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Hogsbo vs RIG Mark Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 93-71
23-17 28-16 27-21 15-17
Position#1
Record20-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game79.1
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
RIG Mark
Sweden
Position#16
Record6-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game75.6
SwedenSuperettan· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo v RIG Mark
19 Mar 2024
HOGS93
RIG 71
21 Feb 2023
HOGS79
RIG 73
30 Oct 2021
HOGS96
RIG 71
26 Sep 2020
HOGS81
RIG 88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
RIG Mark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
105avg 89
H06/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 89
A13/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
89avg 89
A14/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
109-61
109
61
+48
109avg 89
H20/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
90avg 89
H27/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 89
H03/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
99-88
99
88
+11
89avg 89
A11/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
106-83
106
83
+23
113avg 89
H17/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
104-82
104
82
+22
106avg 89
H03/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
99-91
99
91
+8
100avg 89
A09/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
31-17
28-14
20-23
15-15
18-23
25-15
24-20
25-16
24-22
25-22
12-10
22-12
30-16
25-13
32-20
27-15
22-17
23-17
21-29
29-13
17-19
22-14
23-25
14-29
34-24
30-17
21-18
26-27
25-20
21-6
34-30
17-17
24-19
24-19
39-27
25-22
25-23
25-21
24-25
174.4Avg total
97.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)93.079.1172.1+13.980%
Season at home (14)97.978.1176.0+19.793%
Season away (11)86.880.3167.1+6.564%
Last 10 (10)97.177.3174.4+19.8100%
Last 5 (5)99.883.0182.8+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)93.881.0174.9+12.877%
This opponent (RIG Mark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RIG MarkSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMark
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#10
L
65-73
65
73
-8
61avg 59
H21/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
71-75
71
75
-4
61avg 59
H28/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
57-79
57
79
-22
53avg 59
H04/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
74-68
74
68
+6
72avg 59
A10/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
72-67
72
67
+5
66avg 59
A11/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
55-85
55
85
-30
47avg 59
H17/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
57-69
57
69
-12
52avg 59
H18/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
60-73
60
73
-13
54avg 59
A02/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
62-72
62
72
-10
51avg 59
A03/03
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
75avg 59
A09/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
17-11
18-11
10-31
18-22
12-15
17-22
24-16
11-15
13-24
19-23
14-17
13-20
13-24
25-17
23-7
15-24
18-13
15-16
24-14
13-23
18-20
17-18
7-24
12-19
14-15
10-11
21-24
8-24
14-17
19-10
19-22
22-16
16-18
9-17
15-21
20-22
24-29
18-20
20-21
140.8Avg total
65.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)67.275.6142.8-8.322%
Season at home (13)65.677.2142.8-11.615%
Season away (14)68.774.0142.7-5.329%
Last 10 (10)65.575.3140.8-9.820%
Last 5 (5)63.278.2141.4-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)67.575.3142.8-7.824%
vs Similar (4)74.877.5152.2-2.850%
vs Weaker (1)93.075.0168.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +9.0+9.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +9.0+9.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
HogsboRIG Mark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A13/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A14/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H20/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A11/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A09/03
Superettan
86.1Avg total
47.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.340.686.9+5.877%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.939.490.4+11.594%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.982.9-0.857%-
Last 10 (10)47.338.886.1+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.242.689.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.340.686.9+5.877%-
This opponent (RIG Mark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RIG MarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#10
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H28/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H04/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A10/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A11/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H17/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H18/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A02/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A03/03
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A09/03
Superettan
70.2Avg total
31.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.538.471.9-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.538.471.9-4.927%-
Last 30 away (15)33.538.471.9-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)31.139.170.2-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.240.672.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)32.838.571.2-5.724%-
vs Similar (4)32.539.271.8-6.825%-
vs Weaker (1)56.033.089.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 96.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.826.2
59.8%
50.1%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.9
33.2%
31.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.614.4
69.9%
66.9%14.4
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
RIG Marktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

RIG Mark: 64.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.915.2
54.5%
50.1%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.67.9
24.2%
31.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.710.4
58.8%
66.9%10.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WWWWWWWWWW
RIG Mark
LLLLLWWLLL
#1
League position
#16
+24.0
Net rating
-13.3
116.6
Offensive rating
83.5
92.5
Defensive rating
96.8
55.8%
Effective FG%
44.7%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.6%
16.7%
Turnover %
26.4%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.2%
3-point %
24.2%
63.4%
Assist %
69.7%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 83.5Defence92.5 · 96.8Shooting55.8% · 44.7%3-point %33.2% · 24.2%Ball care16.7% · 26.4%Off. rebounds33.7% · 27.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)100% · 20%
■ Hogsbo   ■ RIG Mark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hogsbo wins
2
RIG Mark wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23RIG Mark v Hogsbo56-80
21/03/23RIG Mark v Hogsbo86-79
21/02/23Hogsbo v RIG Mark79-73
12/03/22RIG Mark v Hogsbo84-89
30/10/21Hogsbo v RIG Mark96-71
26/09/20Hogsbo v RIG Mark81-88
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AEskilstuna99-91
03/03/24HKFUM Fryshuset104-82
17/02/24HIK Eos106-83
11/02/24AIK Eos99-88
03/02/24HTureberg91-71
27/01/24HSloga Uppsala93-78
20/01/24HOckelbo109-61
14/01/24ATureberg86-70
13/01/24AAIK Basket82-73
06/01/24HEskilstuna102-76
RIG Marklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AHelsingborg82-92
03/03/24AAIK Basket62-72
02/03/24ATureberg60-73
18/02/24HIK Eos57-69
17/02/24HAIK Basket55-85
11/02/24ADjurgarden72-67
10/02/24AKFUM Fryshuset74-68
04/02/24HTureberg57-79
28/01/24HSloga Uppsala71-75
21/01/24HOckelbo65-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %80%93%64%
Points / game93.097.986.8
Allowed / game79.178.180.3
Point differential+13.9+19.7+6.5
Avg total172.1176.0167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%86%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
RIG Mark
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLLLL15%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %22%15%29%
Points / game67.265.668.7
Allowed / game75.677.274.0
Point differential-8.3-11.6-5.3
Avg total142.8142.8142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hogsbo2520580%93.079.1+13.9
2 AIK Basket2619773%83.277.8+5.4
3 Wetterbygden Stars28171161%80.475.4+5.0
4 Huddinge27161159%81.478.5+2.9
5 Tureberg27161159%78.075.2+2.9
6 Helsingborg26151158%86.981.3+5.6
7 Sloga Uppsala26151158%77.979.5-1.6
8 KFUM Fryshuset27151256%86.886.4+0.3
9 Djurgarden26131350%85.785.0+0.6
10 Ockelbo28141450%73.376.0-2.7
11 IK Eos25111444%80.081.5-1.4
12 Malbas27111641%72.775.8-3.0
13 KFUM Kalmar2681831%78.282.2-4.0
14 Norrort2681831%73.579.0-5.5
15 Eskilstuna2571828%75.985.8-9.9
16 RIG Mark2762122%67.275.6-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2328271593
RIG Mark1716211771
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