The Basketligan W clash on 7 November 2026 pits Hogsbo W against Brahe W, with the model favouring Hogsbo W at 81% due to their higher projected 80 points versus Brahe's 70 and a 59% chance to cover the home line of -7.5. Hogsbo W enter the game 0-5, scoring 58.0 and allowing 90.0 per contest, while Brahe W are also 0-5, averaging 55.6 points and conceding 95.8, with both teams positioned 11th and 12th respectively. Hogsbo's home record is 0-2, 66.5 points for and 86.0 against, and their last five games were all losses, including a 43-108 defeat to Lulea W on 30 October and a 66-94 loss to Visby W on 24 October. Brahe's road record is 0-3, 53.7 points for and 97.7 against, and they too have lost every game in their last five, most recently 50-78 to Visby W on 31 October. The teams have met twice before, with Hogsbo winning both times, the most recent 106-76 victory on 7 March 2026. The model projects a 150.7-point total, a 52% chance of the over, and a 4% probability of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 58.0 | 90.0 | 148.0 | -32.0 | 0% |
| Season at home (2) | 66.5 | 86.0 | 152.5 | -19.5 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 52.3 | 92.7 | 145.0 | -40.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.0 | 85.0 | 156.0 | -14.0 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 58.0 | 90.0 | 148.0 | -32.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 66.7 | 87.6 | 154.3 | -20.9 | 29% |
| vs Similar (9) | 79.0 | 80.8 | 159.8 | -1.8 | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 86.6 | 68.9 | 155.5 | +17.6 | 79% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 55.6 | 95.8 | 151.4 | -40.2 | 0% |
| Season at home (2) | 58.5 | 93.0 | 151.5 | -34.5 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 53.7 | 97.7 | 151.3 | -44.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 62.2 | 87.2 | 149.4 | -25.0 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 55.6 | 95.8 | 151.4 | -40.2 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (25) | 62.8 | 85.2 | 148.0 | -22.4 | 12% |
| vs Similar (1) | 52.0 | 46.0 | 98.0 | +6.0 | 100% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 80.8 | 55.8 | 136.5 | +25.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 74.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.5 | 38.0 | 76.5 | +0.4 | 57% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.7 | 37.1 | 77.8 | +3.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 36.3 | 38.9 | 75.2 | -2.7 | 53% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.5 | 44.1 | 75.6 | -12.6 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 26.0 | 50.2 | 76.2 | -24.2 | 0% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 30.9 | 46.9 | 77.7 | -16.0 | 14% | 71% |
| vs Similar (9) | 38.4 | 36.9 | 75.3 | +1.6 | 56% | 56% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 42.3 | 34.4 | 76.6 | +7.9 | 79% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 74.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.8 | 39.3 | 71.1 | -7.5 | 23% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 34.5 | 39.7 | 74.2 | -5.2 | 21% | 36% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 29.4 | 39.0 | 68.4 | -9.6 | 25% | 31% |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.5 | 42.6 | 75.1 | -10.1 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.2 | 48.2 | 79.4 | -17.0 | 0% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (25) | 30.9 | 42.0 | 72.8 | -11.1 | 12% | 36% |
| vs Similar (1) | 23.0 | 17.0 | 40.0 | +6.0 | 100% | 0% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 39.8 | 28.5 | 68.2 | +11.2 | 75% | 25% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogsbo W -1.5 | 79.1% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +13.8pp | Won |
| Hogsbo W (regulation) | 79.0% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Won |
| Hogsbo W over 71.5 | 81.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +11.4pp | Won |
| Hogsbo W -3.5 | 73.1% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Hogsbo W over 74.5 | 72.1% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Lost |
| Hogsbo W over 73.5 | 75.4% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Lost |
| Hogsbo W over 72.5 | 78.4% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Lost |
| Hogsbo W -2.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Hogsbo W win | 81.1% | 1.27 | 1.36 | 1.31 | 1.30 | 1.26 | 1.22 | +7.2pp | Won |
| Brahe W under 77.5 | 76.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Brahe W under 76.5 | 73.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.3 | 15.8 | 46.8% | 31.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.7 | 7.2 | 30.7% | 21.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.0 | 15.3 | 71.1% | 15.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.4 | 13.1 | 46.8% | 26.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.7 | 7.5 | 30.7% | 22.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.4 | 13.5 | 71.1% | 13.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | Brahe W v Hogsbo W | 76-106 |
| 20/12/25 | Hogsbo W v Brahe W | 86-70 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | A | Lulea W | 43-108 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Visby W | 66-94 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Norrkoping W | 64-76 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Alvik W | 67-78 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Onsala W | 50-94 |
| 30/03/26 | A | Sodertalje W | 57-91 |
| 28/03/26 | H | Sodertalje W | 97-101 OT |
| 21/03/26 | A | Malbas Malmo W | 66-71 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Brahe W | 106-76 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Alvik W | 94-61 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Visby W | 50-78 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Onsala W | 64-100 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Alvik W | 53-86 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Lulea W | 49-132 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Norrkoping W | 62-83 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Visby W | 81-57 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Hogsbo W | 76-106 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Sodertalje W | 59-103 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Malbas Malmo W | 62-67 |
| 14/02/26 | A | RIG Lulea W | 66-60 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 58.0 | 66.5 | 52.3 |
| Allowed / game | 90.0 | 86.0 | 92.7 |
| Point differential | -32.0 | -19.5 | -40.3 |
| Avg total | 148.0 | 152.5 | 145.0 |
| Over 149.5 | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 55.6 | 58.5 | 53.7 |
| Allowed / game | 95.8 | 93.0 | 97.7 |
| Point differential | -40.2 | -34.5 | -44.0 |
| Avg total | 151.4 | 151.5 | 151.3 |
| Over 149.5 | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 80.2 | 63.4 | +16.8 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 82.4 | 67.2 | +15.2 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 99.2 | 56.2 | +43.0 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 88.0 | 63.8 | +24.2 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 73.2 | 69.0 | +4.2 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 80.0 | 79.2 | +0.8 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.6 | 73.6 | +5.0 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 74.8 | 76.4 | -1.6 | |
| 9 | AIK Basket W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 65.6 | 83.2 | -17.6 |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 58.4 | 76.2 | -17.8 | |
| 11 | Hogsbo W | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 58.0 | 90.0 | -32.0 |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 55.6 | 95.8 | -40.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogsbo W | 16 | 17 | 14 | 25 | 72 |
| 15 | 15 | 20 | 17 | 67 |
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