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Hogsbo vs KFUM Fryshuset Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 104-82
17-17 24-19 24-19 39-27
Position#1
Record18-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game78.4
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
KFUM Fryshuset
Sweden
Position#3
Record13-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game86.3
SwedenSuperettan· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo v KFUM Fryshuset
21 Apr 2024
HOGS88
KFUM95
03 Mar 2024
HOGS104
KFUM82
07 Dec 2019
HOGS69
KFUM93
24 Feb 2019
HOGS65
KFUM80
25 Nov 2018
HOGS79
KFUM109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KFUM Fryshuset winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
103-81
103
81
+22
95avg 88
H16/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
87-91
87
91
-4
83avg 88
A30/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
105avg 88
H06/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 88
A13/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
89avg 88
A14/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
109-61
109
61
+48
109avg 88
H20/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
90avg 88
H27/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 88
H03/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
99-88
99
88
+11
89avg 88
A11/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
106-83
106
83
+23
113avg 88
H17/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
27-24
29-20
24-19
14-25
19-24
28-25
26-17
23-22
31-17
28-14
20-23
15-15
18-23
25-15
24-20
25-16
24-22
25-22
12-10
22-12
30-16
25-13
32-20
27-15
22-17
23-17
21-29
29-13
17-19
22-14
23-25
14-29
34-24
30-17
21-18
26-27
25-20
21-6
34-30
173.0Avg total
95.8Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)92.378.4170.7+13.878%
Season at home (13)97.477.8175.2+19.592%
Season away (10)85.679.2164.8+6.460%
Last 10 (10)95.877.2173.0+18.690%
Last 5 (5)99.676.2175.8+23.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)94.481.0175.4+13.473%
This opponent (KFUM Fryshuset) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM FryshusetSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFryshuset
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
74-87
74
87
-13
67avg 80
H22/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
80-60
80
60
+20
74avg 80
H02/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
77-80
77
80
-3
71avg 80
A06/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
77-83
77
83
-6
67avg 80
H16/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
105-83
105
83
+22
104avg 80
A10/01
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
78-76
78
76
+2
68avg 80
H21/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
106-83
106
83
+23
101avg 80
A27/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
102-86
102
86
+16
97avg 80
H31/01
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
68-74
68
74
-6
49avg 80
H10/02
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
91-96
91
96
-5
77avg 80
A18/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
16-24
16-21
19-27
15-21
20-14
26-16
19-9
26-27
17-18
24-21
10-14
14-16
23-25
16-29
24-13
30-22
26-25
25-12
24-24
21-19
21-13
16-24
20-20
30-21
19-26
28-23
29-13
12-23
32-24
31-19
27-20
20-13
24-13
17-25
7-23
20-22
15-24
25-27
31-23
166.6Avg total
85.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.086.3173.3+0.754%
Season at home (12)84.085.1169.1-1.158%
Season away (12)90.087.5177.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)85.880.8166.6+5.050%
Last 5 (5)89.083.0172.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.187.9156.0-19.714%
vs Similar (18)87.787.5175.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (5)86.078.8164.8+7.280%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +9.3+9.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +9.3+9.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
HogsboKFUM Fryshuset
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H16/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A30/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A13/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A14/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H20/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A11/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/02
Superettan
86.3Avg total
46.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.940.687.5+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.539.890.2+10.888%-
Last 30 away (14)42.741.684.4+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)46.539.886.3+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.238.487.6+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.940.687.5+6.273%-
This opponent (KFUM Fryshuset) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM FryshusetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H22/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H02/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A06/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A10/01
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H21/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A27/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H31/01
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H10/02
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A18/02
Superettan
82.9Avg total
42.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.285.1-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.144.185.1-3.033%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.485.1-3.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.582.9+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.682.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.344.780.0-9.414%-
vs Similar (18)41.746.187.8-4.433%-
vs Weaker (5)46.036.882.8+9.280%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.125.6
59.4%
50.1%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.0
32.7%
31.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.114.0
69.7%
66.9%14.0
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KFUM Fryshusettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KFUM Fryshuset: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.920.9
49.9%
50.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.3
32.6%
31.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.412.4
67.4%
66.9%12.4
They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WWWWWWWWLW
KFUM Fryshuset
LLWWWWLLWL
#1
League position
#3
+22.8
Net rating
+6.5
116.1
Offensive rating
103.9
93.3
Defensive rating
97.4
55.1%
Effective FG%
49.5%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.6%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.7%
3-point %
32.6%
62.6%
Assist %
65.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 103.9Defence93.3 · 97.4Shooting55.1% · 49.5%3-point %32.7% · 32.6%Ball care16.1% · 16.6%Off. rebounds32.8% · 28.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Hogsbo   ■ KFUM Fryshuset
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hogsbo wins
4
KFUM Fryshuset wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23KFUM Fryshuset v Hogsbo80-102
02/02/20KFUM Fryshuset v Hogsbo83-89
07/12/19Hogsbo v KFUM Fryshuset69-93
24/02/19Hogsbo v KFUM Fryshuset65-80
25/11/18Hogsbo v KFUM Fryshuset79-109
30/09/18KFUM Fryshuset v Hogsbo106-53
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HIK Eos106-83
11/02/24AIK Eos99-88
03/02/24HTureberg91-71
27/01/24HSloga Uppsala93-78
20/01/24HOckelbo109-61
14/01/24ATureberg86-70
13/01/24AAIK Basket82-73
06/01/24HEskilstuna102-76
30/12/23AMalbas87-91
16/12/23HKFUM Kalmar103-81
KFUM Fryshusetlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24AHelsingborg91-96
10/02/24HRIG Mark68-74
31/01/24HHuddinge102-86
27/01/24AOckelbo106-83
21/01/24HKFUM Kalmar78-76
10/01/24AEskilstuna105-83
16/12/23HIK Eos77-83
06/12/23ATureberg77-80
02/12/23HWetterbygden Stars80-60
22/11/23HSloga Uppsala74-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %78%92%60%
Points / game92.397.485.6
Allowed / game78.477.879.2
Point differential+13.8+19.5+6.4
Avg total170.7175.2164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%85%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KFUM Fryshuset
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL54%
HomeWLWWL58%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %54%58%50%
Points / game87.084.090.0
Allowed / game86.385.187.5
Point differential+0.7-1.1+2.5
Avg total173.3169.1177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket2419579%84.077.4+6.6
2 Hogsbo2318578%92.378.4+13.8
3 Tureberg2516964%77.574.0+3.6
4 Wetterbygden Stars26161062%80.975.9+5.0
5 Helsingborg25141156%86.781.3+5.4
6 Huddinge25141156%81.679.2+2.4
7 Sloga Uppsala25141156%77.479.2-1.7
8 KFUM Fryshuset24131154%87.086.3+0.7
9 Djurgarden24121250%86.185.2+1.0
10 Ockelbo24121250%73.877.2-3.4
11 Malbas24101442%72.476.2-3.8
12 IK Eos2391439%79.281.3-2.1
13 Norrort2381535%73.677.9-4.3
14 Eskilstuna2261627%75.486.4-11.0
15 KFUM Kalmar2361726%77.482.2-4.7
16 RIG Mark2662023%66.774.9-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo17242439104
KFUM Fryshuset1719192782
← all games of the day
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