PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hogsbo vs KFUM Kalmar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 103-81
23-18 27-24 29-20 24-19
Position#1
Record9-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#14
Record2-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game81.9
SwedenSuperettan· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo v KFUM Kalmar
16 Dec 2023
HOGS103
KFUM81
09 Apr 2022
HOGS86
KFUM74
18 Dec 2021
HOGS93
KFUM88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KFUM Kalmar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
95-88
95
88
+7
101avg 83
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
105avg 83
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 83
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
80-56
80
56
+24
72avg 83
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
108-86
108
86
+22
99avg 83
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 83
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
104-85
104
85
+19
102avg 83
H30/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
31-21
19-22
22-20
30-16
23-17
21-18
29-24
32-17
26-20
14-31
19-12
22-14
16-26
21-31
23-28
21-10
18-19
18-10
23-17
22-21
31-26
23-19
32-20
30-28
19-18
22-23
20-24
23-19
24-22
25-24
30-15
23-17
18-14
31-13
13-23
27-22
27-17
26-17
24-29
175.0Avg total
94.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.579.4168.9+10.269%
Season at home (7)94.680.3174.9+14.386%
Season away (6)83.778.3162.0+5.350%
Last 10 (10)94.180.9175.0+13.280%
Last 5 (5)98.082.2180.2+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)80.078.0158.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)92.082.7174.8+9.372%
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM KalmarSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalmar
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#13
L
66-79
66
79
-13
59avg 61
A01/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
75-107
75
107
-32
74avg 61
H07/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
52-70
52
70
-18
38avg 61
A14/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
60avg 61
A15/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 61
H21/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 61
H29/10
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 61
H04/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
no box
H11/11
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
86avg 61
A18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
82-87
82
87
-5
70avg 61
H09/12
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
17-19
21-16
8-26
14-26
21-29
21-23
19-29
6-9
18-19
17-19
11-23
11-14
19-27
14-21
20-15
26-16
13-22
23-14
24-20
27-30
22-18
18-21
11-19
17-15
15-31
20-15
18-18
19-12
24-29
15-28
30-19
19-23
17-26
23-15
24-14
23-25
16-21
12-17
31-24
158.2Avg total
74.9Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.281.9153.2-10.717%
Season at home (6)80.788.2168.8-7.517%
Season away (6)61.875.7137.5-13.817%
Last 10 (10)74.983.3158.2-8.420%
Last 5 (5)81.285.6166.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.590.6165.1-16.116%
vs Similar (3)66.780.3147.0-13.70%
vs Weaker (2)69.567.5137.0+2.050%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
HogsboKFUM Kalmar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/11
Superettan
87.5Avg total
48.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.941.688.5+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.741.692.3+9.180%-
Last 30 away (15)43.041.784.7+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)48.638.987.5+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)48.840.889.6+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)50.046.096.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)46.841.588.2+5.369%-
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM KalmarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A01/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H07/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A14/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A15/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H21/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H29/10
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/11
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H09/12
Superettan
79.3Avg total
36.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.744.381.0-7.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.445.684.0-7.233%-
Last 30 away (15)34.943.178.0-8.113%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.979.3-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.085.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.945.282.1-8.320%-
vs Similar (3)36.740.777.3-4.033%-
vs Weaker (2)34.039.073.0-5.050%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.7
59.0%
50.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.3
33.5%
31.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.912.1
71.6%
66.9%12.1
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KFUM Kalmartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KFUM Kalmar: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.0
47.3%
50.1%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.6
34.8%
31.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.510.0
69.0%
66.9%10.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WWWLWWLWWW
KFUM Kalmar
LWLLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#14
+20.3
Net rating
-13.6
112.8
Offensive rating
91.4
92.4
Defensive rating
105.0
55.6%
Effective FG%
49.5%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.3%
Turnover %
25.3%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.5%
3-point %
34.8%
63.2%
Assist %
63.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 91.4Defence92.4 · 105.0Shooting55.6% · 49.5%3-point %33.5% · 34.8%Ball care16.3% · 25.3%Off. rebounds27.4% · 26.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Hogsbo   ■ KFUM Kalmar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hogsbo wins
2
KFUM Kalmar wins
DateGameScore
17/04/22KFUM Kalmar v Hogsbo75-68
09/04/22Hogsbo v KFUM Kalmar86-74
27/02/22KFUM Kalmar v Hogsbo88-72
18/12/21Hogsbo v KFUM Kalmar93-88
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HHelsingborg104-85
25/11/23HMalbas85-67
19/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset102-80
18/11/23ADjurgarden91-93
11/11/23HDjurgarden108-86
08/11/23ARIG Mark80-56
04/11/23AHelsingborg82-99
28/10/23HHuddinge91-80
21/10/23HNorrort103-75
13/10/23HWetterbygden Stars95-88
KFUM Kalmarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HTureberg82-87
18/11/23ASloga Uppsala83-78
11/11/23HKFUM Fryshuset93-96 OT
04/11/23HRIG Mark70-79
29/10/23HOckelbo78-88
21/10/23HSloga Uppsala86-72
15/10/23AAIK Basket64-77
14/10/23ATureberg52-70
07/10/23HHelsingborg75-107
01/10/23AEskilstuna66-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game89.594.683.7
Allowed / game79.480.378.3
Point differential+10.2+14.3+5.3
Avg total168.9174.9162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KFUM Kalmar
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%17%17%
Points / game71.280.761.8
Allowed / game81.988.275.7
Point differential-10.7-7.5-13.8
Avg total153.2168.8137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket1514193%87.377.1+10.3
2 Hogsbo139469%89.579.4+10.2
3 Tureberg139469%78.773.8+4.8
4 Wetterbygden Stars1711665%80.673.1+7.6
5 Huddinge159660%81.476.7+4.7
6 Helsingborg169756%86.478.6+7.8
7 Djurgarden158753%85.585.5+0.0
8 Ockelbo168850%72.173.6-1.6
9 KFUM Fryshuset189950%85.487.4-1.9
10 Sloga Uppsala147750%76.881.7-4.9
11 IK Eos136746%79.980.2-0.3
12 Malbas1551033%70.576.1-5.5
13 RIG Mark1441029%69.275.1-5.9
14 Norrort1541127%72.777.8-5.1
15 Eskilstuna112918%71.586.8-15.4
16 KFUM Kalmar1221017%71.281.9-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo23272924103
KFUM Kalmar1824201981
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.