PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

KFUM Kalmar vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-90
18-24 17-27 23-21 23-18
Position#14
Record8-18
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game82.2
KFUM Kalmar
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
Position#1
Record22-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game78.7
SwedenSuperettan· Kalmar Sportcenter (Kalmar)
Other2023-24
Meetings · KFUM Kalmar v Hogsbo
23 Mar 2024
KFUM81
HOGS90
17 Apr 2022
KFUM75
HOGS68
27 Feb 2022
KFUM88
HOGS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KFUM Kalmar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KFUM KalmarSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalmar
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#9
L
80-94
80
94
-14
76avg 70
A20/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 70
A21/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
102-71
102
71
+31
103avg 70
H27/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
64avg 70
A28/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
71-74
71
74
-3
65avg 70
H03/02
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H11/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
79-78 OT
79
78
+1
no box
H18/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
81avg 70
A09/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 70
A10/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
83-72
83
72
+11
75avg 70
A17/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
28-24
15-27
19-22
19-21
13-21
24-16
20-20
23-11
29-19
24-11
26-30
11-17
14-22
23-27
22-15
21-18
20-18
15-22
15-16
15-12
20-14
20-25
15-19
21-21
15-15
21-15
12-18
23-19
21-17
23-23
17-20
29-27
17-30
21-22
19-18
13-11
26-19
24-18
20-24
164.2Avg total
82.4Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.282.2160.5-4.031%
Season at home (12)84.784.1168.8+0.633%
Season away (14)72.780.6153.4-7.929%
Last 10 (10)82.481.8164.2+0.640%
Last 5 (5)85.084.0169.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.285.3163.6-7.122%
vs Similar (9)78.282.7160.9-4.433%
vs Weaker (3)75.368.7144.0+6.767%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
89avg 90
A14/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
109-61
109
61
+48
109avg 90
H20/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
90avg 90
H27/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 90
H03/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
99-88
99
88
+11
89avg 90
A11/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
106-83
106
83
+23
113avg 90
H17/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
104-82
104
82
+22
106avg 90
H03/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
99-91
99
91
+8
100avg 90
A09/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 90
H19/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
97-78
97
78
+19
97avg 90
A22/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
24-22
25-22
12-10
22-12
30-16
25-13
32-20
27-15
22-17
23-17
21-29
29-13
17-19
22-14
23-25
14-29
34-24
30-17
21-18
26-27
25-20
21-6
34-30
17-17
24-19
24-19
39-27
25-22
25-23
25-21
24-25
23-17
28-16
27-21
15-17
26-23
25-15
30-17
16-23
175.0Avg total
97.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)93.178.7171.9+14.481%
Season at home (15)97.577.7175.2+19.993%
Season away (12)87.780.1167.8+7.667%
Last 10 (10)97.777.3175.0+20.4100%
Last 5 (5)99.881.0180.8+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)93.679.8173.4+13.880%
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +8.5+8.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +8.5+8.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
KFUM KalmarHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KFUM KalmarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A20/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H27/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A28/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/02
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H11/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A10/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/03
Superettan
77.3Avg total
39.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.379.3-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.740.481.1+0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)35.842.177.9-6.229%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.777.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.077.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.643.380.9-5.733%-
vs Similar (9)38.638.276.8+0.344%-
vs Weaker (3)38.038.776.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#8
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A14/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H20/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A11/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A09/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H19/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A22/03
Superettan
87.0Avg total
48.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.239.986.1+6.377%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.238.188.3+12.294%-
Last 30 away (14)41.641.983.5-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)48.838.287.0+10.690%-
Last 5 (5)48.839.888.6+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.239.986.1+6.377%-
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KFUM Kalmartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KFUM Kalmar: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.824.0
56.1%
50.1%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.9
32.8%
31.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.511.0
66.7%
66.9%11.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.425.6
59.0%
50.1%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.1
37.1%
31.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.312.6
68.9%
66.9%12.6
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KFUM Kalmar
WLWWLLLWLL
Hogsbo
WWWWWWWWWW
#14
League position
#1
+3.0
Net rating
+25.2
102.7
Offensive rating
117.7
99.7
Defensive rating
92.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
57.6%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
20.7%
Turnover %
16.0%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.8%
3-point %
37.1%
58.6%
Assist %
67.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 117.7Defence99.7 · 92.4Shooting53.6% · 57.6%3-point %32.8% · 37.1%Ball care20.7% · 16.0%Off. rebounds28.3% · 30.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 100%
■ KFUM Kalmar   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
KFUM Kalmar wins
3
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Hogsbo v KFUM Kalmar103-81
17/04/22KFUM Kalmar v Hogsbo75-68
09/04/22Hogsbo v KFUM Kalmar86-74
27/02/22KFUM Kalmar v Hogsbo88-72
18/12/21Hogsbo v KFUM Kalmar93-88
KFUM Kalmarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24AOckelbo83-72
10/03/24AIK Eos86-97
09/03/24AMalbas84-79
18/02/24HMalbas79-78 OT
11/02/24HNorrort93-94 OT
03/02/24HWetterbygden Stars71-74
28/01/24AHelsingborg70-81
27/01/24HHuddinge102-71
21/01/24AKFUM Fryshuset76-78
20/01/24ADjurgarden80-94
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24AWetterbygden Stars97-78
19/03/24HRIG Mark93-71
09/03/24AEskilstuna99-91
03/03/24HKFUM Fryshuset104-82
17/02/24HIK Eos106-83
11/02/24AIK Eos99-88
03/02/24HTureberg91-71
27/01/24HSloga Uppsala93-78
20/01/24HOckelbo109-61
14/01/24ATureberg86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KFUM Kalmar
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW31%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game78.284.772.7
Allowed / game82.284.180.6
Point differential-4.0+0.6-7.9
Avg total160.5168.8153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)17% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %81%93%67%
Points / game93.197.587.7
Allowed / game78.777.780.1
Point differential+14.4+19.9+7.6
Avg total171.9175.2167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%87%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hogsbo2722581%93.178.7+14.4
2 AIK Basket2720774%83.177.4+5.7
3 Huddinge27161159%81.478.5+2.9
4 Tureberg27161159%78.075.2+2.9
5 Wetterbygden Stars29171259%80.376.2+4.1
6 Helsingborg26151158%86.981.3+5.6
7 KFUM Fryshuset28161257%87.286.7+0.5
8 Sloga Uppsala27151256%78.580.2-1.7
9 Djurgarden27141352%85.885.1+0.7
10 Ockelbo28141450%73.376.0-2.7
11 IK Eos26111542%79.581.5-1.9
12 Malbas27111641%72.775.8-3.0
13 KFUM Kalmar2681831%78.282.2-4.0
14 Norrort2681831%73.579.0-5.5
15 Eskilstuna2781930%76.785.3-8.6
16 RIG Mark2962321%67.476.5-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KFUM Kalmar1817232381
Hogsbo2427211890
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.