-17
8-21
31-15
23-16
18-29
14-25
23-14
21-23
15-19
19-26
22-22
20-17
16-16
27-25
17-27
20-29
27-21
23-19
168.2Avg total
83.1Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.484.4164.7-4.037%
Season at home (11)80.385.9166.2-5.618%
Season away (8)80.582.2162.8-1.862%
Last 10 (10)83.185.1168.2-2.050%
Last 5 (5)83.286.0169.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.586.8165.4-8.323%
vs Similar (8)80.682.4163.0-1.850%
vs Weaker (9)85.376.3161.7+9.078%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
85avg 75
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
83-65
83
65
+18
58avg 75
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
101-90
101
90
+11
94avg 75
H14/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 75
H16/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
84avg 75
A19/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
73avg 75
A20/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
77avg 75
A22/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 75
H24/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
80-66
80
66
+14
74avg 75
H27/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 75
H03/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
24-22
24-24
23-33
18-22
21-16
21-16
23-11
31-24
18-26
27-22
25-18
23-18
22-13
22-21
19-25
31-28
14-27
24-18
21-25
18-21
25-25
25-17
13-26
24-17
23-18
21-18
18-24
32-21
13-17
21-18
14-17
27-18
14-15
23-18
16-15
21-14
17-27
26-13
19-23
167.4Avg total
86.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.577.6160.1+4.974%
Season at home (10)81.472.4153.8+9.090%
Season away (9)83.883.3167.1+0.456%
Last 10 (10)86.281.2167.4+5.070%
Last 5 (5)82.076.4158.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.583.0157.5-8.550%
vs Similar (13)79.883.2163.0-3.346%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.873.5158.3+11.492%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
LlanerosGuaros de Lara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A09/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H11/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H15/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H16/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A21/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A23/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H25/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H04/05
Superliga
86.0Avg total
44.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.680.3+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.140.582.5+1.659%-
Last 30 away (13)38.938.577.4+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)44.241.886.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.489.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.840.980.7-1.246%-
vs Similar (8)39.241.180.4-1.925%-
vs Weaker (9)43.336.379.7+7.089%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H14/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A19/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A20/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A22/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H24/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H27/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/05
Superliga
84.7Avg total
43.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.082.0+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.037.579.5+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.584.4-0.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.084.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.681.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.543.083.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (13)41.039.880.8+1.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.439.282.6+4.277%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.4
50.8%
50.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.5
34.1%
31.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.213.0
58.6%
65.6%13.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.1
55.0%
50.8%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.110.8
63.2%
65.6%10.8
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Llaneros
LWLWLWLLWW
Guaros de Lara
WWWWLLWWWL
#14
League position
#3
-1.7
Net rating
+6.0
100.3
Offensive rating
109.9
102.1
Defensive rating
103.9
51.0%
Effective FG%
53.9%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.1%
3-point %
34.6%
58.2%
Assist %
56.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 109.9Defence102.1 · 103.9Shooting51.0% · 53.9%3-point %34.1% · 34.6%Ball care19.6% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.3% · 30.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Llaneros   ■ Guaros de Lara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Llaneros wins
1
Guaros de Lara wins
DateGameScore
25/03/23Guaros de Lara v Llaneros86-72
25/07/22Llaneros v Guaros de Lara73-60
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/23HTrotamundos87-96
01/05/23AFrontinos85-80
27/04/23HBroncos78-82
25/04/23HHeroes de Falcon86-85
23/04/23ATrotamundos80-87
21/04/23AToros de Aragua100-94 OT
16/04/23HBroncos69-101
15/04/23HBrillantes82-87
11/04/23HToros de Aragua79-59
09/04/23AToros de Aragua85-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/23HBrillantes83-77
27/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia80-66
24/04/23HBroncos80-73
22/04/23AHeroes de Falcon86-77
20/04/23ABrillantes81-89
19/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia90-98
16/04/23HHeroes de Falcon86-77
14/04/23HCentauros101-90
12/04/23ACentauros83-65
10/04/23ATrotamundos92-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Llaneros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL37%
HomeLLWLL18%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %37%18%62%
Points / game80.480.380.5
Allowed / game84.485.982.2
Point differential-4.0-5.6-1.8
Avg total164.7166.2162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)14% (7)100% (3)
Overtime %11%9%12%
Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%90%56%
Points / game82.581.483.8
Allowed / game77.672.483.3
Point differential+4.9+9.0+0.4
Avg total160.1153.8167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2018290%84.873.3+11.4
2 Trotamundos2116576%82.878.4+4.4
3 Guaros de Lara1914574%82.577.6+4.9
4 Broncos2115671%88.777.4+11.3
5 Piratas de La Guaira1712571%82.977.4+5.5
6 Cocodrilos2014670%75.869.1+6.7
7 Brillantes2013765%83.877.0+6.8
8 Guaiqueries2012860%82.778.5+4.2
9 Spartans1911858%78.476.3+2.1
10 Panteras20101050%76.876.7+0.1
11 Heroes de Falcon21101148%82.780.8+1.9
12 Centauros2091145%77.679.2-1.6
13 Gaiteros del Zulia2091145%78.081.8-3.8
14 Llaneros1971237%80.484.4-4.0
15 Gigantes1861233%76.883.3-6.5
16 Marinos1851328%80.488.1-7.7
17 Frontinos2051525%80.691.5-10.9
18 Diablos1941521%76.886.3-9.5
19 Cangrejeros1931616%77.284.9-7.7
20 Toros de Aragua2131814%75.084.2-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Llaneros1317241872
Guaros de Lara1821362196
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