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Manly W. vs Hills Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 85-86
16-22 19-17 31-28 19-19
Position#14
Record4-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#8
Record13-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.0
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Manly W. v Hills Hornets
31 May 2025
MANL80
HILL82
18 May 2024
MANL95
HILL72
22 Jul 2023
MANL85
HILL86
21 May 2022
MANL88
HILL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manly W. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hills Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Manly W.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penrith P.
#15
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A20/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A21/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
73-99
73
99
-26
H27/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A03/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
H17/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A24/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
71-108
71
108
-37
H01/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
79-102
79
102
-23
A02/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H08/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A15/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
23-6
21-17
16-19
25-17
17-14
7-25
16-12
16-20
26-25
11-21
20-33
8-16
23-23
32-13
16-20
18-22
18-25
21-26
13-27
24-12
12-22
17-18
18-13
20-37
16-21
20-22
15-28
17-16
16-26
23-30
23-30
14-20
16-28
19-15
30-18
21-26
14-26
10-18
17-15
157.9Avg total
73.0Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.585.3155.9-14.819%
Season at home (10)73.590.7164.2-17.210%
Season away (11)67.880.5148.3-12.627%
Last 10 (10)73.084.9157.9-11.930%
Last 5 (5)72.488.2160.6-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.789.7161.4-18.010%
vs Similar (8)77.575.8153.2+1.850%
vs Weaker (2)76.079.5155.5-3.550%
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#14
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H13/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A20/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H27/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H03/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H17/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
95-57
95
57
+38
A24/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H01/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A08/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A14/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A15/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
15-15
22-24
24-13
25-23
31-25
20-21
12-26
28-12
21-20
18-10
26-19
24-26
28-11
15-27
21-29
23-18
22-21
23-24
18-16
22-10
32-14
23-16
18-17
23-21
19-18
17-16
14-16
14-23
22-20
17-19
12-26
14-13
18-16
23-14
18-18
27-29
28-14
23-22
18-24
159.8Avg total
83.6Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.377.0158.3+4.365%
Season at home (10)83.777.6161.3+6.170%
Season away (10)78.976.4155.3+2.560%
Last 10 (10)83.676.2159.8+7.470%
Last 5 (5)80.473.2153.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.489.0167.4-10.620%
vs Similar (13)75.878.5154.3-2.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.972.2160.2+15.7100%
This opponent (Manly W.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
Manly W.Hills Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Manly W.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penrith P.
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A20/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A21/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H27/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A03/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H17/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H01/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A02/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H08/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A15/07
NBL1 East
79.4Avg total
36.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.841.978.6-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.845.583.3-7.631%-
Last 30 away (17)35.939.175.1-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)36.542.979.4-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.046.880.8-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.243.879.0-8.515%-
vs Similar (8)39.236.876.0+2.562%-
vs Weaker (2)42.043.085.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#14
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H13/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A20/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H03/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H17/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
54-24
54
24
+30
A24/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A08/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A14/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A15/07
NBL1 East
81.9Avg total
45.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.079.4+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.940.080.9+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)39.937.977.7+2.043%-
Last 10 (10)45.436.581.9+8.990%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.679.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.446.483.8-9.00%-
vs Similar (13)38.738.677.3+0.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.536.379.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Manly W.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Manly W. wins
3
Hills Hornets wins
DateGameScore
13/05/23Hills Hornets v Manly W.79-68
21/05/22Manly W. v Hills Hornets88-96
10/04/22Hills Hornets v Manly W.82-41
Manly W.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/23ASutherland Sharks62-85
08/07/23HHornsby S.79-81
02/07/23AMaitland M.79-102
01/07/23HCanberra71-108
24/06/23AHornsby S.71-65
17/06/23HBA CoE70-100
03/06/23ACentral Coast Crusaders79-72
27/05/23HMaitland M.73-99
21/05/23ABankstown Bruins65-68
20/05/23APenrith P.81-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/23ABankstown Bruins96-89
14/07/23AHornsby S.73-61
08/07/23ACanberra65-88
01/07/23HCentral Coast Crusaders73-71
24/06/23APenrith P.95-57
17/06/23HBankstown Bruins86-79
03/06/23HNorths Bears88-93
27/05/23HHornsby S.93-61
20/05/23ASutherland Sharks88-95
13/05/23HManly W.79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manly W.
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLWWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %19%10%27%
Points / game70.573.567.8
Allowed / game85.390.780.5
Point differential-14.8-17.2-12.6
Avg total155.9164.2148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%70%60%
Points / game81.383.778.9
Allowed / game77.077.676.4
Point differential+4.3+6.1+2.5
Avg total158.3161.3155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%30%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE2019195%101.076.3+24.8
2 Inner West Bulls2016480%91.879.8+12.0
3 Canberra2115671%86.076.6+9.3
4 Norths Bears2014670%85.779.4+6.3
5 Maitland M.2114767%90.082.0+8.0
6 Hills Hornets2013765%81.377.0+4.3
7 Sutherland Sharks2214864%88.783.7+5.0
8 Newcastle Falcons2113862%78.172.4+5.7
9 Illawarra Hawks 221111052%86.982.5+4.3
10 Sydney Comets20101050%81.882.3-0.6
11 Albury-Wodonga Bandits21101148%89.089.9-1.0
12 Central Coast Crusaders2151624%78.788.9-10.2
13 Bankstown Bruins2141719%76.689.0-12.3
14 Manly W.2141719%70.585.3-14.8
15 Penrith P.2031715%71.594.2-22.8
16 Hornsby S.221215%66.482.7-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manly W.1619311985
Hills Hornets2217281986
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