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Manly W. vs Hills Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2024
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 95-72
23-15 28-26 18-16 26-15
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#8
Record5-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game83.1
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Manly W. v Hills Hornets
31 May 2025
MANL80
HILL82
18 May 2024
MANL95
HILL72
22 Jul 2023
MANL85
HILL86
21 May 2022
MANL88
HILL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manly W. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hills Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Manly W.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#16
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H08/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A15/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H22/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
110-79
110
79
+31
H13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H27/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H04/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A05/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A11/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A12/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
16-28
19-15
30-18
21-26
14-26
10-18
17-15
16-22
19-17
31-28
19-19
32-21
25-15
31-25
22-18
27-15
15-23
13-28
20-21
26-20
20-24
29-14
21-15
27-23
13-23
33-21
29-14
25-27
25-24
24-17
22-13
26-20
18-22
17-19
21-18
14-21
21-20
17-6
14-21
165.3Avg total
85.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.678.3167.9+11.371%
Season at home (3)102.777.7180.3+25.0100%
Season away (4)79.878.8158.5+1.050%
Last 10 (10)85.380.0165.3+5.350%
Last 5 (5)88.476.4164.8+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)71.388.6159.9-17.311%
vs Similar (6)78.075.5153.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.778.0165.7+9.767%
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE
#1
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H23/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A29/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
94-105
94
105
-11
A06/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A13/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A20/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
109-78
109
78
+31
A26/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H27/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H04/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
66-96
66
96
-30
H05/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
W
101-86
101
86
+15
A11/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
18-27
17-20
22-12
15-15
20-11
17-30
17-34
25-30
21-29
19-25
29-21
11-20
23-16
1-14
19-22
22-11
25-23
27-23
19-26
36-19
24-19
23-25
26-15
25-22
12-20
21-18
19-16
14-14
20-21
27-24
31-10
22-28
12-27
21-17
11-24
24-19
34-21
18-29
25-17
166.1Avg total
82.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.883.1168.9+2.662%
Season at home (3)78.380.3158.7-2.067%
Season away (5)90.284.8175.0+5.460%
Last 10 (10)82.983.2166.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)89.081.0170.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.586.8165.2-8.238%
vs Similar (9)75.682.1157.7-6.633%
vs Weaker (13)89.072.3161.3+16.7100%
This opponent (Manly W.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
Manly W.Hills Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Manly W.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#16
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H08/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A15/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H22/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H27/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H04/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A05/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A12/05
NBL1 East
85.1Avg total
41.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.243.081.1-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.845.984.7-7.121%-
Last 30 away (16)37.640.478.0-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.785.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.887.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)35.544.079.5-8.511%-
vs Similar (6)40.039.579.5+0.583%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.343.387.7+1.033%-
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A29/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A06/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A20/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A26/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H04/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H05/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A11/05
NBL1 East
83.0Avg total
42.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.281.4+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.181.6-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)43.837.681.3+6.262%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.083.0+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.086.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.244.184.4-3.925%-
vs Similar (9)39.441.280.7-1.833%-
vs Weaker (13)45.334.880.2+10.585%-
This opponent (Manly W.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Manly W. wins
4
Hills Hornets wins
DateGameScore
22/07/23Manly W. v Hills Hornets85-86
13/05/23Hills Hornets v Manly W.79-68
21/05/22Manly W. v Hills Hornets88-96
10/04/22Hills Hornets v Manly W.82-41
Manly W.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24ANewcastle Falcons66-68
11/05/24AInner West Bulls82-79
05/05/24ASutherland Sharks96-81
04/05/24HCentral Coast Crusaders102-81
27/04/24HSydney Comets96-73
20/04/24ACanberra75-87
13/04/24HHornsby S.110-79
22/07/23HHills Hornets85-86
15/07/23ASutherland Sharks62-85
08/07/23HHornsby S.79-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24AMaitland M.101-86
05/05/24HCanberra66-96
04/05/24HIllawarra Hawks92-69
27/04/24HBA CoE77-76
26/04/24APenrith P.109-78
20/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders93-83
13/04/24ANorths Bears54-72
06/04/24AInner West Bulls94-105
29/07/23ACanberra69-90
23/07/23HBA CoE74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manly W.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game89.6102.779.8
Allowed / game78.377.778.8
Point differential+11.3+25.0+1.0
Avg total167.9180.3158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game85.878.390.2
Allowed / game83.180.384.8
Point differential+2.6-2.0+5.4
Avg total168.9158.7175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra98189%86.068.9+17.1
2 Maitland M.87188%96.978.9+18.0
3 Albury-Wodonga Bandits97278%97.888.9+8.9
4 Manly W.75271%89.678.3+11.3
5 Inner West Bulls107370%92.379.8+12.5
6 BA CoE85362%84.477.9+6.5
7 Hills Hornets85362%85.883.1+2.6
8 Norths Bears106460%83.980.3+3.6
9 Sydney Comets95456%79.978.9+1.0
10 Bankstown Bruins84450%77.678.2-0.6
11 Sutherland Sharks83538%80.884.0-3.2
12 Central Coast Crusaders83538%85.090.8-5.8
13 Newcastle Falcons93633%67.877.1-9.3
14 Penrith P.91811%81.495.4-14.0
15 Illawarra Hawks91811%77.4100.2-22.8
16 Hornsby S.110110%75.894.7-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manly W.2328182695
Hills Hornets1526161572
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