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Hills Hornets vs Penrith P. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 112-109 (OT)
32-23 16-31 17-25 32-18 15-12
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#16
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game95.9
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Hills Hornets v Penrith P.
02 Jun 2024
HILL112
PENR109
14 Apr 2023
HILL107
PENR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hills Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
94-105
94
105
-11
A06/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A13/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A20/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
109-78
109
78
+31
A26/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H27/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H04/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
66-96
66
96
-30
H05/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
W
101-86
101
86
+15
A11/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A18/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A25/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
21-29
19-25
29-21
11-20
23-16
1-14
19-22
22-11
25-23
27-23
19-26
36-19
24-19
23-25
26-15
25-22
12-20
21-18
19-16
14-14
20-21
27-24
31-10
22-28
12-27
21-17
11-24
24-19
34-21
18-29
25-17
15-23
26-28
16-18
15-26
14-30
26-14
29-25
20-12
168.8Avg total
84.7Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.784.1168.8+0.660%
Season at home (3)78.380.3158.7-2.067%
Season away (7)87.485.7173.1+1.757%
Last 10 (10)84.784.1168.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)84.085.4169.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.887.7165.4-9.933%
vs Similar (7)78.084.1162.1-6.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.072.9161.9+16.1100%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A19/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
78-109
78
109
-31
H26/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H27/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
H04/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
86-96
86
96
-10
A11/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
94-109
94
109
-15
H12/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
73-110
73
110
-37
A18/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A25/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
70-96
70
96
-26
H01/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
16-18
20-30
25-24
18-26
21-31
34-14
22-21
19-36
19-24
25-23
15-26
21-19
16-17
11-23
17-21
23-15
15-21
15-26
17-24
22-23
21-22
15-23
28-28
22-26
32-25
25-28
15-30
21-34
16-19
15-26
21-31
18-21
20-24
17-24
16-17
22-21
18-22
20-25
10-28
173.1Avg total
77.9Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.995.9174.8-17.08%
Season at home (5)75.496.0171.4-20.60%
Season away (7)81.495.9177.3-14.414%
Last 10 (10)77.995.2173.1-17.310%
Last 5 (5)78.899.4178.2-20.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)76.094.5170.5-18.510%
vs Similar (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -6.4-6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -6.4-6.4
Hills HornetsPenrith P.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A06/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A20/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A26/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H04/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H05/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A11/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A18/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A25/05
NBL1 East
86.5Avg total
43.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.582.5+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.540.982.5+0.646%-
Last 30 away (17)44.138.582.5+5.659%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.486.5-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.086.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.344.985.2-4.622%-
vs Similar (7)42.440.783.1+1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.935.580.4+9.479%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A19/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H26/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H12/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A18/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A25/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/06
NBL1 East
85.6Avg total
39.6Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.848.585.3-11.714%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.048.185.1-11.120%-
Last 30 away (14)36.649.085.6-12.47%-
Last 10 (10)39.646.085.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.447.489.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)36.748.284.9-11.514%-
vs Similar (1)39.057.096.0-18.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hills Hornets wins
0
Penrith P. wins
DateGameScore
26/04/24Penrith P. v Hills Hornets78-109
24/06/23Penrith P. v Hills Hornets57-95
14/04/23Hills Hornets v Penrith P.107-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24AHornsby S.89-81
18/05/24AManly W.72-95
11/05/24AMaitland M.101-86
05/05/24HCanberra66-96
04/05/24HIllawarra Hawks92-69
27/04/24HBA CoE77-76
26/04/24APenrith P.109-78
20/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders93-83
13/04/24ANorths Bears54-72
06/04/24AInner West Bulls94-105
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/06/24HBA CoE70-96
25/05/24AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits71-86
18/05/24AMaitland M.73-110
12/05/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits94-109
11/05/24ANorths Bears86-96
04/05/24HCanberra70-86
27/04/24HNewcastle Falcons65-80
26/04/24HHills Hornets78-109
20/04/24AIllawarra Hawks95-92
19/04/24ABankstown Bruins77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %60%67%57%
Points / game84.778.387.4
Allowed / game84.180.385.7
Point differential+0.6-2.0+1.7
Avg total168.8158.7173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %8%0%14%
Points / game78.975.481.4
Allowed / game95.996.095.9
Point differential-17.0-20.6-14.4
Avg total174.8171.4177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra1312192%85.571.0+14.5
2 Maitland M.1211192%98.778.0+20.7
3 BA CoE1310377%90.776.9+13.8
4 Manly W.107370%87.879.8+8.0
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits139469%94.389.1+5.2
6 Inner West Bulls149564%92.782.4+10.4
7 Hills Hornets106460%84.784.1+0.6
8 Norths Bears137654%82.580.0+2.5
9 Bankstown Bruins137654%80.880.2+0.5
10 Sutherland Sharks126650%79.382.4-3.1
11 Sydney Comets125742%79.782.4-2.8
12 Newcastle Falcons135838%70.876.7-5.9
13 Central Coast Crusaders1331023%83.689.8-6.2
14 Illawarra Hawks1321115%79.298.4-19.2
15 Penrith P.121118%78.995.9-17.0
16 Hornsby S.140140%76.796.2-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Hills Hornets3216173215112
Penrith P.2331251812109
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