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Hills Hornets vs Manly W. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 70-98
20-23 16-25 14-27 20-23
Position#8
Record9-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game88.1
vs
Position#3
Record13-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game77.5
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Hills Hornets v Manly W.
07 Jul 2024
HILL70
MANL98
13 May 2023
HILL79
MANL68
10 Apr 2022
HILL82
MANL41
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hills Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manly W. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#1
W
101-86
101
86
+15
A11/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A18/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A25/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
112-109 OT
112
109
+3
H02/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
105-81
105
81
+24
H15/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
76-101
76
101
-25
H22/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H23/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
A26/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A29/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H06/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
34-21
18-29
25-17
15-23
26-28
16-18
15-26
14-30
26-14
29-25
20-12
32-23
16-31
17-25
32-18
31-15
26-19
27-21
21-26
18-31
21-25
26-20
11-25
13-24
22-25
29-24
17-20
15-31
22-24
22-35
35-23
22-13
23-24
19-26
12-15
32-18
27-15
17-29
19-19
181.9Avg total
90.1Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.488.1175.5-0.653%
Season at home (8)88.088.2176.2-0.262%
Season away (9)86.987.9174.8-1.044%
Last 10 (10)90.191.8181.9-1.750%
Last 5 (5)84.493.2177.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.892.7171.5-13.920%
vs Similar (4)77.888.2166.0-10.50%
vs Weaker (16)90.876.9167.7+13.894%
This opponent (Manly W.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Manly W.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H18/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H25/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A01/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
119-86
119
86
+33
H02/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
105-65
105
65
+40
A15/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H16/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H22/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H29/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A30/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
107-79
107
79
+28
H06/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
28-26
18-16
26-15
23-19
19-28
19-11
22-24
17-20
24-26
16-22
16-28
29-21
31-24
28-20
31-21
30-14
28-19
25-22
22-10
25-10
15-24
24-19
23-12
25-24
23-17
23-19
16-15
31-13
17-19
18-32
23-18
24-17
17-18
7-20
12-13
23-16
30-15
26-20
28-28
167.5Avg total
90.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.177.5167.6+12.676%
Season at home (10)97.577.4174.9+20.1100%
Season away (7)79.677.7157.3+1.943%
Last 10 (10)90.577.0167.5+13.580%
Last 5 (5)86.073.8159.8+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.891.3165.1-17.510%
vs Similar (7)79.676.4156.0+3.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.274.6166.8+17.585%
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
Hills HornetsManly W.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#1
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A11/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A18/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A25/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H02/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H15/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H22/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H23/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A26/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H06/07
NBL1 East
91.2Avg total
45.9Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.884.6+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.841.584.3+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)44.740.184.8+4.662%-
Last 10 (10)45.945.391.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.046.089.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.847.287.0-7.420%-
vs Similar (4)44.242.586.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (16)46.236.382.5+9.981%-
This opponent (Manly W.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Manly W.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H18/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H25/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A01/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H02/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A15/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H16/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H22/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H29/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A30/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H06/07
NBL1 East
86.7Avg total
48.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.083.4+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.342.586.8+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.239.379.5+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)48.238.586.7+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)46.034.680.6+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.544.781.2-8.20%-
vs Similar (7)41.138.479.6+2.786%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.639.587.2+8.169%-
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hills Hornets wins
1
Manly W. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/24HCentral Coast Crusaders95-81
29/06/24ANewcastle Falcons76-78
26/06/24ASydney Comets94-113
23/06/24HBankstown Bruins81-93
22/06/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits76-101
15/06/24HSutherland Sharks105-81
02/06/24HPenrith P.112-109 OT
25/05/24AHornsby S.89-81
18/05/24AManly W.72-95
11/05/24AMaitland M.101-86
Manly W.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/24HIllawarra Hawks107-79
30/06/24ABankstown Bruins60-68
29/06/24HBA CoE89-82
22/06/24HNewcastle Falcons87-75
16/06/24HBankstown Bruins87-65
15/06/24APenrith P.105-65
02/06/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits119-86
01/06/24AMaitland M.73-96
25/05/24HNorths Bears83-82
18/05/24HHills Hornets95-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW53%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game87.488.086.9
Allowed / game88.188.287.9
Point differential-0.6-0.2-1.0
Avg total175.5176.2174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Manly W.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %76%100%43%
Points / game90.197.579.6
Allowed / game77.577.477.7
Point differential+12.6+20.1+1.9
Avg total167.6174.9157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%80%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra1917289%87.874.7+13.2
2 Maitland M.1815383%99.982.2+17.7
3 Manly W.1713476%90.177.5+12.6
4 BA CoE2014670%91.081.4+9.6
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1913668%94.189.2+4.9
6 Inner West Bulls1811761%93.884.2+9.6
7 Sydney Comets1911858%88.683.5+5.1
8 Norths Bears1810856%86.284.0+2.2
9 Hills Hornets179853%87.488.1-0.6
10 Bankstown Bruins1910953%80.481.2-0.8
11 Newcastle Falcons1871139%74.980.8-5.9
12 Sutherland Sharks1871139%80.389.0-8.7
13 Central Coast Crusaders1841422%85.294.3-9.1
14 Illawarra Hawks1721512%81.4100.5-19.1
15 Hornsby S.1821611%79.394.3-15.1
16 Penrith P.191185%80.197.3-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hills Hornets2016142070
Manly W.2325272398
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