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Broncos vs Llaneros Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 May 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 94-78
27-20 13-23 28-10 26-25
Position#5
Record15-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game77.4
Broncos 🏆
Venezuela
vs
Position#14
Record7-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game85.0
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio José Joaquín Papá Carrillo (Caracas)
Other2023
Meetings · Broncos v Llaneros
07 Jul 2024
BRON104
LLAN73
28 May 2024
BRON104
LLAN83
09 May 2023
BRON94
LLAN78
02 Apr 2023
BRON85
LLAN64
05 Aug 2022
BRON81
LLAN72
22 Jul 2022
BRON90
LLAN65
16 Apr 2021
BRON85
LLAN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Broncos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Llaneros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
93-57
93
57
+36
94avg 80
H14/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
101-69
101
69
+32
99avg 80
A16/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 80
H17/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
98-78
98
78
+20
95avg 80
H19/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
69avg 80
A23/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
57avg 80
A24/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
82-78
82
78
+4
66avg 80
A27/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
88-101
88
101
-13
78avg 80
A28/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
96avg 80
H02/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
96-84
96
84
+12
88avg 80
A04/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
27-14
21-9
22-13
27-14
18-13
36-27
20-15
17-16
14-28
13-15
18-18
32-19
26-19
22-26
18-14
21-13
13-17
22-20
26-15
21-32
17-13
18-21
17-14
14-23
23-21
19-15
26-19
23-30
17-21
22-25
26-25
27-17
30-26
14-17
21-24
27-23
25-22
21-25
23-14
164.0Avg total
86.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.777.4166.0+11.371%
Season at home (10)91.476.0167.4+15.480%
Season away (11)86.278.6164.8+7.564%
Last 10 (10)86.777.3164.0+9.470%
Last 5 (5)86.285.4171.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)76.178.6154.8-2.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.777.6166.4+11.173%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
79-59
79
59
+20
79avg 70
H11/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
60avg 70
H15/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
69-101
69
101
-32
62avg 70
H16/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
A21/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 70
A23/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
84avg 70
H25/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 70
H27/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 70
A01/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
87-96
87
96
-9
74avg 70
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
72-96
72
96
-24
64avg 70
H06/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
26-12
16-13
15-17
27-21
15-25
18-18
22-23
14-27
13-18
27-36
15-20
27-18
22-21
18-28
20-20
30-30
26-19
16-17
8-21
31-15
23-16
18-29
14-25
23-14
21-23
15-19
19-26
22-22
20-17
16-16
27-25
17-27
20-29
27-21
23-19
13-18
17-21
24-36
18-21
168.5Avg total
81.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.085.0164.9-5.035%
Season at home (12)79.686.8166.3-7.217%
Season away (8)80.582.2162.8-1.862%
Last 10 (10)81.886.7168.5-4.940%
Last 5 (5)81.687.8169.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.187.5165.6-9.421%
vs Similar (8)80.682.4163.0-1.850%
vs Weaker (8)83.878.4162.1+5.475%
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -3.6-3.6
BroncosLlaneros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H14/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H17/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H19/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A23/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A28/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H02/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A04/05
Superliga
84.4Avg total
44.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.780.0+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.880.7+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.638.679.2+2.047%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.284.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.845.690.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.636.574.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.639.582.1+3.150%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H11/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H15/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H16/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A21/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A23/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H25/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H06/05
Superliga
83.9Avg total
42.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.780.0+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.240.781.9+0.553%-
Last 30 away (13)38.938.577.4+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.083.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.481.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.140.879.9-1.743%-
vs Similar (8)39.241.180.4-1.925%-
vs Weaker (8)43.236.579.8+6.888%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.0
48.3%
50.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.2
33.1%
31.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.416.9
75.4%
65.6%16.9
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.7
48.3%
50.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.5
33.9%
31.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.512.8
59.5%
65.6%12.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Broncos
WWLWLWWLWW
Llaneros
LLWLWLWLLW
#5
League position
#14
+11.1
Net rating
-5.2
105.4
Offensive rating
97.8
94.3
Defensive rating
103.0
48.9%
Effective FG%
49.2%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.1%
3-point %
33.9%
62.7%
Assist %
58.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 97.8Defence94.3 · 103.0Shooting48.9% · 49.2%3-point %33.1% · 33.9%Ball care15.8% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.7% · 28.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Broncos   ■ Llaneros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Broncos wins
1
Llaneros wins
DateGameScore
27/04/23Llaneros v Broncos78-82
16/04/23Llaneros v Broncos69-101
02/04/23Broncos v Llaneros85-64
13/09/22Llaneros v Broncos83-90
09/08/22Llaneros v Broncos67-70
05/08/22Broncos v Llaneros81-72
22/07/22Broncos v Llaneros90-65
06/05/21Llaneros v Broncos77-72
16/04/21Broncos v Llaneros85-77
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/23AToros de Aragua96-84
02/05/23HCentauros92-84
28/04/23ATrotamundos88-101
27/04/23ALlaneros82-78
24/04/23AGuaros de Lara73-80
23/04/23ACentauros82-65
19/04/23HToros de Aragua98-78
17/04/23HBrillantes62-77
16/04/23ALlaneros101-69
14/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia93-57
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/23HGuaros de Lara72-96
04/05/23HTrotamundos87-96
01/05/23AFrontinos85-80
27/04/23HBroncos78-82
25/04/23HHeroes de Falcon86-85
23/04/23ATrotamundos80-87
21/04/23AToros de Aragua100-94 OT
16/04/23HBroncos69-101
15/04/23HBrillantes82-87
11/04/23HToros de Aragua79-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Broncos
Superliga 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayWLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%80%64%
Points / game88.791.486.2
Allowed / game77.476.078.6
Point differential+11.3+15.4+7.5
Avg total166.0167.4164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Llaneros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL35%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %35%17%62%
Points / game80.079.680.5
Allowed / game85.086.882.2
Point differential-5.0-7.2-1.8
Avg total164.9166.3162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)14% (7)100% (3)
Overtime %10%8%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2119290%84.673.4+11.2
2 Guaros de Lara2116576%83.676.8+6.8
3 Trotamundos2116576%82.878.4+4.4
4 Piratas de La Guaira1914574%82.276.7+5.5
5 Broncos2115671%88.777.4+11.3
6 Cocodrilos2115671%76.870.1+6.6
7 Brillantes2013765%83.877.0+6.8
8 Guaiqueries2012860%82.778.5+4.2
9 Spartans21111052%78.877.5+1.3
10 Panteras20101050%76.876.7+0.1
11 Heroes de Falcon21101148%82.780.8+1.9
12 Centauros21101148%78.579.2-0.8
13 Gaiteros del Zulia2191243%78.082.4-4.4
14 Gigantes1971237%77.383.4-6.1
15 Llaneros2071335%80.085.0-5.0
16 Marinos1951426%80.187.7-7.6
17 Frontinos2051525%80.691.5-10.9
18 Diablos2041620%76.385.5-9.2
19 Cangrejeros2031715%77.685.0-7.5
20 Toros de Aragua2231914%74.684.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Broncos2713282694
Llaneros2023102578
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