PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hogsbo vs KFUM Fryshuset Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-95
28-26 21-16 20-28 19-25
Position#1
Record26-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game79.7
Hogsbo
Sweden
vs
KFUM Fryshuset 🏆
Sweden
Position#3
Record20-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game86.2
SwedenSuperettanSuperettan - Semi-finals· Gothia Arena
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Hogsbo v KFUM Fryshuset
21 Apr 2024
HOGS88
KFUM95
03 Mar 2024
HOGS104
KFUM82
07 Dec 2019
HOGS69
KFUM93
24 Feb 2019
HOGS65
KFUM80
25 Nov 2018
HOGS79
KFUM109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KFUM Fryshuset winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
104-82
104
82
+22
106avg 89
H03/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
99-91
99
91
+8
100avg 89
A09/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 89
H19/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
97-78
97
78
+19
97avg 89
A22/03
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
81avg 89
A23/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
103-111
103
111
-8
95avg 89
A06/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
101-90
101
90
+11
97avg 89
A07/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
61avg 89
A12/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
96-64
96
64
+32
96avg 89
H14/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
103-70
103
70
+33
101avg 89
A19/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
24-19
24-19
39-27
25-22
25-23
25-21
24-25
23-17
28-16
27-21
15-17
26-23
25-15
30-17
16-23
24-18
27-17
21-23
18-23
23-33
29-23
18-28
33-27
31-27
25-16
20-19
25-28
16-20
24-20
16-26
20-21
23-16
33-17
17-15
23-16
25-14
39-16
17-12
22-28
178.7Avg total
96.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)93.579.7173.1+13.879%
Season at home (16)97.476.8174.2+20.694%
Season away (17)89.782.4172.1+7.465%
Last 10 (10)96.282.5178.7+13.780%
Last 5 (5)95.884.4180.2+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)95.480.2175.6+15.283%
This opponent (KFUM Fryshuset) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM FryshusetSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFryshuset
Date
Competition
Helsingborg
#6
L
91-96
91
96
-5
77avg 79
A18/02
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
82-104
82
104
-22
59avg 79
A03/03
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
92-82
92
82
+10
99avg 79
H10/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
65avg 79
H16/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
100-94
100
94
+6
92avg 79
A23/03
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
89-77
89
77
+12
73avg 79
A26/03
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 79
H06/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
74avg 79
H12/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
79avg 79
A14/04
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
51avg 79
H19/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
15-24
25-27
31-23
17-17
19-24
19-24
27-39
19-15
28-18
21-18
24-31
15-21
30-20
29-10
7-26
37-18
26-22
18-29
19-25
22-13
21-22
20-16
26-26
20-15
23-25
24-24
20-14
15-14
17-30
22-10
32-24
25-16
21-22
21-12
21-30
14-25
16-39
12-17
28-22
173.5Avg total
86.6Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)86.886.2172.9+0.661%
Season at home (17)83.884.6168.4-0.965%
Season away (16)89.987.8177.8+2.156%
Last 10 (10)86.686.9173.5-0.370%
Last 5 (5)84.083.2167.2+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.3103.0180.3-25.70%
vs Similar (19)90.386.9177.2+3.463%
vs Weaker (8)85.978.2164.1+7.688%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +9.7+9.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +9.7+9.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
HogsboKFUM Fryshuset
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A09/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H19/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A22/03
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A23/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A06/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A07/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A12/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H14/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
64-30
64
30
+34
A19/04
Superettan
90.1Avg total
51.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.839.288.0+9.680%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.937.087.9+13.9100%-
Last 30 away (15)46.741.488.1+5.360%-
Last 10 (10)51.238.990.1+12.380%-
Last 5 (5)53.640.494.0+13.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)48.839.288.0+9.680%-
This opponent (KFUM Fryshuset) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM FryshusetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsingborg
#6
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A18/02
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/03
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H10/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H16/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
63-40
63
40
+23
A23/03
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A26/03
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H06/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H12/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A14/04
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
30-64
30
64
-34
H19/04
Superettan
84.2Avg total
42.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.887.1-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.745.186.8-3.444%-
Last 30 away (14)45.142.487.5+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.284.2-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.283.0-5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.750.786.3-15.00%-
vs Similar (19)43.745.489.2-1.742%-
vs Weaker (8)45.137.582.6+7.688%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.1
57.4%
50.1%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.6
38.3%
31.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws17.713.2
74.6%
66.9%13.2
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KFUM Fryshusettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KFUM Fryshuset: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.8
49.8%
50.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.1
29.8%
31.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.915.1
65.9%
66.9%15.1
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WWLWLWWWWW
KFUM Fryshuset
LWWWWWWWLL
#1
League position
#3
+15.8
Net rating
-0.4
115.0
Offensive rating
101.3
99.2
Defensive rating
101.7
57.4%
Effective FG%
47.7%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.3%
3-point %
29.8%
65.1%
Assist %
61.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 101.3Defence99.2 · 101.7Shooting57.4% · 47.7%3-point %38.3% · 29.8%Ball care16.1% · 15.7%Off. rebounds25.1% · 27.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Hogsbo   ■ KFUM Fryshuset
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hogsbo wins
4
KFUM Fryshuset wins
DateGameScore
19/04/24KFUM Fryshuset v Hogsbo70-103
03/03/24Hogsbo v KFUM Fryshuset104-82
19/11/23KFUM Fryshuset v Hogsbo80-102
02/02/20KFUM Fryshuset v Hogsbo83-89
07/12/19Hogsbo v KFUM Fryshuset69-93
24/02/19Hogsbo v KFUM Fryshuset65-80
25/11/18Hogsbo v KFUM Fryshuset79-109
30/09/18KFUM Fryshuset v Hogsbo106-53
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/24AKFUM Fryshuset103-70
14/04/24HHelsingborg96-64
12/04/24AHelsingborg76-87
07/04/24AOckelbo101-90
06/04/24ASloga Uppsala103-111
23/03/24AKFUM Kalmar90-81
22/03/24AWetterbygden Stars97-78
19/03/24HRIG Mark93-71
09/03/24AEskilstuna99-91
03/03/24HKFUM Fryshuset104-82
KFUM Fryshusetlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/24HHogsbo70-103
14/04/24AWetterbygden Stars88-80
12/04/24HWetterbygden Stars86-78
06/04/24HNorrort87-78
26/03/24ANorrort89-77
23/03/24ASloga Uppsala100-94
16/03/24HEskilstuna81-77
10/03/24HTureberg92-82
03/03/24AHogsbo82-104
18/02/24AHelsingborg91-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWLW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %79%94%65%
Points / game93.597.489.7
Allowed / game79.776.882.4
Point differential+13.8+20.6+7.4
Avg total173.1174.2172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%88%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KFUM Fryshuset
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWWWWL65%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %61%65%56%
Points / game86.883.889.9
Allowed / game86.284.687.8
Point differential+0.6-0.9+2.1
Avg total172.9168.4177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%24%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hogsbo3326779%93.579.7+13.8
2 AIK Basket33221167%82.679.0+3.5
3 Sloga Uppsala33211264%82.080.1+1.9
4 KFUM Fryshuset33201361%86.886.2+0.6
5 Huddinge32191359%80.679.1+1.5
6 Helsingborg32181456%85.480.7+4.7
7 Wetterbygden Stars32181456%80.276.6+3.6
8 Tureberg32181456%77.475.4+1.9
9 Djurgarden30151550%85.885.7+0.2
10 Ockelbo30151550%74.376.8-2.5
11 IK Eos30141647%80.581.6-1.1
12 Malbas30121840%73.476.3-2.9
13 Eskilstuna30102033%77.785.2-7.4
14 KFUM Kalmar3082227%78.682.9-4.4
15 Norrort3082227%73.680.0-6.4
16 RIG Mark3062420%67.176.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2821201988
KFUM Fryshuset2616282595
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.