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Hiroshima D. vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 88-82
22-17 22-26 16-27 28-12
Position#15
Record6-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#16
Record7-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game74.2
JapanB League· Hiroshima Sun Plaza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki
06 Nov 2026
HIRO80
NAGA73
10 Dec 2025
HIRO74
NAGA105
11 Jan 2025
HIRO82
NAGA70
10 Jan 2025
HIRO78
NAGA71
11 Dec 2024
HIRO88
NAGA82
31 Jan 2024
HIRO74
NAGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
84-96
84
96
-12
76avg 70
A02/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 70
A03/11
B League
Osaka
#13
W
93-91
93
91
+2
82avg 70
H06/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
56-71
56
71
-15
37avg 70
A09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
67avg 70
A10/11
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
84-65
84
65
+19
74avg 70
H30/11
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
70avg 70
H01/12
B League
Suwon KT
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 70
A04/12
EASL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
89-80
89
80
+9
81avg 70
A07/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
74-89
74
89
-15
60avg 70
A08/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
25-25
17-31
26-18
21-18
18-23
17-18
17-21
21-24
21-28
30-19
21-20
16-27
13-14
15-8
12-22
17-26
17-22
20-24
25-23
22-15
22-18
18-17
22-15
17-29
23-9
27-19
20-17
23-20
15-16
23-23
17-21
35-26
21-18
10-20
23-16
18-26
21-26
20-11
15-26
161.8Avg total
79.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.582.4157.9-6.933%
Season at home (6)82.279.3161.5+2.867%
Season away (12)72.284.0156.2-11.817%
Last 10 (10)79.782.1161.8-2.440%
Last 5 (5)82.477.6160.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.881.2152.0-10.525%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.677.0154.6+0.657%
vs Weaker (4)82.074.2156.2+7.875%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 68
H27/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
91avg 68
H02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 68
H03/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
67-80
67
80
-13
54avg 68
A06/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
68-71
68
71
-3
51avg 68
H09/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
54-55
54
55
-1
44avg 68
H10/11
B League
Saga
#18
L
51-80
51
80
-29
37avg 68
A01/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
88avg 68
A02/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
52-89
52
89
-37
37avg 68
H07/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
62avg 68
H08/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
12-21
27-24
21-12
30-18
17-17
25-23
15-10
21-23
18-23
16-17
19-20
19-19
19-23
9-16
20-22
20-12
16-25
20-14
12-20
22-21
9-8
13-13
10-13
13-23
12-15
10-22
16-20
21-17
22-23
18-20
32-18
17-19
12-26
14-20
9-24
26-24
17-18
16-19
16-14
146.8Avg total
70.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.974.2144.2-4.339%
Season at home (11)68.374.1142.4-5.827%
Season away (7)72.674.4147.0-1.957%
Last 10 (10)70.276.6146.8-6.420%
Last 5 (5)66.277.0143.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.778.8151.5-6.138%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.871.6144.3+1.258%
vs Weaker (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
Hiroshima D.Nagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A02/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A03/11
B League
Osaka
#13
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H06/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A10/11
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H30/11
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H01/12
B League
Suwon KT
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A04/12
EASL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A07/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A08/12
B League
83.4Avg total
40.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.378.5-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (8)39.140.579.6-1.438%-
Last 30 away (22)36.541.678.1-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.283.4-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.684.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.441.878.2-5.417%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.441.578.9-4.136%-
vs Weaker (4)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H27/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H09/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H10/11
B League
Saga
#18
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H07/12
B League
Alvark
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/12
B League
75.5Avg total
35.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.978.3-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.239.476.6-2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.279.8-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.775.5-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.873.0-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.444.281.5-6.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.237.375.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker (5)42.034.876.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.8
48.7%
51.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.7
31.7%
33.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.210.9
76.8%
72.7%10.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.7
50.0%
51.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.1
30.3%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.311.9
73.0%
72.7%11.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hiroshima D.
LWLWWLLWLL
Nagasaki
LLWLLLLLWL
#15
League position
#16
-6.4
Net rating
-7.8
105.5
Offensive rating
97.4
111.9
Defensive rating
105.2
48.2%
Effective FG%
48.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
20.6%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.7%
3-point %
30.3%
59.3%
Assist %
50.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 97.4Defence111.9 · 105.2Shooting48.2% · 48.0%3-point %31.7% · 30.3%Ball care15.0% · 20.6%Off. rebounds32.7% · 29.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Hiroshima D.   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hiroshima D. wins
2
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
17/04/24Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.89-78
31/01/24Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki74-85
31/12/23Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.68-86
30/12/23Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.64-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles74-89
07/12/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles89-80
04/12/24ASuwon KT78-80
01/12/24HHokkaido87-74
30/11/24HHokkaido84-65
10/11/24AAlvark79-95
09/11/24AAlvark56-71
06/11/24HOsaka93-91
03/11/24ANeoPhoenix73-80
02/11/24ANeoPhoenix84-96
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HAlvark81-83 OT
07/12/24HAlvark52-89
02/12/24ASaga93-78
01/12/24ASaga51-80
10/11/24HAkita54-55
09/11/24HAkita68-71
06/11/24AKoshigaya Alphas67-80
03/11/24HDiamond Dolphins74-83
02/11/24HDiamond Dolphins87-68
27/10/24HChiba75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL33%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18612
Win %33%67%17%
Points / game75.582.272.2
Allowed / game82.479.384.0
Point differential-6.9+2.8-11.8
Avg total157.9161.5156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %39%27%57%
Points / game69.968.372.6
Allowed / game74.274.174.4
Point differential-4.3-5.8-1.9
Avg total144.2142.4147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%9%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)17% (6)-
Overtime %6%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1816289%80.669.5+11.1
2 NeoPhoenix1815383%92.778.9+13.8
3 Chiba1814478%83.675.0+8.6
4 Utsunomiya Brex1814478%82.774.6+8.2
5 Shimane1813572%82.174.3+7.8
6 Ryukyu1813572%85.677.9+7.7
7 SeaHorses Mikawa1813572%80.173.4+6.6
8 Gunma1812667%80.472.1+8.4
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya1811761%76.470.7+5.8
10 Osaka1810856%82.179.9+2.2
11 Akita1810856%73.874.2-0.3
12 Kyoto1881044%79.379.4-0.1
13 Diamond Dolphins1881044%81.182.8-1.7
14 Saga1871139%74.575.2-0.7
15 Nagasaki1871139%69.974.2-4.3
16 Yokohama1871139%73.478.8-5.4
17 Koshigaya Alphas1861233%76.281.1-4.9
18 Hiroshima D.1861233%75.582.4-6.9
19 Hokkaido1861233%72.879.9-7.2
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1861233%74.182.1-7.9
21 Ibaraki Robots1851328%76.183.7-7.6
22 Sendai1841422%73.080.6-7.6
23 Brave Thunders1841422%74.886.1-11.3
24 Shiga181176%72.786.7-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hiroshima D.2222162888
Nagasaki1726271282
← all games of the day
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