PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Llaneros vs Toros de Aragua Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 May 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 92-88 (OT)
16-15 16-23 25-22 21-18 14-10
Position#14
Record8-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#20
Record3-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game85.3
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Olímpico Hugo Chávez (San Juan de los Morros)
Other2023
Meetings · Llaneros v Toros de Aragua
15 Apr 2025
LLAN80
TORO88
07 Apr 2025
LLAN75
TORO77
10 Jul 2024
LLAN v TORO
upcoming
31 May 2024
LLAN95
TORO90
14 May 2023
LLAN92
TORO88
11 Apr 2023
LLAN79
TORO59
15 Aug 2022
LLAN98
TORO60
14 Jul 2022
LLAN53
TORO50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llaneros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Broncos
#5
L
69-101
69
101
-32
62avg 72
H16/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
A21/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 72
A23/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
84avg 72
H25/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 72
H27/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 72
A01/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
87-96
87
96
-9
74avg 72
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
72-96
72
96
-24
64avg 72
H06/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-94
78
94
-16
68avg 72
A09/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
96-68
96
68
+28
105avg 72
A11/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
13-18
27-36
15-20
27-18
22-21
18-28
20-20
30-30
26-19
16-17
8-21
31-15
23-16
18-29
14-25
23-14
21-23
15-19
19-26
22-22
20-17
16-16
27-25
17-27
20-29
27-21
23-19
13-18
17-21
24-36
18-21
20-27
23-13
10-28
25-26
27-17
21-18
26-22
22-11
171.4Avg total
83.1Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.684.6165.2-4.036%
Season at home (12)79.686.8166.3-7.217%
Season away (10)81.882.0163.8-0.260%
Last 10 (10)83.188.3171.4-5.240%
Last 5 (5)83.686.8170.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.188.5166.5-10.415%
vs Similar (8)80.682.4163.0-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.177.2162.3+7.978%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
57-68
57
68
-11
35avg 62
A17/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-98
78
98
-20
72avg 62
A19/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
no box
H21/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
85-76
85
76
+9
90avg 62
H25/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
73-97
73
97
-24
61avg 62
H29/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
65avg 62
A30/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
79avg 62
A02/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
78avg 62
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
53avg 62
A08/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
82-102
82
102
-20
79avg 62
A12/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-6
12-19
10-25
23-18
19-32
19-26
26-22
14-18
18-27
21-22
28-18
20-20
29-18
26-21
18-22
12-15
19-26
15-29
24-12
15-30
19-29
18-19
21-13
19-21
20-16
24-22
21-24
20-17
23-27
22-25
25-21
14-23
23-24
16-18
12-24
16-25
23-31
22-21
21-33
16-17
167.1Avg total
78.2Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.985.3160.2-10.413%
Season at home (11)78.787.6166.4-8.918%
Season away (12)71.483.2154.6-11.88%
Last 10 (10)78.288.9167.1-10.720%
Last 5 (5)79.090.0169.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)73.084.4157.4-11.47%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)78.081.3159.3-3.333%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
LlanerosToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Broncos
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H16/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A21/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A23/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H25/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H06/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A09/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A11/05
Superliga
84.0Avg total
43.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.081.3+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.440.982.3+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)41.238.980.1+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.084.0+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.881.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.841.882.6-0.946%-
vs Similar (8)39.241.180.4-1.925%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.836.380.1+7.489%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A17/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A19/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H21/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H25/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H29/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A02/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A12/05
Superliga
85.8Avg total
40.0Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.243.279.5-7.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.243.981.1-6.621%-
Last 30 away (16)35.442.778.1-7.319%-
Last 10 (10)40.045.885.8-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)42.046.488.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.144.080.0-7.915%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)37.736.774.3+1.067%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.921.4
47.7%
50.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.2%
31.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.211.0
60.4%
65.6%11.0
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.723.7
48.7%
50.8%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.54.9
26.5%
31.3%14.7
🏀 Free throws20.513.5
65.9%
65.6%13.5
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Llaneros
WLLLWLWLWL
Toros de Aragua
LLLWLLWLLL
#14
League position
#20
-7.2
Net rating
-13.8
98.9
Offensive rating
92.2
106.2
Defensive rating
106.0
49.0%
Effective FG%
46.2%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
22.7%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.2%
3-point %
26.5%
62.0%
Assist %
57.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 92.2Defence106.2 · 106.0Shooting49.0% · 46.2%3-point %34.2% · 26.5%Ball care18.5% · 22.7%Off. rebounds29.9% · 32.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Llaneros   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Llaneros wins
1
Toros de Aragua wins
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/23AFrontinos96-68
09/05/23ABroncos78-94
06/05/23HGuaros de Lara72-96
04/05/23HTrotamundos87-96
01/05/23AFrontinos85-80
27/04/23HBroncos78-82
25/04/23HHeroes de Falcon86-85
23/04/23ATrotamundos80-87
21/04/23AToros de Aragua100-94 OT
16/04/23HBroncos69-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/23ABroncos82-102
08/05/23AGuaros de Lara67-91
04/05/23HBroncos84-96
02/05/23AHeroes de Falcon85-79
30/04/23ATrotamundos77-82
29/04/23HCentauros73-97
25/04/23HBrillantes85-76
21/04/23HLlaneros94-100 OT
19/04/23ABroncos78-98
17/04/23ATrotamundos57-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Llaneros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %36%17%60%
Points / game80.679.681.8
Allowed / game84.686.882.0
Point differential-4.0-7.2-0.2
Avg total165.2166.3163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)14% (7)100% (3)
Overtime %9%8%10%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL13%
HomeLLWLL18%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %13%18%8%
Points / game74.978.771.4
Allowed / game85.387.683.2
Point differential-10.4-8.9-11.8
Avg total160.2166.4154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2422292%84.473.5+10.9
2 Trotamundos2419579%84.578.2+6.4
3 Guaros de Lara2318578%84.076.7+7.3
4 Broncos2417771%89.578.6+10.9
5 Cocodrilos2316770%76.570.7+5.9
6 Brillantes2215768%84.476.5+7.9
7 Piratas de La Guaira2215768%82.077.7+4.3
8 Guaiqueries2415962%81.277.5+3.6
9 Spartans23131057%79.777.7+2.0
10 Heroes de Falcon23111248%81.480.0+1.4
11 Panteras23111248%77.677.0+0.7
12 Centauros24101442%77.279.5-2.3
13 Gaiteros del Zulia2291341%78.183.1-5.0
14 Llaneros2281436%80.684.6-4.0
15 Gigantes2281436%77.783.2-5.5
16 Marinos2361726%79.986.9-7.0
17 Cangrejeros2351822%78.084.7-6.7
18 Frontinos2351822%79.292.0-12.8
19 Diablos2341917%76.285.0-8.8
20 Toros de Aragua2332013%74.985.3-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Llaneros161625211492
Toros de Aragua152322181088
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.