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Maitland M. vs Hills Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 86-101
19-24 21-34 29-18 17-25
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game82.7
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Maitland M. v Hills Hornets
12 Apr 2025
MAIT88
HILL84
11 May 2024
MAIT86
HILL101
09 Apr 2022
MAIT87
HILL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maitland M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hills Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A29/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A05/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H12/08
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
109-72
109
72
+37
H06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
101-79
101
79
+22
H07/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H13/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H25/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
96-70
96
70
+26
A27/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
113-89
113
89
+24
A04/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
16-21
22-16
28-23
25-26
25-19
17-22
21-8
22-18
15-19
18-27
25-19
29-7
25-28
22-24
33-13
24-19
21-12
30-24
26-24
16-20
30-19
18-11
26-19
23-21
24-21
13-25
25-15
20-18
28-17
25-17
22-17
24-16
23-27
28-13
21-14
28-18
27-26
30-19
28-26
171.8Avg total
94.9Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.475.7174.1+22.7100%
Season at home (4)98.872.2171.0+26.5100%
Season away (3)98.080.3178.3+17.7100%
Last 10 (10)94.976.9171.8+18.090%
Last 5 (5)95.875.8171.6+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.097.5187.5-7.50%
vs Similar (9)88.382.2170.6+6.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)95.679.3174.9+16.389%
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#14
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H23/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A29/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
94-105
94
105
-11
A06/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A13/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A20/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
109-78
109
78
+31
A26/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H27/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H04/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
66-96
66
96
-30
H05/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
17-19
28-31
19-19
17-18
18-27
17-20
22-12
15-15
20-11
17-30
17-34
25-30
21-29
19-25
29-21
11-20
23-16
1-14
19-22
22-11
25-23
27-23
19-26
36-19
24-19
23-25
26-15
25-22
12-20
21-18
19-16
14-14
20-21
27-24
31-10
22-28
12-27
21-17
11-24
164.5Avg total
81.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.682.7166.3+0.957%
Season at home (3)78.380.3158.7-2.067%
Season away (4)87.584.5172.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)81.483.1164.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)87.480.4167.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.486.5161.9-11.125%
vs Similar (9)75.682.1157.7-6.633%
vs Weaker (13)89.072.3161.3+16.7100%
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +7.7+7.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +7.7+7.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
Maitland M.Hills Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A29/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A05/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H12/08
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H13/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A27/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A04/05
NBL1 East
86.4Avg total
47.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.741.687.3+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.940.186.0+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)45.443.388.7+2.171%-
Last 10 (10)47.139.386.4+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)48.640.689.2+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.549.093.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (9)43.643.186.7+0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.840.186.9+6.789%-
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A29/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A06/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A20/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A26/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H04/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H05/05
NBL1 East
80.6Avg total
40.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.380.6+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.181.6-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)42.137.779.8+4.456%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.580.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.883.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.944.481.2-7.512%-
vs Similar (9)39.441.280.7-1.833%-
vs Weaker (13)45.334.880.2+10.585%-
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maitland M. wins
1
Hills Hornets wins
DateGameScore
29/04/23Hills Hornets v Maitland M.82-76
16/07/22Hills Hornets v Maitland M.90-95
09/04/22Maitland M. v Hills Hornets87-84 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits113-89
27/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders96-70
25/04/24HHornsby S.95-69
20/04/24ASutherland Sharks85-82
13/04/24HCanberra90-69
07/04/24HInner West Bulls101-79
06/04/24HNewcastle Falcons109-72
12/08/23HSutherland Sharks80-83
05/08/23ACanberra88-75
29/07/23AInner West Bulls92-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24HCanberra66-96
04/05/24HIllawarra Hawks92-69
27/04/24HBA CoE77-76
26/04/24APenrith P.109-78
20/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders93-83
13/04/24ANorths Bears54-72
06/04/24AInner West Bulls94-105
29/07/23ACanberra69-90
23/07/23HBA CoE74-77
22/07/23AManly W.86-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.498.898.0
Allowed / game75.772.280.3
Point differential+22.7+26.5+17.7
Avg total174.1171.0178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game83.678.387.5
Allowed / game82.780.384.5
Point differential+0.9-2.0+3.0
Avg total166.3158.7172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maitland M.770100%98.475.7+22.7
2 Canberra98189%86.068.9+17.1
3 Inner West Bulls87188%95.878.5+17.2
4 Manly W.54180%95.880.2+15.6
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits75271%95.088.9+6.1
6 BA CoE74357%83.977.9+6.0
7 Bankstown Bruins74357%76.774.3+2.4
8 Hills Hornets74357%83.682.7+0.9
9 Sydney Comets84450%80.579.9+0.6
10 Norths Bears84450%80.680.5+0.1
11 Sutherland Sharks83538%80.884.0-3.2
12 Central Coast Crusaders83538%85.090.8-5.8
13 Newcastle Falcons82625%67.878.5-10.8
14 Penrith P.81712%79.993.8-13.9
15 Hornsby S.8080%73.094.9-21.9
16 Illawarra Hawks7070%75.0103.4-28.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maitland M.1921291786
Hills Hornets24341825101
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