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Hogsbo vs Helsingborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 96-64
23-16 33-17 17-15 23-16
Position#1
Record24-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game80.5
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Helsingborg
Sweden
Position#6
Record18-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game80.2
SwedenSuperettanSuperettan - Quarter-finals· Gothia Arena
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Hogsbo v Helsingborg
14 Apr 2024
HOGS96
HELS64
30 Nov 2023
HOGS104
HELS85
20 Jan 2023
HOGS80
HELS78
04 Dec 2021
HOGS89
HELS69
22 Dec 2019
HOGS104
HELS84
06 Oct 2018
HOGS88
HELS119
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Helsingborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
W
99-88
99
88
+11
89avg 89
A11/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
106-83
106
83
+23
113avg 89
H17/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
104-82
104
82
+22
106avg 89
H03/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
99-91
99
91
+8
100avg 89
A09/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 89
H19/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
97-78
97
78
+19
97avg 89
A22/03
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
81avg 89
A23/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
103-111
103
111
-8
95avg 89
A06/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
101-90
101
90
+11
97avg 89
A07/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
61avg 89
A12/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
34-24
30-17
21-18
26-27
25-20
21-6
34-30
17-17
24-19
24-19
39-27
25-22
25-23
25-21
24-25
23-17
28-16
27-21
15-17
26-23
25-15
30-17
16-23
24-18
27-17
21-23
18-23
23-33
29-23
18-28
33-27
31-27
25-16
20-19
25-28
16-20
24-20
16-26
20-21
183.0Avg total
96.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)93.180.5173.5+12.677%
Season at home (15)97.577.7175.2+19.993%
Season away (16)88.983.1172.0+5.862%
Last 10 (10)96.886.2183.0+10.680%
Last 5 (5)93.489.4182.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)93.680.5174.1+13.280%
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HelsingborgSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsingborg
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#5
L
87-106 OT
87
106
-19
no box
H03/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
96-91
96
91
+5
100avg 75
H18/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
57avg 75
A24/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
74-96
74
96
-22
61avg 75
A01/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
92-82
92
82
+10
88avg 75
H09/03
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
88-67
88
67
+21
85avg 75
A23/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 75
A24/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
72-88
72
88
-16
58avg 75
H03/04
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
87-58
87
58
+29
82avg 75
A06/04
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
87-76
87
76
+11
83avg 75
H12/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-35
14-16
16-23
27-11
22-20
24-15
27-25
23-31
16-23
17-25
20-14
22-24
14-12
24-32
21-23
15-29
22-20
29-24
20-18
21-20
18-12
25-27
29-8
16-20
20-26
12-16
24-25
19-16
18-19
22-11
8-37
24-21
22-8
13-16
30-12
22-22
20-16
20-24
26-16
21-20
166.6Avg total
83.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.180.2166.3+5.958%
Season at home (16)89.679.7169.2+9.975%
Season away (15)82.480.8163.2+1.640%
Last 10 (10)83.383.3166.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)81.874.4156.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)90.387.3177.7+3.067%
vs Similar (10)84.789.8174.5-5.120%
vs Weaker (17)85.974.2160.2+11.776%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
HogsboHelsingborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A11/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A09/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H19/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A22/03
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A23/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A06/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A07/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A12/04
Superettan
91.7Avg total
49.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.939.586.5+7.477%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.537.387.8+13.2100%-
Last 30 away (16)43.841.585.3+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)49.142.691.7+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)50.042.492.4+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.939.586.5+7.477%-
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HelsingborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H03/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H18/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A24/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H09/03
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A23/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A24/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H03/04
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A06/04
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H12/04
Superettan
79.7Avg total
40.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.081.0+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.836.581.3+8.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.339.580.7+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.779.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.073.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.744.083.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (10)41.942.184.0-0.240%-
vs Weaker (17)44.334.578.8+9.876%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 95.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.2
57.1%
50.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.5
37.9%
31.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws18.513.7
74.1%
66.9%13.7
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helsingborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helsingborg: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.1
52.9%
50.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.1
32.6%
31.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.311.2
68.7%
66.9%11.2
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LWLWWWWWWW
Helsingborg
WWLLWWLLWL
#1
League position
#6
+11.9
Net rating
+3.5
115.9
Offensive rating
102.5
104.1
Defensive rating
99.0
57.0%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
19.6%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.9%
3-point %
32.6%
66.3%
Assist %
54.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 102.5Defence104.1 · 99.0Shooting57.0% · 51.1%3-point %37.9% · 32.6%Ball care15.5% · 19.6%Off. rebounds26.4% · 30.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Helsingborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Hogsbo wins
2
Helsingborg wins
DateGameScore
12/04/24Helsingborg v Hogsbo87-76
30/11/23Hogsbo v Helsingborg104-85
04/11/23Helsingborg v Hogsbo99-82
20/01/23Hogsbo v Helsingborg80-78
06/11/22Helsingborg v Hogsbo82-90
04/12/21Hogsbo v Helsingborg89-69
23/10/21Helsingborg v Hogsbo88-99
15/02/20Helsingborg v Hogsbo83-104
22/12/19Hogsbo v Helsingborg104-84
12/10/19Helsingborg v Hogsbo80-88
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24AHelsingborg76-87
07/04/24AOckelbo101-90
06/04/24ASloga Uppsala103-111
23/03/24AKFUM Kalmar90-81
22/03/24AWetterbygden Stars97-78
19/03/24HRIG Mark93-71
09/03/24AEskilstuna99-91
03/03/24HKFUM Fryshuset104-82
17/02/24HIK Eos106-83
11/02/24AIK Eos99-88
Helsingborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24HHogsbo87-76
06/04/24ARIG Mark87-58
03/04/24HIK Eos72-88
24/03/24AHuddinge75-83
23/03/24ANorrort88-67
09/03/24HRIG Mark92-82
01/03/24AWetterbygden Stars74-96
24/02/24ASloga Uppsala75-86
18/02/24HKFUM Fryshuset96-91
03/02/24HHuddinge87-106 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL77%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %77%93%62%
Points / game93.197.588.9
Allowed / game80.577.783.1
Point differential+12.6+19.9+5.8
Avg total173.5175.2172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%87%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Helsingborg
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %58%75%40%
Points / game86.189.682.4
Allowed / game80.279.780.8
Point differential+5.9+9.9+1.6
Avg total166.3169.2163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hogsbo3124777%93.180.5+12.6
2 AIK Basket31211068%82.578.7+3.7
3 KFUM Fryshuset32201262%87.385.7+1.6
4 Sloga Uppsala32201262%81.680.1+1.5
5 Huddinge32191359%80.679.1+1.5
6 Helsingborg31181358%86.180.2+5.9
7 Tureberg31181358%77.675.1+2.5
8 Wetterbygden Stars32181456%80.276.6+3.6
9 Djurgarden30151550%85.885.7+0.2
10 Ockelbo30151550%74.376.8-2.5
11 IK Eos30141647%80.581.6-1.1
12 Malbas30121840%73.476.3-2.9
13 Eskilstuna30102033%77.785.2-7.4
14 KFUM Kalmar3082227%78.682.9-4.4
15 Norrort3082227%73.680.0-6.4
16 RIG Mark3062420%67.176.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2333172396
Helsingborg1617151664
← all games of the day
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